dpberr
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Posts posted by dpberr
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For me, this is easier than it looks to start:
No 30+ year old players. No exceptions.
No Tre White.
No long contracts to good but not great players.
I try to ship Von Miller out of town (just because of his contract and lack of production, nothing to do with today's news)
I try to trade Knox for picks.
Next year is Year #1 of the reload for Season #1 in the new stadium. Likely not a playoff season, but need to free up cap to spend in 2025 and 2026 so that you have a peaking team for that inaugural season. You do not want your rebuild/reload to occur that season.
Next year's remodel is why this all-in year is a crushing disappointment.
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Zach Ertz was washed three seasons ago. He and Julio can jog up and down the field together in Philadelphia.
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Sid Gilman remains their all time winningest coach at .619.
Schottenheimer and Bobby Ross are tied for 2nd at .588.
Norv Turner (.583, 6 playoffs) was quietly a better coach than Schottenheimer as a Chargers coach (.588, 2 playoff games).
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I'm convinced this is tied to a stipulation in the contract, or a contract he has with a sponsor, where he has to be active for a specific number of games, not necessarily "play" in said games.
I don't think it has anything at all to do with the Jets and the playoffs. That's the cover story. If the Jets at all cared about the playoffs, they would have done something at the QB besides Wilson/Boyle.
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I don't think BB is going to coach any team after the Patriots. I think he will retire.
I think both he and Pete Carroll call it quits at the conclusion of this season.
Between retirements and firings, almost half the league could be looking for new head coaches in 2024.
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I think the McDermott era only continues if the Bills can get past the divisional game. This was the all-in year.
The goose is cooked and ready to be served baring that miracle.
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The curse began with the Shout song in 1987 and was strengthened when Wade Phillips was fired. The football gods dislike the train horn but dislike the Shout song even more. The football gods say "why can't Buffalo have a cool entry like Philadelphia does with Rocky?"
The curse can only be broken via a combination of 2 of the following 3 methods:
1. The Shout song is never played again. Ever.
1. Wade Phillips leading the charge to a stadium of applause.
2. Doug Flutie & Rob Johnson together leading the charge to a stadium of applause.
Until this occurs, the curse remains alive.
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Neither, TBH. in 2024, I'm beginning the reload for 2026.
For Floyd, I'd never sign a 30+ year old player to anything but 1-year, incentive rich deals if I'm the GM. (That goes for Daquan Jones too.)
AJE is in the Tremaine Edmunds camp for me - The Bills shouldn't be signing "the good but not great" players to long deals with sticky cap consequences. AJE has attractive sack numbers but what you're paying for are Chris Jones-type game changing sacks.
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Warm? I think he's been fired since the Cincy game. The losses to the Broncos and Eagles have just provided the decision to part ways more cover.
If the Bills are going to make "the" change, the window is the conclusion of the 2023 season, and you give the new coach a 2024 "build" year and a peaking 2025-2027 to coincide with the new stadium.
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This game was the difference between good and great.
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THERE WE GO
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MUST score this drive.
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The KC/PHI game showed me three things about the Eagles:
Take AJ Brown out of the game and the Eagles offense struggles. Hurts relies heavily on AJ Brown magic, and when it is not there, he holds the ball and the sacks present themselves.
You can run on the Eagles defense.
You can Joe Burrow the underneath to death. Eagles linebackers are s-l-o-w.
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I'd expect there will be a rule that says you can't fake it once the offense has established its position or a limited number of times you can use it in a game, like timeouts. The defense should have the opportunity to leverage without having to simultaneously be prepared for a fake.
Everytime Philly runs that play, Jason Kelce has the offensive and defensive lines resting on top of his body. That adds up.
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Any college football program would be lucky to have Doug Marrone as head coach.
Unfortunately, Doug Marrone also believes that.
He'd be a great college coach. Doug Marrone Jr. (Matt Rhule) has performed a minor miracle making Nebraska competitive again. (5-6 overall)
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This move signals to me that Woody Johnson is 1) a cheap owner but also 2) he doesn't care at all what happens the rest of this season on the field.
If the Jets realistically wanted to make the playoffs this year, they could have traded for Dobbs or a Trubisky or a Barkley, or took a lottery ticket on Wentz or visit Joe Flacco's retirement village. However, that all costs actual cash spend.
Tim Boyle isn't going to win the Jets any more games than Zach Wilson could.
Zach Wilson's problem is what ailed JP Losman and EJ Manuel - he doesn't understand the NFL game on the cerebral level that is required.
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The questions for the Pegulas is a tough one. It's the question of whether your good coach can be great, and if he's not great, is "great" readily available?
Is Sean McDermott circa 2000 Wade Phillips?
Or is he circa 2000 Buccaneers Tony Dungy?
Or is he Marty Schottenheimer?
It's a risky question to answer. You pick Gregg Williams (what the Bills did and began the great playoff drought) or Jon Gruden (what the Bucs did and the Bucs win a Super Bowl) or stick with him (Schottenheimer) and win a lot of regular season games but nothing past that.
Sometimes it's purely situational being the right coach for the right time. Tony Dungy couldn't get the Bucs over the hump but he goes to Indianapolis and succeeds in doing so.
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16 minutes ago, DJB said:
Those are all concepts that Josh is built for . Should be simpleI expect the Brady plan to be running to set up the pass. TBH, I think the Bills offense will resemble the Bengals offense. The Bengals simply adopted a lot of what Ensminger did at Georgia and LSU.
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He learned a lot from Steve Ensminger at LSU. I expect:
Play action
Plenty of RPO
Intermediate routes
Less shotgun runs up the middle!
Joe Burrow learned to attack via the intermediate/short routes under Ensminger - I'd expect to see a lot of that in this back half of the season.
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Absolutely. It is free market intelligence on the consumers of your product.
In many ways, the board is the ideal focus group - the Bills add no selective bias by selecting it, you don't see the participants and the participants have no motive, financial or otherwise, not to speak their mind.
For example, I think the decisions on the former players that are selected to lead the charge comes from intelligence gathered here. I will continue to advocate for a Doug Flutie/Rob Johnson co-charge to break the curse if you're listening OBD.
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I don't think he's afraid to make a change. This was the all-in year and this coaching staff and team failed, and there should be consequences. This is a very expensive and embarrassing business failure we're all witnessing.
The contract extensions are small potatoes compared to what's on the line if you open a new stadium with a bad NFL team no one is paying to watch.
The time to make a change is at the conclusion of this season. It gives a new coaching staff a honeymoon year of 2024, but Pegula needs an ascending team for the new stadium.
I personally would give McDermott and Dorsey their walking papers this week, as I've seen enough, and see if I can salvage this season with interim leadership.
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Yeah, this game was "it" for him.
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This game ended the McDermott era in Buffalo.
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You have to think that losing this game has consequences for this coaching staff.
This entire season has been in fireable offense territory but losing at home to the Broncos on MNF might just do it.
Even if we miss the playoffs....
in The Stadium Wall
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Eh, 2023 is an all-in season, and there should be consequences for the substantial underperformance of missing the playoffs.
The 2024 season was supposed to be the most tenuous season for playoffs as the team begins to stack cap/spending for 2025 & 2026. Playoffs aren't impossible next year, but I don't think the front office is going all-in with the vets as they have this year.