Xerx
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Posts posted by Xerx
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Wouldn't yards allowed after contact add a lot of context to this number?
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5 minutes ago, KDIGGZ said:
Quick, name the receivers on the Giants besides Waller. The Giants probably have the worst receivers in the league
Iasaih Hodgins, I've been told on this board many times that he's amazing and we shouldn't have let him go
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You think those stats look good?
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Lamar the passer is clearly in my eyes, why he's not getting a big deal done.
For comparison sake, take a look at these two 3 yr stretches
QB1 - 39 GP, 691-1084 (att/cmp), 7881 yds, 59TD(5%) , 29 INT (3%), 7.3 Y/A, 7.2 AY/A, 202.1 Yards per game
QB2 - 43 GP, 774-1236 (att/cmp), 8857 yds, 51TD(4%) , 16 INT (1%), 7.2 Y/A, 7.4 AY/A, 206.0 Yards per game
QB1 is last Lamar - post MVP seasons
QB2 is Tyrod - Bills years
That's eye opening to me!
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Morse isn't being cut, zero chance
We've seen the offense without him under center, it's ugly
He's probably in that top-10 center area, not far out of it if he isn't top-10 in your eyes
I can see him being extended to reduce the cap hit
Hynes, the cap hit it fairly high for the role he's played, he won't get that on open market, not with this class of FA RB's...extending and reducing cap hits is probably going to be on the table, kick/punt returner are priorities for this staff, paid Andre Roberts $3m per just to do it...Hynes is more dynamic at it and more likely to add to the offense
Oliver trade is possible, but not likely, he's more apt to be extended and cap hit reduced - he may not be playing to his draft status, but he's still a starting caliber DT in this league, he's not going to be given away for pennies on the dollar when you would just need to replace him with equal or higher priced player
McKenzie should get cut based on usage and performance this past year
Siran Neal - he's not getting cut, team values special teams players, with Kumerow and Matkevich already most likely gone and possibly Jones, not removing another key piece from this units
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I can't see NFL declaring the game a tie or no contest and potentially giving the Bills game zero meaning on Sunday
I can see following scenario's
Bengals-Ravens - Your game is for the division (destiny in both hands this Sunday)
Bills-Patriots - Bills win and you get #1 Seed
Chiefs-Raiders - Chiefs win and Bills lose, you get #1 seed
Bengals get #1 seed if both Chiefs and Bills lose
Bengals get #2 seed if Chiefs lose and they win
(Chiefs may argue, we are getting short end of the stick, easily can be answered with you went 0-2 against them)
It's creates a bunch of must win type scenarios for these teams and extra scenarios to be discussed as TV fodder
WIN-WIN for NFL Brand
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2 hours ago, Mr. WEO said:
I can't imagine Beane would risk 2 year money on this guy.
I can't see anything but a 3-year deal
Deal for next season would be very incentive based, with contract rules for incentives and how and when the cap hits take place with "likely" and "unlikely" incentives, the cap hits wouldn't strike until 3-4 years down the line
This is the type of deal/player you hope for in a Super Bowl window-
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I have a feeling, his contract is going to be very complex with all kids of incentive bonus being abused from the likely and unlikely categories shifting cap hits and holds all over the place and possibly 3-years down the road before you are actually using it as written
I don't see a 1-year deal being signed anywhere, 3-years, lots of incentives (not just because of his knee, but the CBA language and rules for the "likely" and "unlikely" incentives. A sizable chunk of the cap hit could be thrown 3 years down the road during a Super Bowl window
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Going to be a lot of people on these boards losing their minds when Edmonds is re-signed with the money created by trading/releasing Milano
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17 years ago, I attended a friends wedding 5 hour drive from home
After leaving the day after, I got back into the town I lived in, about two lights from my exit, my girlfriends was with me in my car (now my wife), we had been travelling with a few of my other friends in another car, we had lost them on the highway at some point through some traffic. As I was sitting at the red light, I looked up in the mirror and saw a car weaving in traffic, I thought it was them trying to catch up before we got home. This was my last memory of that evening, everything else from that night is from what others have told me happened.
My car was struck in the left rear by that weaving car, it was a drunk driving in the middle of a street race, the impact sent me forward, crushed my right shoulder on the steering wheel, my head ricochet off the windshield and through the driver side window, my car spun through the intersection. My friends who had been following behind, came onto the scene, saw the car that struck mine on fire in the center median, they pulled the driver from his burning car, after getting him out. They noticed a man stumbling in the street, face covered in blood. They immediately realized it was me. Tried to get me taken care of, I was unaware of whom they where and was very agitated and tried to fight them off me.
Fire/Ambulance/Police arrived on the scene, paramedics concerned about my well being. could not get me into the ambulance as I tried to fight anyone who came near me. They asked my girlfriend if she could try, this worked and I hoped onto the gurney and was sent to the hospital (Thankfully my wife did not suffer any injuries)
At the hospital, I remained an unruly fellow, trying to fight Doctors and Nurses all the same, I was restrained and cuffed to the gurney at the hospital. Doctor recounted telling my wife, that he had never wanted to punch anyone before but was an inch from doing it to me (holding his fingers apart in the air)
I awoke from this monster I had become around 3 in the morning, lucid, calm and back to my normal self. I was immediately released from the hospital. This became an issue later on as I probably should not have released at this time, but they also didn't want me around anymore.
This person I was during this is someone I don't recognize or proud of. Thankful I don't have actual memories of being like this in any way.
I remember little of the next few days, I remember going to my car to get personal belongings and not much else.
I spent the next 3-4 months in a constant battle of being tired, dizzy, nauseous. Was unable to work, play the sports I had always loved (hockey/baseball)
Living on the 6th floor of my building, I would try and go down and get the mail during the day, was unable to walk the 6 flights of stairs down or up without a break halfway, I slowly got better, stayed with symptoms for years. Even to this day, 17 years later, things that never used to bother me cause me to get dizzy and nauseous (strobe lights, anything that spins quickly)
I've had other setbacks through the years, bump my head a little too firmly and I can easily be dizzy and it'll take me a day or two to feel better
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33 minutes ago, billspro said:
He was not given as many easy throws as most QBs in college football. Mayfield for example probably had 7 completions on bubble screens per game.
These takes are legitimate!
He only threw the ball 25ish times a game, a lot of vertical stuff, intermediate stuff.
They didn't run a lot of the stuff that leads to high completion rates, he wasn't throwing screens etc
Not what he was asked to do in that offense.
Let's see how he does in the Bills system.He's the opposite of Tyrod, he'll chuck it into those tighter windows and give his guys a change to make plays
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5 minutes ago, CountDorkula said:
I assume by this logic we should draft any QB from Purdue or Tennessee, because of Drew Breese and Peyton Manning
ALSO TOM BRADY WAS a 6TH RD PICK, NO NEED TO DRAFT A QB HIGH!!!!!!!
Tom Brady is the outlier, not the norm
Saying that is akin to saying...I don't need to save for retirement, I'll just get lottery money
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THAT'S A HARD NO
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1 minute ago, BrotherChazz said:
For Andy Dalton? Lol
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6 minutes ago, CaptnCoke11 said:
And cutting starters and role players during a playoff run is a well run organization ?
Absolutely- if you have a player on the roster that could slide right that spot already
SEE: New England trading LB Jamie Collins and then still winning a SB. He's a hell of a lot better player than the scrubs we kept.
5 minutes ago, HappyDays said:Every single move we've made makes sense. The level of competence being displayed is unreal.
This x100
But I'd be happy just knowing I won't need to ever see Mike Tolbert split out wide on a 3rd and 4 again...EVER
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Just now, Teddy KGB said:
Explain to me why NFL.com has the Bills offense at 29 and defense at 7th please ?
My agenda is using numbers provided by the national football leagues official website?
Break em down for me hotshot.
Easy, it's sorted by MOST yards allowed.
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They rank 7th alright...
7th MOST yards allowed.
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I'm with the OP
I don't give a damn about next season yet.
A CHANCE...WE HAVE A CHANCE TO GET IN
I WANT TO GET EXCITED ABOUT WILD-CARD WEEKEND.
I'm tired of the not good enough, blah blah blah. Get in, end the drought, have some excitement around a playoff game. Anyone hoping we don't make it or depressed into thinking it's a loss before it happens shouldn't be watching sports. ANYTHING can happen. Period.
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41 minutes ago, twoandfourteen said:
I don't really want Taylor in that "mentor" role -- as far as learning how to be a professional, film study, diligence, commitment, etc... he'd be perfect in that regard, there is no question about that. I really like Tyrod as an individual and as a pro. It doesn't get much better than him.
The problem is that his overall game relies primarily on things that athletically only he is capable of, and his perspective on the passing game is severely limited by the fundamental things he can't do. I just don't think he'd be a very good candidate to teach a rookie how to run a high-powered passing attack.This ^^^^
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13 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:
If McDermott brings in utter garbage like Matt's Cassell or Schaub to start/mentor the 3rd or 4th best QB prospect in the draft...........start vetting offensive minded HC candidates for McD's replacment because the process will turn from Jauron Ball into the most boring tank team ever.
Josh McCown's health was an aberration this year........he's been solid when healthy for the past few years but 39 years old in 2018 and broken down.
Alex Smith is a lateral move from Tyrod, doesn't appear to be at the point in his career where he is interested in mentoring a successor and will cost you a healthy contract in addition to eating Tyrod's dead money AND also cost you draft capital.
They are in yet another really precarious position wrt QB options going into this offseason which makes the "anyone but Tyrod" movement even more laughable. Not exactly a destination gig being the QB in Buffalo. Hell McCown might even turn them down AGAIN.......that's how they got Tyrod in the first place.
Those guys aren't who I'd want on the field, but with a clipboard and a presence in the QB meeting rooms. I'd take them every single day of the week over Tyrod in mentoring a rookie QB, just based on Tyrod doesn't do the things we want to be taught. When to throw it away, reading a defense pre-snap etc. Tyrod isn't good at these things at all.
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IF and I think it's more of a WHEN we draft a QB this year.
I believe it's best for the Franchise to just move completely away from TT.
I don't think he's the guy I want the rookie learning from, bring in a savvy veteran type, the backup guy whose hung around for 15years because he understand concepts, reads etc, just can't execute or is weak armed or something.
Seriously, I'd rather the rookie learning from a far less physically gifted QB if that guy is far superior in the X and O's.
Bring in Josh McCown, Alex Smith, Matt Cassel, Matt Schaub, are all better options than Tyrod for a guy to learn from.
Tyrod is so unique of a talent, he can't teach guys things.
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8 minutes ago, BigDingus said:
So out of everything referenced you point to the AGG stat? Really? It's a useful metric WHEN TAKING INTO ACCOUNT EVERYTHING ELSE. On its own, it doesn't give any sort of picture on how a QB plays, but in conjunction with EVERYTHING ELSE it really highlights Taylor's abilities.
The point of this post was to put all the stuff we see on the field, along with the stats, to explain his deficiencies and issues. You can pick any ONE thing and try to single it out, but that's not the point. That's why when people point to "he's efficient!" with his limited passes, I show that throwing short of the sticks, averaging low YPA, dumping off to RBs, below average completion percentage, etc. disproves that.This stat has nothing to do with short of the chains etc. It's literally "Aggressiveness tracks the amount of passing attempts a quarterback makes that are into tight coverage, where there is a defender within 1 yard or less of the receiver at the time of completion or incompletion. AGG is shown as a % of attempts into tight windows over all passing attempt"
I'm picking this one stat, because you singled it out as he's 32nd!!! Like that's a bad thing with this stat and it's really not. Top of the list guys tend to be crap quarterbacks with tons of interceptions and known for poopy play.
I agree with you, it's time to move one. We don't need to falsify and claim bad stats to prove it either.
It's not his AGG% that's the problem, we can see that watching the games or any game not involving Tyrod.
It's is inability to hit guys in the "pockets" between defenders when they are open. This has nothing to do with the AGG% stat.
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I've supported and cheered for Tyrod and still will until he's no longer a Bill, but I'm ready for a new quarterback.
But let's not spew riduculousness
-To further highlight this point, there is a metric called "Aggressiveness/AGG%" where Tyrod is ranked 32nd. Aggressiveness rating is defined as "the amount of passing attempts a QB makes that are into tight coverage, where there is a defender within 1 yard or less of the receiver at the time of completion or incompletion. AGG is shown as a % of attempts into tight windows over all passing attempts."
He's in the same area range in that stat as the top QB's...If you are near the top of the AGG% board, you are a most likely a TERRIBLE QB.
This tight window BS is ridiculous, you want QB hitting OPEN receivers. You shoudn't need to force throws into tight windows anymore than 15-18% of the time. Anything above that is terrible decisions, poor receiver seperation and bad schemes.
2016 https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing/2016/all
He's in the same area of the chart as the Brees, Roesthlesberger, Rodgers, Brady's of the world...
2017 https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing/2017/all
Again same are of the chart as the top QB's
Tyrod doesn't throw to guys who are open in the seams or on the outside is the issue.
This stat does not show thatIt's not tight windows per se, it's the into space windows. He can't hit a TE with passes over a LB head and before the Safety in the seams, anticipation throw into the window.
The window is large, it's just there for a limited amount of time. It's all being ON TIME with the BALL
Last thing I want is a QB forcing throw after throws into coverage. Unless it's to Benjamin (who we've not had very long) no receiver on this team has shown ANY ability to catch a contested ball ever.
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Sherfield and Harty
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I think it's a safe bet when looking at other teams "breakout" players little limited historical data to support this at any level is to remember our own guys like this.
Just always remember Robert Foster
All teams have these guys in flashes