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timekills17

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Posts posted by timekills17

  1. 3 hours ago, The Wiz said:

    If you think those comments are weird you should have heard him talk on WGR right before his press conference.  I really haven't had a problem with McD and some of the things he says but this was kind of a "this is my team and you need to do it my way" kind of comment and it really made me lose faith in him.

     

    He was asked about the Cook benching after the fumble and basically said that he hadn't earned his trust the same as someone that might have been with the team for a longer period of time.

     

    I'm assuming this is a direct "trust" comparison between benching Cook and not benching Davis after he had an INT go off of his hands.  So a guy who fumbled twice in 27 games gets less trust than a 58% catch percentage receiver.  Got it.

    After the first fumble and then the Gabe drop to INT - I completely agreed.

    After the fumbled handoff, which everyone seems to attribute to JA17, I thought "If I were Cook, I would have been looking that ball into my stomach so hard that I might take a loss before I let it go."

    And then he fumbled on the 41 yard play, which thankfully (although ultimately didn't matter) bounced right back to him.

     

    So yeah - it was probably a little drastic at the time.

    But maybe the coach(es) were concerned that Cook is more prone to "bad fumble days"; i.e. he is always really good at ball control except those rare days he isn't. And that was one of those days. At the time he went back in it wouldn't really have mattered if he fumbled again. We needed his offense and could risk the TO because they were going to lose without his skillset. And lo and behold it happened twice more that day to the guy who had "only fumbled twice in 27 games."

     

    Now back to Josh and Mc'D's comments: just like the Cook benching, I'm reserving judgement until I see a result. I won't need to wait long, but not going to judge his comments based on what I *think* (unlike most talking heads who seem to know what Diggs is thinking better than Diggs does.)

  2. This defense is built on playing the teams we have to beat, and how our offense is designed.

    If our offense is playing anywhere near their potential, they can score quickly. So another quick-strike offense is the most likely to cause us challenge.

    If we give up time-consuming short/medium passes and runs - that's fine. Even if occasionally (~45% of the time) when they get to the red zone they score a TD. Because it usually took a long time to get there.

    Tthe expectation - and the reality across the past three seasons - is that our offense will return fire, but faster.

    That also means they take a few risks across the middle to try and make a turn-over, because they can afford to let the play be executed.

     

    When they get into the red zone, they take less risks, and play tighter rather than taking guesses on plays vs. formation and scheme they've seen.

    We see it in the results of the red zone defense. Not to mention our defense is lateral quickness rather than straight-line speed so as the field length compresses it plays into their hands.

     

    It's frustrating watching teams make play after play, especially on 3rd and 7+. But if you understand that is how the defense is designed, it is a bit less stressful. You can actually get excited waiting for either the turnover, or the move into the Bills' side of the field past the 30-yard line - because then you know the heat is on, and it's playing into the defense's strength.

     

    This isn't homerish; look at the long term results and play style rather than any single play. The risk is a player who can get that intermediate play and quickly - and repeatedly - turn it into TDs, especially on a day when our offense isn't playing well. But every team has to play a risk vs. reward game in the NFL.*

     

     

     

    *It's the reason the playoffs often look so different. A scheme that works 75% of the time - including keeping players fresh and healthy - is successful across a season, but might not be in any one game. Teams talk "one game seasons" and players have to play that way, but coaches have to play the long game...

    Until the playoffs.

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  3. On 1/7/2023 at 5:08 AM, Johnnyp566 said:

    Yes because I believe objectively they are the 3rd best team in their own conference. 

     

    I'm not sure you understand the definition of the word "objective".

     

    Based on W-L record, they're objectively 2nd.

    Based on head-to-head they're objectively first.

    Based on strength of victory they're objectively first.

    Based on point differential they're objectively first.

     

    Based on Johnnyp566 subjective rankings, they're third.

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  4. 42 minutes ago, newcam2012 said:

    To be clear and I understand your point let me ask you this. If I have a 200 yard race against a cheetah it is a 50/50 result because there are only 2 possible outcomes mathmatically. Am I correct? 

     

    Yes. Either it catches you and kills you quickly, or it catches you and plays with you for a while before killing you.

     

    It's about 50/50 which of those happens.

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  5. 9 hours ago, Coffeesforclosers said:

    Back in the day, teams got a lot more practice time in the off-season. Successive CBAs have chopped back the number of practices and the number of padded practices.

     

    There arent many workforces that get better with less training and less experience. 

     

    I think Olines and QBs should get an extended training camp. Like pitchers and catchers. That should help. 

     

    I might go so far as to say the CBA could include some verbiage connecting salary to allowed practice time.

    That might help temper some of the salary inflation. If you want to be paid top 10%, be prepared to commit extra mandatory time practicing with the team to earn it.

  6. I'd rather see them move Taiwan Jones to safety.

    I mean - that's crazy, right? He's a "running back".

    But he has the straight line speed, he has the build, he has the agility, and he has the open field tackling from years of special teams play...

  7. 12 hours ago, Don Otreply said:

    This right here is the type of thing that a lot of folk can miss noting when only being focused on the end result, if Bryant doesn’t make the play he does, we may very well have seen a different outcome in the game, just shows how important doing ones 1/11th is to a games outcome.

     

    Especially when they do their 3/11th.

    • Agree 1
  8. 14 minutes ago, dollars 2 donuts said:

    I am going out on a limb here and I am maybe someone who should know but doesn't, but couldn't there be a loophole where FCC violations are brought against this guy (and not just a $250 fine)?  

     

    No, he did not technically stop a broadcast, but he did interfere and delay one, though, and furthermore potentially put people and the players at risk. 

     

    I don't know, just wishful thinking.  

     

     

     

    In my vast legal experience (I've watched A Few Good Men a bunch of times), I'd say that is a much more appropriate and viable legal case than the one the idiot is bringing against Wagner/Rams.

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  9. 6 hours ago, BobbyC81 said:


    How about the end of the first half?  Has anyone explained that?  If the play was to fake the spike and throw to Diggs, why didn’t Josh just spike it after bobbling the ball to allow a FG try?

     

    This was answered by both Josh after the game and McDermott later.

    The gist of it was Allen was concerned that the referees would see it as either a fumble or at best call it grounding. The rules allowing a spike are specific and that play would normally be an "intentional grounding". So JA17 made a snap decision to try and get something out of it rather than risk a loss of down and 10 second runoff of clock.

     

    McDermott later said that he thinks the referees would have had some leniency and recognized it wasn't an intentional try to fake spike and then actually spike - but I'm not sure JA17 isn't right in his assessment.

     

    Either way, it was *intended* to be a spike to stop the clock.

  10. 4 minutes ago, GolfandBills said:

    Bills by far.. their depleted roster got even more depleted with another big AFC game looming this coming Sunday 

    Even if true - and I think most of the additional depletion you speak of was temporary/heat exhaustion, not injury/long-term - 'm not sure it answers the question.

    I'd say the Chiefs loss was less expected and raises more questions about the team due to the poor offensive showing than did the Bills' loss.

     

    However, the Bills was against a conference *and* division opponent, so that is critical.

    If the Dolphins end up playing well ala the Pats last year, this game could make a difference even in the AFCE race.

     

    (I don't think it will, but from a "how important a loss" perspective, it could be.)

  11. 6 hours ago, Richard Noggin said:

     

    You're mean. 

     

    But I needed to read that. I need to stop even considering Hodgins a potential sleeper (given that first camp when he was possibly ahead of Davis for a minute). In completely related news: it was reported today that Hodgins is in fact currently on the shelf in OTAs. Oof.

     

    At this point he probably has a better chance of becoming an orthopedic surgeon than an NFL starter.

    • Haha (+1) 1
  12. On 5/15/2022 at 7:45 PM, LeGOATski said:

    You're not wrong, but there have been blatant inconsistencies pointed out to PFF before and they tend to close ranks when that happens.

     

    They've always been great for raw stats and terrible for grades. No respectable football organization would put any value in their grades. If a player is paying PFF to bump their grade, it's so that they look better to the media. Maybe it's worth it for their career beyond football. But they're not gonna fool a football expert with it.

     

    This is probably the closest to the reality, assuming Lewan isn't completely talking out of his a$$.

     

    I.E. I could see the "publicity" portion of PFF working with players - or more specifically, their agents -  to increase a player's inclusion in Twitter polls, comments on line and other media, etc. While I doubt teams use the grading as any basis for retention or pay, the agents certainly use it in the court of public opinion which can influence the team to some degree.

     

    This wouldn't result in any change to the objective data provided to teams - or even really to the public. It might influence how certain data is "evaluated" for the somewhat more subjective grades. Such as an aggressive, tight pass vs a "near-interception."

  13. https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2022/01/31/rams-bengals-super-bowl-nfl-fmia-peter-king/

     

    I've always liked Peter King. And I respect Sean Payton as both a head coach, and an offensive mind.

    So this quote of his - although not surprising to we fans here - was music to my ears. Or eyes, I guess since I read it.

     

    The young quarterback he’d pick to build a franchise around today:

    “We just saw them duel. Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes. A tie. When everything isn’t perfect, and there are many times in a game when things aren’t perfect, they’re the best two in the game at the off-schedule throws.

    “I like Joe Burrow. I love Joe Burrow. I just trust the other guys to run it better. But that’s like, I like vanilla and pistachio, you like butter pecan. All good choices.”

     

     

    He had some other comments I also found interesting...

     

    Changing overtime rules:

    Payton: “We’ve hit the threshold. There has to be some change. At least for the postseason, each team should get a possession, and if it’s tied after those two possessions, the game continues, and it’s sudden death starting with the third possession.”

     

     

    and (sorry in advance for this one):

     

    Situational football - Buffalo up three on Kansas City with 13 seconds left and kicking off:

    “A lot of it depends on my kicker. If I’ve got a young kicker I’m not sure I can trust, I will not squib kick. You can’t risk the kick going out of bounds, or being recovered at the 40. I also don’t like trying a pop-up kick to land at the eight- or 10-yard line. I’m not asking a kicker to use a technique, seldom-used, to place a kick somewhere that might determine whether you go to the championship game. I’m probably just kicking the ball deep into the end zone and giving them the ball at the 25, like Buffalo did."

    “The crime that is committed comes after that. We are playing football still—you can’t be defending the sidelines at all costs, like Buffalo was. You see when Travis Kelce catches that long pass to put them in field-goal range, a cornerback is defending an area of the field near the sidelines he doesn’t need to defend. Kansas City’s got two timeouts left—they don’t need to get out of bounds. Everything about what Buffalo did defensively is flawed. We would play outside man technique with a three-man rush, funneling balls to the middle of the field and contesting outside technique.”

     

     

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  14. On 1/26/2022 at 10:05 PM, HurlyBurly51 said:

    QB coach to OC is not lateral.

     

    Per NFL Rules technically (heh) it is with a big BUT:

     

    What has changed since 2020, is teams can no longer block a member from interviewing for a "lateral" move to a coordinator for other teams.

     

    NFL ANNOUNCES NEW STEPS TO ENHANCE DIVERSITY (nflcommunications.com)

     

    Quote

    (i) After the conclusion of the regular season through March 1, clubs are prohibited from

    denying an assistant coach the opportunity to interview with a new team for a bona fide

    Offensive Coordinator, Defensive Coordinator, or Special Teams Coordinator position.

    Any dispute regarding whether the new team is offering a "bona fide" position will be

    submitted promptly to the Commissioner, whose determination shall be final, binding

    and not subject to further review. The Commissioner shall be authorized to request any

    information that he deems necessary from the clubs involved in the dispute, and he may

    consult with the Workplace Diversity Committee or Diversity Advisory Panel at his

    discretion.

    Criteria for hiring club:

    In order for permission to be automatically granted, such a request cannot be for a shared position. A shared position is defined to include:

    If there is another coach or consultant at the same position;

    If there is a coach or consultant who has a similar responsibility title with the prefix "co-";

    If on the side of the ball for which permission is sought, there is a coach or consultant who has any coordinating responsibility (run game coordinator, pass game coordinator, etc.) or who had such responsibility in the prior season.

    In order to ask for permission, there can be no assistant coach on the hiring club's staff who has the title of assistant head coach or its equivalent.

    For the purposes of this policy, the coordinator (offensive, defensive, or special teams) is defined as an individual whose job responsibilities at least include:

    Leads/coordinates all "team" meetings on their side of the ball;

    Reports directly to the Head Coach and supervises the position coaches on their side of the ball; and

    Must play a role in the development of the game plan but is not required to call the plays during games.

     

     

  15. 4 hours ago, Turk71 said:

    I think Beane has had mixed results like any GM. Allen definitely makes up for a few bad picks.

     One pick that really bothered me though and had a huge effect on the last game was taking a 2nd DE in a row and passing on C/G Creed Humphrey in the 2nd round last draft. KC took him right after the Bills took Basham. He anchored their line all year and completed their amazing one year rebuild. Multiple outlets rated him #1 center in the league this year. The Bills had a chance to add one of the top interior lineman in the league, a position of great need, and let him fall to their biggest AFC obstacle whose oline was in shambles. If Humphrey was on the Bills line instead of KCs......

    Nothing against Basham but another DE with that pick was a luxury and a wasted opportunity to add top talent to the o line and deny their rival the same.

     

     

    Each time I hear this, I feel like we're using either revisionist history or significant "hindsight being 20/20."

    -After the 2019 season, the Bills #1 need was improving scoring; an improved offense. The Bills tried to fix this by bringing in the best FA WR on the market - in exchange for our 1st round pick. Whether you agree with the cost or not, can't argue that 2020 and 2021 the offense was SIGNIFCANTLY improved.

    -After the 2020 season, the Bills determined from the loss to KC that they needed to improve the pass rush. Our offensive line wasn't #1, but it was settled with AT THE TIME a good RT in Williams, and some high potential in guards including starters and practice squad. So they doubled down on their biggest area of need. You don't pick a player you don't think you need just to keep another team from getting him. Did we need a (potential C/)G over a second shot at a good pass-rushing DL? That's certainly an argument you could make. But I don't fault Beane for going after what was our weakness rather than getting what AT THE TIME would have been a position of significantly lower need.

    -- And P.S. the Bills led the league in QB pressures this year, so you could argue he succeeded again in greatly improving the critical problem. 

     

    Let me ask this - after how our OL and RB ended the year, what position do you think would have made, or will make, the biggest difference in another KC matchup?

    I'd still say a DL rusher that scares opponents' OC and QB over OL. Immediacy bias says a good CB, but I'd have to see what medical says about White.

  16. 12 hours ago, Paulus said:

    It has happened like 7 times. It just happened to the Chiefs a couple of years ago.

     

    Hell, it happened to the Falcons in their OT loss to the Patriots in 2017.

    Chiefs lose AFCC to Pats on a coin flip...

    Falcons lose SB to Pats on a coin flip...

     

    Damn Pats still winning.

  17. 4 hours ago, QCity said:

    Even Jerry is throwing a tantrum. I know, I know, you're not going to click on it (you will). :rolleyes:

     

    Sullivan: Bills' McDermott choked away Super Bowl-caliber season

     

    I'm not going to click it.

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    Ok, I clicked it.  Doesn't matter anyway.

  18. 4 hours ago, eball said:


    Both things can be true, you know. 

     

    Thank you.

     

    *break*

     

    Regarding OT rules, I get the concern that letting both teams play could lead to a never-ending story. Much like the soccer analogy that was used, that's why they give one additional period and then penalty kicks. Besides the fact scoring is less likely in soccer, they've already been running for 90 minutes before OT.

     

    In football, have to consider most times the players that have extended physical abuse/chance for injury, have to play the next week. So there needs to be a limit.

     

    I'd ask for one minor change. Both teams get a shot. If it's still tied after that, go to the current rule.  (Next TD or defensive score ends it, or FG if the other team doesn't score.)

     

    Very possibly it doesn't change the Bills-Chiefs game. Chiefs score a TD, Bills score a TD. Game still tied, so reverts to current rule...Chiefs score a TD, game over.

    But at least both teams get a chance.

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  19. 1 hour ago, Italian Bills said:

    Listen: i agree with you that we have a stout D but not sure about the best one. 
    The games we lost were against elite teams, with PIT at the first game of the season where almost everybody were here predicting an easy one… then TEN where was a great game over all and yes we lost on the last play, but we lost and TEN scored 34, while the win in KC was a statement by our side but be honest, it was’t the 2020 KC’s version. 
     

    Anyway i repeat myself: our D is very very good, top 5, but to me, to be the best one, would have to have more sacks, hits or pressure on other QBs, an area we lack of a little bit. 

     

    Pressure on other QBs you say?

     

    XElIsrO.png

     

    Note that the Bills are also highest in QB hurry rate by a significant margin, and the lowest in blitz % by a significant margin.

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