Orlando Buffalo
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Posts posted by Orlando Buffalo
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On 7/17/2021 at 9:12 PM, Governor said:
You’re confusing national polling with state polling. Some state polling was bad in 2016 and it improved in 2020. Some states are notoriously hard to poll or only poll a few times per cycle. Every state has its own quirks. Florida hasn’t mattered since Obama/McCain. They’ve become irrelevant to the process.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/2020-polls-badly-understated-support-103225787.html
Just once again showing you that pilling companies are polling to get a result not what is real.
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26 minutes ago, Victory Formation said:
Even with mental health issues you will be held accountable, at least on some level. Don’t pretend like someone with mental health issues will not pay in one way or another if they did something wrong. Instead of jails theres long term psychiatric hospitals, nursing homes etc. I suppose that so and sos level of functionability is what determines the outcome, but don’t pretend that the Nicholas Cruz’s and the weirdo “Joker” mass shooter will be let off easy, they’re in medical prisons for life and they should be, but the ones who may have acted in a way like Sherman did, there will likely be stipulations upon his release. Court ordered therapy, medications, abstinence from alcohol, AA meetings etc.
It is weird that I feel the need to defend Sherman because he has so often appeared just barely sane but his illness is likely being made worse by his likely retirement, or at least greatly diminished role. You do not become as accomplished as he has been without dedicating yourself to the game and using force to make it happen. I hope this is the worst thing he ever does and he gets the help he needs because at this point he is likely to either go down that rabbit hole all the way unless he learns how to control his emotions.
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1 hour ago, T master said:
The dude just doesn't know when to shut his mouth i liked what he did while in office and some not a lot of his policies and the fact that he had a set of balls to against what all other POTUS just did by going through the motions but dammit dude talk about adding fuel to the fire .
I really hope he doesn't win the nomination the next time around the left is loving every minute that he keeps running his mouth he just keeps driving the wedge in deeper & deeper .
I get it if you got a gripe with a certain person but go to them and don't continue to air it in the media it does nothing but causes a bunch of crap !
I think this is most Americans think that are not liberal. He sadly was what we needed but he is not going to lead us to be better now. We have been shown how few politicians we can trust.
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2 hours ago, Governor said:
What was it you were trying to prove me wrong about again?
I pointed out the polling was used and manipulated to reinforce the narrative they wanted not used to show what was happening. I appreciate you finding that to prove my point for me.
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https://www.cnn.com/2021/07/14/us/crime-data-reporting-united-states-homicide-increase/index.html
This article is there way of defending their own dishonest presentation over the past year. The two funniest parts to me are where they call crime stats "nuanced", which in liberal means don't look at the obvious. They also say the increase is non partisan, when the worst of it is clearly in the liberal cities, in fact they have no evidence to show their opinion is anything but crap
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8 hours ago, Governor said:
The polling was good and you lost. Not sure why that’s so difficult for you guys. We expanded the map and Trump didn’t.
NC flips blue next time.
Polling was the discussion and you found one outlier to prove your point. 538 combines all the large polls and showed you were wrong.
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The General Assembly elected the following 15 members: Bolivia, China, Côte d'Ivoire, Cuba, France, Gabon, Malawi, Mexico, Nepal, Pakistan, Russian Federation, Senegal, Ukraine, United Kingdom and Uzbekistan. All 15 members will serve three-year terms beginning on 1 January 2021.
I honestly believe we can all agree having China, Cuba, and Uzbekistan on a human rights council makes the whole thing a joke. These are the worst human rights violators on planet and they are on a select committee to direct the world? How about having Bull Connor on the integration committee.
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49 minutes ago, Governor said:
No. Many states like Nevada, Illinois, Wyoming, Iowa, Wisconsin, etc. don’t do a lot of polling so you’re going off of an outdated poll.
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/31/upshot/why-this-is-the-iowa-poll-that-everyones-waiting-for.html
Ya moved the goal post again, all those states we know which way they go. Nothing to do with difficulty of polling
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25 minutes ago, Governor said:
You’re confusing national polling with state polling. Some state polling was bad in 2016 and it improved in 2020. Some states are notoriously hard to poll or only poll a few times per cycle. Every state has its own quirks. Florida hasn’t mattered since Obama/McCain. They’ve become irrelevant to the process.
Hard to poll? What you mean is the process of selecting the write balance gives you the wrong outcome so you poll who you need to get the "right" answer.
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5 minutes ago, SCBills said:
This doesn’t seem to indicate that there should be some huge discrepancy in polling. Slight over-sampling of Dems, perhaps, but that’s not what we consistently see in some of these polls.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
He keeps moving the goal post- when 90% of the polls had Hillary with a 95% chance of winning he believed it so therefore it had to be some miracle. Trump was always more popular in Florida then the polls showed but he will not simply admit the polls are poorly done
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1 hour ago, Governor said:
The difference in 2016 was that there was movement late in Trump’s direction after the Comey announcement. Polling couldn’t catch up with that movement before Election Day. Ed Rendell and others were sounding alarm bells in Pa. They saw what was happening. There wasn’t enough time to poll those states again.
There was no movement in Trump’s direction vs. Biden other than the normal race tightening that occurs a week out.
This poll moved 2 points over the last two weeks, this poll was the outlier the entire time and is complete contradiction of your your tightening because it only changed two points. This is easier to admit that most polls over sample to help push their agenda and few are concerned with accuracy.
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Just now, NoSaint said:
it won’t be.I should have stated I expect a decent fine but nothing else. I was being very hypothetical.
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For any player who has not been caught multiple times cheating this should be at worst a $25k fine kind of deal. The only reason is might be more is his history of cheating and the fact that the casinos are very possibly really pissed. NFL I think is pretty open about their relationship with gambling so it might be a one game suspension
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1 hour ago, Governor said:
Hillary had a 1 point lead nationally heading into Election Day.
Team Trump knew this one was over by 10am on Election Day. They saw that turnout wasn’t high enough in Pennsylvania.
Can you show me the 1%? She was 70+% to win, favored in several states she was beaten badly, and only a few had within the margin of error, which means they suck at their job.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
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8 minutes ago, Governor said:
I’m not sure why anyone thought he would win. He was down 6 percentage for the entire year leading up to the election and lost by 6 points. Why did anyone think he would hit an inside straight twice? Who were these outlets/pollsters saying he would win?
You guys understand how hard it was to win the first time correct? The odds of that happening again were probably 1 percent.
I know you were not here for the discussions last year but it was discussed many time over exactly how poor the polls are for these elections. 2016 was actually not clearly the worst, it just was the most shocking because people saw the 10 pt Hilary lead in Sept and believed it was real. I know you believe the polls but a lot of people realize the polls are done to create news not report it.
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15 hours ago, Sundancer said:
Audit a fourth time then a fifth. I don’t care.
But that doesn’t hide the fact, fact, fact that a sitting president refused to accept the election results and lost all his lawsuits in an embarrassing manner and encouraged civil unrest over our democratic process.
Audit a fourth time then a fifth. I don’t care.
But that doesn’t hide the fact, fact, fact that a sitting president refused to accept the election results and lost all his lawsuits in an embarrassing manner and encouraged civil unrest over our democratic process.
You forget he was Democrat most of his life so these actions are still considered normal to that part of him. Many of the liberal elites did not accept Bush or Trump, Gore sued for his right to only have his ballots counted and for real promotion of violence the champs are definitely the Dems. The hypocrisy of your posts is insulting to anyone who is older than a teen.
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I love the fact that the Dems have to look at this audit which shows several problems and then repeat "most secure election in history" when it clearly was not even close. Nothing overturns the election now but we can take what was found and fix it. Then next election we try to make that as secure as possible and keep improving.
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6 hours ago, SectionC3 said:
Hoax. And I thought you respected law and order and the Constitution. I guess not, Insurrectionist.
Asked and answer, Chef Jim Crow. Also, it’s “your point,” not “you’re point.” FYI.
I seriously just lol at this. I appreciate you proving the accuracy of my initial point.
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10 minutes ago, Sundancer said:
Do you believe that a sitting president who lost an election repeatedly calling that election a fraud and crime is no threat to our country or democracy?I do not think Trump handled it well but I do not think it is a threat to our country because he is known for his rhetoric. I feel 90+% of America look at it similar to the Russian collusion stuff, political stuff until there is proof.
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16 minutes ago, SectionC3 said:
Hoax. I don't find any murder acceptable. What I find particularly unacceptable, and frankly obnoxious, is transcendent malfeasance that attacks the pillars of our democracy. You can put the Insurrection, the lies about the Insurrection, the lies about voter fraud, the demonization of those with disparate views, the subtle racism, and a lot of other things about Trumpism in that category.
Since you are willing to try to thread this needle- you find the delay of a vote and vandalism of the capitol building less objectionable then the murders and large scale destruction of last year. Your clutching of pearls in regards to Jan 6th is funny because no one with an ounce of intelligence believes those people were a threat to our country or democracy because if they were we would have had more than 50 capitol police there that day.
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I wanted him until some jerks here pointed out he has a total of 25 catches the past 3 years combined. I did not realize how far he has fallen.
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7 hours ago, PromoTheRobot said:
NBA regular season vs playoffs.
I hope you are right but if this team screws around too much in the run up to the games I don't trust it to get itself together
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Talent only I want the guy but his cost financially I don't see how we make it work.
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2 hours ago, JaCrispy said:
If this doesn’t prove the media is fake, I don’t know what will...It’s so painfully obvious at this point...😒
Well what you don't understand is that the additional year of data is not as clear as it seemed last year. Drawing conclusions from 3 weeks of material is science, but making blanket comments from 12 months of materials is poor reporting.
The January 6th Commission To Investigate The Insurrection
in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Posted
I Find it interesting the prosecutor finds "emotional distress" from people having to hide for a few hours but no ability to prosecute to benefit the people who had their homes and businesses burned to the ground all over the country.