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Mark Long Beach

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Posts posted by Mark Long Beach

  1. 2 hours ago, JGMcD2 said:

    Could the thought be that in a platoon with Cook (and syphoning some of Josh Allen's attempts) it's less likely these issues rear their ugly head?

     

    Davis already has the college wear and tear, but he's not likely to get the same type of volume that Hall and Etienne have been getting. 

     

    The Jets ran the ball 388 times (29th in the NFL) last season - Breece Hall accounted for 223 of those.


    About 60% of the carries were Breece Hall. Dalvin Cook had 67 carries, Zach Wilson had 36 and Israel Abinikanda had 22. 

     

    The Jaguars ran the ball 453 (17th in the NFL) times last season - Etienne accounted for 267 of those.

     

    About 60% of the carries were Travis Etienne. Trevor Lawrence has 70 carries, Tank Bigsby had 50 and D'Ernest Johnson had 41. 

     

    The Bills ran the ball 512 times (5th in the NFL) last season - Cook accounted for 237 of those.

     

    About 45% of the carries were James Cook. Josh Allen had 111 carries, Latavius Murray had 79 and Ty Johnson had 30. 

     

    For the sake of the exercise, let's say the Bills are able to run the ball over 500 times again next season. At a minimum I would think that Ray Davis assumes the 79 carries that Murray had. I think we would all hope that Josh Allen doesn't carry the ball over 100 times next year - let's say he dips down around the 75 times that Mahomes had to carry the ball last year. That would be another 36 carries. Then maybe he steals a few carries from James Cook as well, another 20?

     

    That puts Ray Davis at approximately 135 carries next year. That seems pretty realistic as to what we can support within the offense. 

     

    Nice post!   

     

    This shows pretty clearly that they're not interested in running Cook into the ground, and that they're concerned about him making it to the post season.   I'm a fan of this.    We definitely needed another RB to carry some of that load and only Ty managed to do it productively to my eyes.   An injury to Cook would be very bad, so we needed someone who has a chance to shoulder some real burden.    I think this kid can do it!  I'm excited to watch him this year.   His tape looked sudden with nice moves in the open field.

     

    Fingers crossed

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  2. Yeah, that QB sprayed the ball all over the place.  Really made me cringe.  Maybe 1 or 2 in 10 was well placed, everything else Coleman had to adjust to, often majorly.  Many times the adjustment was bringing him into the CB.   I did see a number of blanket coverage, but I saw more NFL opens that the QB made not open.    Honestly, I'm still nervous about the pick because separation is very important in NFL.   I feel better after watching, but not convinced he can get open as much as I want vs NFL CBs.

  3. 4 hours ago, PBF81 said:

     

    They're called counterperspectives and unless they're way off base, why the ad hominem at large?  

     

    This should be a place for discussion and exchange of ideas.  If we were all that, then we'd all be talking about how we'd only need to go 2-2 to clinch the 1st Seed, which frankly, given the talent that we have, contrasted with every other team in the AFC this season, is where we should be.  

     

    I'm still chuckling at MLB's (OP) "... wail and moan ..." comment, in good nature, truly, imagining some Bills fans at home actually wailing and moaning.  LOL  

    ...

    There's nothing wrong with being critical of your team, particularly when it's 7-6 but should have been 11-2, or at least 10-3 and in the driver's seat, and we haven't even mentioned having Allen yet.  Anyone being critical and concerned about playing a team that's playing better than us, a team that already beat us, a team that we have never beaten on their turf in over 40 years and in a 3-hour different time zone with a game starting at 11 p.m. our time, and @ Miami is hardly being negative.  

     

    And lest we forget, absolutely nothing that anyone here says or does makes one iota of a difference in how our team plays.  

     

    I guess I don't understand the hostilities towards fellow Bills fans in simply discussing varying aspects of our team.  

     

     

     

    Good post.  I truly have no problem with discussions, nor opposing viewpoints.  It's the rage and venom spit at our team that's frustrating.  The Bills are not a junk team, the coaches aren't junk.   We've been a good team over the last couple years, and remain (close to) a good team now.  Do we put it together and close out the year strong like we have over the last few years or not will tell us the verdict on this years team.  

     

    IMO, we're still feeling the loss of Dabol and Frazier.   We've taken a step back without them.   Our offense clearly has, and our defense is better because it attacks more, I think that it still loses because the Head Coach is doing double duty by being DC.  Similar stats as Frazier, but it looks like it hurts our whole team.  Fingers crossed that Brady can keep it up, we've definitely looked better with his play calling.

     

     

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  4.  

    We DO get everyone's best shot.  If they manage to beat us, it clearly takes a toll on them.

     

    As the title says, beginning in 2021, any opponent that manages to beat us, basically loses its next game with the record of 3-15.  If you look only at playoffs  with Josh Allen as our QB teams (5 years), teams are 0-5 after beating us.  We've been the kingmaker as to who wins the AFC, whichever team doesn't play us.

     

    When we do lose it's a close loss. We are in position win almost every game until the end.  Out of 16 losing games (5 overtime), 14 were one score losses, with every one this year being a one score loss.

     

    We are a good team.  We have Josh-Freaking-Allen!  This year we've had a rougher time of it record-wise and luck-wise, but we still have a good offense and a good enough defense. We can still right the ship and go for a run into the playoffs.  Even with our Key personnel losses like Milano, White, and Daquan, I still think we have enough horses.  Especially if we get Miller and Daquan back and effective. We get hot, we can win out.

     

    I hate the gloom and doomers that wail and moan like we're New England and everything is F-ed.

     

    2021 (11-6)  5 out of 6 were 1 score losses.  2 overtimes

    w1   Pit 23-16 (7) -> w2  Loses to LV

    w6  Ten 34-31 (3)-> w7 Wins vs KC

    w9  Jax  9-6  (3)  -> w10 L Ind

    w11 Ind 41-15 (26)-> W12 L TB

    w13 NE 14-10  (4) -> W14 L Ind

    w14 TB 33-27 (6) -> w15 L NO

    Div KC  42-36 (6) -> CC  L Cin

     

    2022  (13-3) 3 out of 4 were 1 score losses.  1 OT

    w3 Mia 21-19 (2) -> w4  L Cin

    w9 NYJ 20-17 (3) -> w10 L NE

    w10 Min 33-30 (3) -> w11 L Dal

    Div  Cin  27-10 (17) -> cc L KC

     

    2023: (7-6)  All 1 score losses. 2 OT

    w1 NYJ 22-16 (6)  -> w2 L Cin

    w5 Jax 25-20 (5)  -> w6 W Ind

    w7 NE  29-25 (4)  -> w8 L Mia

    w9 Cin 24-18 (6)  -> w10 L Hou

    w10 Den 24-22 (4)-> w11 W Min

    w12 Phi 37-34 (3) -> w13 L Dal SF

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  5. 10 hours ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

    Reckless and a liability… these are not word that work well with ‘Safety’

     

    In a Madden dream world, Benford and Douglas successfully convert to safety, TreD comes back to his old self and Elam gets his act together at corner. Toss in Taron and that’s a solid DB room. 
     

     

    You only convert a DB to a safety if/when he can't be a corner.    MUCH harder to fill job.   It's absolutely not our best option to convert Benford to Safety.    He's a solid starting corner.  

     

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  6. Oh yeah!   Representing LBC!  A local boy for me.   He sure does seem to play physical. Can't really tell how well he covers though.  Highlight reals only show so much.   We do have an eye for DBs, so hopefully he thrives.  

     

    Although come to think of it, our late round safety pickups haven't been stellar.  I thought Hamlin was decent, but more one dimensional.    The rest have been special team players at best.

    • Like (+1) 2
  7. 1 hour ago, BananaB said:


    Yeah we’re fine, we have given up 105 points in 3 playoff loses.  We also gave up 22 second half points against the Texans in that other loss….  16-0 doesn’t mean ***** if you keep losing the same way in playoffs. 

     

    There's not much quality difference between the top 4 or 5 teams.   You need to be good enough to get in the mix and then lucky enough to have some things go your way.  

     

    Health is the biggest factor IMO and we lost Von Miller, Daquan Johnson (a great year for us)  and our secondary was devastated. We were playing Jaquan Johnson the Terrible (if it's not his name it should be), Not-On-Our-Team Dean Marlow, and Practice Squad Cam Lewis.   Their offense controlled the game while ours couldn't step up that game.

     

    Sure our team has some flaws.   Our OL was shockingly bad with Saffold and Brown getting regularly beat like a red-headed stepchild. Our WRs and DEs under-performed. Our backup safeties weren't as good as expected.  (Jaquan Johnson the Terrible I'm especially looking at you)

     

    We are good enough. Our record shows that we're good enough.  Let's fix our weaknesses (OL please!) as best we can and kick their asses next year.

     

     

     

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  8. We clearly want a fast "inside" receiver that can get open and stress the defense.   We keep searching for it from both RBs like Cook,  McKissic and Hines as well as from small receivers like McKenzie, Crowder and now Harty.  

     

    Hopefully they found it this time.   Some of his highlights sure look good.   I'll take that from a rotational player.  I WANT that from a rotational player.

  9.  

    18 hours ago, HardyBoy said:


    Le Batard is awesome in that video too. Felt like an old school Dan Le Batard Show interview. I was living down in Ft Lauderdale from early 2012-2020 and got to listen to the show before they went to espn. 
     

    They did their silly stuff, but more it was very much an inside joke that once you listened enough you would get and you realize it was all a gag and they were mocking the establishment to their faces without them realizing how foolish they were being made to look by the show. It was subversive and smart and really quite sneaky edgy. 
     

    Coolest thing was he would do interviews like this, literally 40 minutes long straight on the radio where they really dug into things and just let it flow where it flowed, and then have pretty much 20 minutes of commercials with a two minute segment to catch up on the ads. 
     

    When they went to ESPN, they tried really hard to avoid it, but the show changed. Not because it got political, they always talked social issues, but because of the fixed segment times. Dan is all about nuance, and understanding points of view and not shutting down a conversation because he doesn’t agree, he genuinely seems like he wants to understand perspectives and have everyone grow. He gets people to be honest with his interview style, and then explores. 
     

    Just couldn’t be done on espn unfortunately, and he could only be so subversive. I like their new show, but kind of feel like it’s become a bit too many people involved and they all need space.
     

    Anyway, long way of me saying that interview is good and people should give it an open minded listen even if they had a negative opinion of him from his time at espn towards the end. 

     

    I only know the the Le Batard show from ESPN here in Los Angeles.  I HATED that show.  I hated the voices. Nothing was funny, but they seemed to be trying endlessly, nothing interesting.  For the most part the interviews sucked.   I have no idea what it was before ESPN, but it was an abomination once it got there. It's the only sports radio show that has ever generated vitriol in me.

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