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Mojo44

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Posts posted by Mojo44

  1. 15 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

     

    in your profession, this is called "projection"

     

     

    In this case just objective analysis nothing more. Ironclad guarantee there. Been doing this for over 40 years. I know the difference. Let it go boy

  2. 3 minutes ago, appoo said:

     

    Sorry I guess I got the wrong impression from:

     

    Come on Swifties and fellow travelers! The situation has become just a bit nauseating. It’s coming across more and more like a high school romance. I’ll always remember what the great Aretha Franklin said when asked about Swift’s singing: “ That girl sure can dress“. She’s really not as musically talented as her acolytes make her out to be.

     

    That comes across as (to me) you not thinking she has much musical talent, period - rather than not quite as much as what he fans believe, which I wouldn't have any kind of issue with. So apologies for taking your hyperbole a bit too literally 

     

    (I think she looks androgynous to me so no sexual fantasies here)

    Read more carefully next time. What I said was and clearly it’s noted there that she does not have as much talent as her acolytes think so. Clearly I am then suggesting that she has musical talent. Are you just trying to build a strawman argument or just not focusing on my post. Come on. Enough already. I don’t hate her at all. And as I said to another Swifty defender earlier that one thing we have in common is that we are both quite woke. I do like that about her.

    2 minutes ago, appoo said:

    See above as I took your hyperbole too literally, 

     

    But reason I stated my job is because it pretty much colors how I look at life. I analyze everything haha

    Fair enough and go Bills. I’m an analyst myself of a different sort so I know what you’re saying.

  3. 14 minutes ago, appoo said:

    Huh? I'm not at all triggered and I don't really listen to her music. I respect her. I'm an analyst by trade, and that's all I'm really doing here. Her numbers are insane, which means there's evidence of something really special with her

    First of all what does your job have to do with this? And I think it’s pretty clear that I do not disrespect her. And there have been many Popstars with average ability who have become quite rich. I think she is talented and never said she wasn’t. But she is not a great musician and she is indeed not a great singer. OK. Talent and popularity do not equate in this situation. If they always did equate then Joni Mitchell and Bonnie Raitt would be trillionaires. 

  4. 2 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

     

    LOL--that may be the greatest sentence posted that I have seen in 15 years!!!  

     

    anyway, pop "musical talent" (including A Franklin, in her day) is all subjective.  So it actually is an indication of her musical talent.  

     

    She writes songs, sings, plays instruments, runs her business...no talent there you can see?

     

     

    First of all Aretha was not a pop singer she was a soul singer. Secondly, I never said she had no talent. I just think she has less musical talent then given credit for. Why is everyone so triggered about this! I’m beginning to think, and I can vouch for this professionally, there’s some of you are having intense sexual fantasies about her and therefore rush to her defense when not necessary 

  5. 6 minutes ago, appoo said:

    I actually thought that was cool! I mean look how much love Kristin Juszczyk got out of that! 

    So. Let's put aside the SOUND of her music.

     

    She's got an above average voice. I don't think anyone would consider her a diva-level voice. 

     

    How many artists can you name that write their own music, play their own music whether it's guitar or piano AND sing at a fairly high level? Beyond that her target audience loves the CRAP out of her lyrics because how much they relate. I mean she has deep cuts on their that I have no idea exist, but you talk to random fans they'll talk about, to go ALONG with her made for radio hits - which again she writes. 

     

    By just about ANY objective measure, she's an insanely talented artist and musician. Only dwarfed by her business instincts. 

     

    Disliking her music is a personal preference, stating she doesn't have much musical talent is going against a massive amount of evidence that says otherwise. 

    OMG you people. Trigger much. Her voice is adequate. That’s it. And if you don’t know the thousands of musicians who can play all those instruments and sing well then you don’t know much about music.

     

    look I have nothing against her. In fact, the one thing we seem to have in common is that we are both quite woke! I don’t hate her music. I don’t think it’s much special. If you can relate to her lyrics then good for you. I find that they sort of belie her mid-30s age but that’s me. Personally I find her to be much more style than substance. But good for her that she seems like a nice person and I don’t care that she is Uber rich. We are just having some fun here. Holy crap!

  6. 5 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:

     

    the biggest money making tour in music history (by a country mile) would seem to argue many people disagree with you.

    What you  state is in no way in indication of musical talent. It never has been. A herd mentality never appealed to me. What you say is inconsequential to me. I stand by what Aretha and I say. 

  7. Come on Swifties and fellow travelers! The situation has become just a bit nauseating. It’s coming across more and more like a high school romance.

     

    I’ll always remember what the great Aretha Franklin said when asked about Swift’s singing: “ That girl sure can dress“.  She’s really not as musically talented as her acolytes make her out to be.

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  8. With respect you seem to be missing the point that it’s not a matter of “clicking”. Instead it’s very possibly a matter of Josh trying to get the ball to Davis when he is double covered when he should be throwing somewhere else. Personally I think this is more likely because Davis is the one receiver on the team who runs more high risk, i.e. deep routes. But you do seem to be acknowledging that your data is not really all that conclusive in terms of supporting your OP. If you would couch your opinion something like this: “It seems to me that the offense is better without Gabe” without the “data” it would be more palatable. I am 100% certain that the real Einstein would agree with me. Anyway, I will leave it at that and I really do appreciate your posts and your opinions

  9. 11 minutes ago, Einstein said:

     

    12 of Allen's 32 INT's over the last two seasons have been targeting Gabe. 12/32 = 38%. Thus "nearly 40%", which is what I said...

    I took out the Hail Mary INT, because that's not fair.

     

    5g.thumb.jpg.b7332db4f89bdbc4b771b201fc79230d.jpg6g.thumb.jpg.48d004dc15a54301fb0492a295742188.jpg11g.thumb.jpg.a4e77c98bd9f72909f1aaa962a31f0ba.jpg10g.thumb.jpg.dd8d51809b6bcdd6b73cd2d7c9837519.jpg9g.thumb.jpg.291031ae06194940f71d56982091e76e.jpg8g.thumb.jpg.980b40ff7eeb31e05b8275dd3510b8f7.jpg7g.thumb.jpg.df2cc0364129dcfc72d49353cfbd5e73.jpg3g.jpg2g.jpg1g.jpg4g.jpg2g.jpg

     

    Know what it is when targeting Diggs? 16%. 

    So 38% of Allen's INT's happen when targeting a player that only receives 15.1% of the targets (174 targets / 1146 pass attempts).
     

    And 16% of Allen's INT's happen when targeting a player that is thrown to 27.4% of the time (314 targets/1146 pass attempts).

    38% of the INT's on 15% of the targets is .... a lot.
    .

    OK. Thanks for the reference. Now let’s dig a little deeper. Let’s look at some of the variables that may go into this that may have nothing to do with Davis. In particular, we all know Josh has a tendency to try and force throws. When he does so downfield they often end up in an interception. Davis is usually that target. In other words, what you’re not considering is that these interceptions are more on Josh than on Davis. The data does not prove that Gabe is the problem. It’s just as likely, if not more so, that Josh is the problem on these throws. Do you see what I’m saying now? This is still not sufficient to back your original opinion. The null hypothesis remains in effect. But thanks again for showing me that. 
    let me add this, and I’m not trying to be snarky here. But I am a scientist. I have published empirical research papers in scientifically refereed journals. It’s an area of expertise that I happen to have and occasionally comes in handy here. Your opinion is an OK one but it has way too many holes in it. It’s still an opinion not based on probative data. You seem to be taking an empirical approach to your opinions and that’s why I am responding in the way I am. This would not pass muster as far as good science is concerned. But I will not be belabor  it with you after that. Other than to say I still think the team is better when Davis is on the field because he has an element that the other receivers on the team do not have. 

  10. 14 minutes ago, Einstein said:

     

    What is cherry-picked about catch-rate, INT’s when targeted, and not being on the same page as the QB? As a wide receiver, what could possibly be more important than running the right routes and catching the ball?

     

    Of course we can agree to disagree on the offense being better without Gabe but i’m not sure how anything i’ve written is cherry picked.

    Simple. You cherry pick what you assert to be a 40% interception read when Josh passage to him would you provide no support of evidence for. Nor do you account for all the value he adds. There is no compelling reason to believe your “data“. Even if it was true, which we don’t know, it’s correlational and cause-and-effect can’t be determined. My biggest problem with your take is that you presented as empirical evidence when it is only an opinion that is really not based on such evidence. Otherwise, yes we can disagree as to whether or not the team is better with him on the field. I believe it is. But that’s my opinion.

  11. 6 minutes ago, Einstein said:

     

    Well, we have a 40+ game history of Gabe dropping balls, or not being in tune with Allen, or being a complete non-factor. This game was just confirmation of what I long hypothesized.

     

    I don’t even blame HIM per-say. He may be very good on another team. But I think his presence in THIS offense is a net negative. Nearly 40% of Allen’s INT’s occur when targeting Gabe. Then Gabe is out for a game and Allen doesn’t throw an INT for only the second time in 12 weeks. And he is often not on the same page with Allen on choice routes. And when that’s not happening, he drops his fair share of balls (his career catch rate is in the 50% range). And more Gabe on the field means less Shakir.


    Lots of different factors here that represent a fairly LARGE sample size.

     

    So even though Gabe can be a good player, I just don’t think he is right for this particular offense.

    Your “data“ seems cherry picked. Also, without quoting a source how do we know if any of this is true? You are also missing all of his contributions and many games that include both his pass catching and his run blocking. None of what you have said here is predictive or backs your hypothesis. It is an opinion without substantial facts to back it up. The bottom line is the team is better when Davis is playing.

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  12. 14 hours ago, Einstein said:

    Is refreshing.


    Gabe being out allowed us to get our playmakers like Hardy and Shakir on the field more often (more snaps to go around). And they both delivered at key times!

     

    And it’s not just the opponent. That Steelers defense was #6 in the NFL in points against, and that was the MOST points the Steelers gave up all season (and that’s even with TWO missed field goals).

     

    One game and you derive such a absolute conclusion! An N of 1 doesn’t cut it. The real Einstein is turning in his grave right now. Respectfully, a bad take.

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  13. 5 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

     

    He was a good DC in his day in NE.  Won three Superbowls as DC in NE.  That does deserve a bit of respect I think.

     

    He was a maroon as an OC in NE and as a HC in Detroit, but he was a very good DC before that.

    True, but I do wonder how much of his success was really the result of having BB as his head coach?

  14. 7 minutes ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

    Funny,we did it for decades before. So yes...now we have become weak and pathetic.  

    I lived in western and central New York for 66 of my 70 years. Storms like this have always been taken seriously. The only legitimate assumption from your take that you’re doubling down on is that the “weak and pathetic” stuff is a projection of how you feel inside. 

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  15. 19 minutes ago, GottaRun said:

    Probably what's being unsaid here is that a lot of us are trying to figure out if we'd be able to make our 90 minute or 2 hour drives into Orchard Park safely and in time to make the game.  So it's a mix of how would the game experience be and can I even make it to the stadium. 

     

    Great point and I agree. However, I doubt even those folks are “trembling in their boots“ about it. Legitimate concern yes. Panic attacks, doubtful.

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  16. 10 minutes ago, RichStadiumGuy said:

    You might want to look through all 18 pages of this thread. I'm seeing quite a few people beyond trembling in their boots and a couple that I think might have filled them already.

    I just did go through all 18 pages. Nobody is trembling in their boots. There is a distinction between that and legitimate concern. My guess is you know the difference. Apply it here.You’re just misinterpreting in my opinion.

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  17. 31 minutes ago, BillsFanSD said:

    Why do you guys root for a northern team if you're just going to b-- and moan every time we have to play a game in winter weather?  Root for the Jaguars if you don't like it -- they need the extra fans more than we do.

    Nobody’s trembling in their boots here. It’s a legit discussion about some severe weather. Maybe you should step outside and suck in some of those nice hot Santa Ana winds and get over yourself. 

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  18. I don’t know if it’s been said upthread, but in the unlikely event the game is moved to Cleveland it’s advantage Bills despite the loss of home field. If the weather is decent there then the bills can fully release Josh the Kraken! I don’t think it will happen but I would be fine with it. In a way I wish it would happen. The bills are the better team. I think the forecast in Buffalo helps Pittsburgh a lot more than us.

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