y2zipper
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Posts posted by y2zipper
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I'd handle receiver by bringing Hollins and Cooper back for next year if I could.
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This year's iteration of the Bills was too bad on defense and too mediocre on the road to win this. To illustrate my point, Buffalo's defense gave up 28.5 points a game when they forced 0 or 1 turnover, which is good for 31st in the league. It wasn't a surprise that KC was going to take care of the ball. I was surprised Brady didn't have a good game.
The bigger picture is that if it's a transitory sort of year and you're always in, show me the transition on defense in the offseason. There's cap savings to be had cutting non-impact defensive linemen. Cut them and fix the position group.
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36 minutes ago, YodaMan79 said:
This is from the Over the cap website.
The simple non-second level moves were as follows:
Allen - a simple restructure using a generic formula suggested by the site made about $9.9 million available. I think an extension could be even more impactful.
Miller - post June 1 cut, ~$17+ million
Jones - Post June 1 cut, ~ $4.5 million
AJE - Post June 1 cut, ~$6 million
Trubisky - Cut, $2.5 million
If they wanted to cut Milano post June 1st, about another $9.5 million could be freed up.
Hope this helps.
Yeah they have 7 at a minimum depending on the projected cap. The other one i saw is post June 1, Knox could save another 5. not sure i would cut Milano or Knox, but the rest i would definitely do.
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Most of the free agent list is players I'd let go of because i don't pay for intangibles. I'd prioritize Cooper and Anderson, everyone else there depends on money. Morris, Gilliam and Johnson are depth players I want back.
Miller, Epenesa and Jones as post June 1 cuts saves 30 million in cap space for next year and all those make sense in conjuction with an Allen restructure to free up money and rebuild the defensive line.
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18 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
One can separate. The other can't.
21 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:No it's not. It is because of the evidence on the field tonight. His guys made the critical mistakes.
1st round corner who can't play
1st round pass catcher who can't catch
2nd round blocker who whiffed on the key block
33rd overall receiver invisible while the guy we gave them goes off.
That isn't bias. Those are objective facts.
Offensively, they lost the chess match. I don't think it's a roster thing as much as it's the coordinator needing to develop more depth of looks and tendencies. I think Brady can fix this with experience. Today l, KC knew the tendencies, planned for them we'll and outmatched our offensive line. They need a little more than a qb sneak, and need some faster developing plays.
On the other side, the current iteration of the Bills defense is the least athetic we've seen in the McDermott/Beane era and they don't focus enough on that. The physicality comes and goes, the safety play is bad, and Groot and Epenesa can't outrun quarterbacks. Kansas City's gameplan was largely that their receivers were more athletic than Buffalo's coverage players, and they were right.
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The Bills were not the better team on this day. That is what it is.
The smaller picture is situational football and KC put together an excellent plan against Joe Brady's offense.
The bigger picture is that Buffalo doesn't have the defense necessary to win these games and I feel like i write that post mortem every year.
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The Bills should let him go if he doesn't make a conference title game.
I said this at the beginning of the year: McDermott isn't a regular season conversation. We know the culture is good. We know he can manage a locker room, but he doesn't get points for that anymore. Josh Allen is excellent now, and the goal is to win a trophy.
Frankly, I would rather see him win so he can just stay forever because he seems to have gotten his offensive coaching right again, but he's the longest tenured coach in the league without a super bowl and in the postseason, he's shown to be a defensive specialist that can't stop anybody.
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I'll start here: this a relatively inconsequential game, but a playoff performance like this should get McDermott fired.
The defense did not play well at all today. That happens. The Bills are a difficult team to beat because Josh Allen is really really talented.
Teams win and lose these competitive games on the margins: the margins in this game were the punt block and 2 instances of bad situational decision-making: taking the hold instead of making the Rams face 4th and 7. And even worse, the bad QB sneak call. McDermott needs to be better than that situationally.
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They're much better against the run than stats indicate, which is a product of the Ravens obliterating it.
My concern with the defense are these:
19th in pressure rate
13th in sacks
16th in Pass Rush Win Rate
Middle of the road sort of pass rush, don't get pressure consistently, and as people have said, light competition.
They were impressive today because Seattle basically had to go to 2 minute offense to even move the ball, but I'd like them to trade for a pass rush DE.
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It's AFC Title Game or they should fire McDermott.
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I think the all-22 will show lots of time to throw and guys not getting open. Outside of Shakir, there's no chemistry with anybody and nobody is getting separation. I also think they should completely scrap the extra offensive lineman formation.
The worry is that there doesn't seem to be anything in the playback past the run game and short passes that we've already seen. Every defense is keying in on the middle so Kincaid doesn't beat them and nobody's taking advantage of the one on one's.
There's a lot of time to figure this out, but this should be a figure it out or get fired year for the coaching staff.
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I think they still have to fix defense end before they fix wide receiver.
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1 minute ago, ALG1130 said:
Going into the game, I felt they would do just that. Our run D is weak. Honestly, I don't know what this defense is. I mean, I think I have an idea, and it's not very good, but I seem to make people angry when I say this. I felt it would be weak coming into this season, but they tightened up against Arizona, and we allowed little points the next two weeks, but it felt more like blunders on Miami's offense(Tua and his int's) and Jacksonville did not look great. I never really felt like our D was dominating and felt they would get run over in this game. They did. I just don't think they are very good. They kind of can be if we start off with a lead, but we can't count on them to bail us out(they did have some moments tonight though, and of course Brady blundered big time). I am hoping when we get some key players back, the defense looks a lot different.
I want to know why year after year Pittsburgh and Baltimore always have a great defense. Hell, even The Chiefs have joined the party. Our offense isn't always going to light it up, so it would be nice to have a defense that could help when our offense
The Raven gameplan was that their offense had more athletic dudes than our defense, and they were right.
A lot of this game was that 1-3 teams don't make the postseason in the current format, and the Ravens were playing for their season. It's never as good or as bad at it looks and sometimes it's more about when you play someone than who you play, and the last 2 weeks remind us of that.
I'll keep my energy here as someone who doesn't think McDermott should coach the team if he doesn't make an AFC title game this year: it's a long season, it's still early, and I still the Bills are a good team at a point where I don't want to have regular season conversation, but there are concerns...
Buffalo's defense is VERY unathletic this year, and becomes even more so when Johnson and Bernard and Milano all don't play. Seven years into this thing, the team is still missing a real, disruptive pass rusher on an individual level. Those two things answer your question about Pittsburgh and Baltimore.
The good news is there's going to be a lot of game reps for the offense against simulated pressures and sticky man coverage until they can beat it.
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Buffalo doesn't have a lot of notable in house free agents this offseason outside of Douglas and Groots 5th year, especially now that they've paid Brown. I don't know that I'd extend Groot now, and Douglas isn't really a must-sign.
Overthecap puts us at 12 or so after the draft picks, and Von Miller is the obvious cut candidate with 8m in savings there (or 17 m post June 1).
Ed Oliver and Josh Allen restructures are there as well.
The necessary big game hunt is still a premiere pass rusher. They don't have one.
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25 minutes ago, peterpan said:
The offense was great really. Only 3 bad plays (outside of penalties) that I can thing of.
1- Allen’s fumble
2- on one third down Allen threw it to Ty Johnson (?) who was open, but it was at his feet.
3- the rushed 3rd down QB run on our last drive. Play came in late, no times to audible off the showing blitz, should have called TO.
I believe we had one punt. The one turnover and then the one mishap rushed at the play clock. Only the last one would be on Brady IMO
Yeah the only negative I would say about Brady is that there were a few times where the plays came in late. The third down late In the game really stood out as one.
What stood out is that the offense looked balanced and efficient, Heavy emphasis on successful plays and drives, And putting the ball in the hands of the best player in the crucial moments. In a perfect world I'd like something better than Josh rushing TDs on the goal line, but I won't argue with the point total.
The two minute drive followed by the double-dip to start the second half was a game-defining sequence.
Snap counts and volume will be interesting because the skill group looks very interchangeable. I wonder how much of who we see is going to depend on matchups.
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1 minute ago, BruceVilanch said:
It seemed like he did after the first half, the kick off return for a TD was not on him.
Exactly. That kick return shouldn't really happen.
A lot of the defense was struggling with a highly athletic QB, which continues to be a struggle. DE is the position really missing an impact player. The defense that came out in the 2nd half was totally different than the first half, and they probably put the game away if not for the teturn.
I like what Buffalo put out there offensively: run the ball, spread it around, and I think we'll see more downfield in better conditions.
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Allen has to get that ball out.
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I get the student price Since i'm going to grad school, So yeah.
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Just now, warrior9 said:
I don't think it's that they undervalue WR, they just see a LOT more value in beefing up a team around Josh when you have him. Mahomes has won the SB with subpar WR twice. Josh is on the same level, the coaching is not.
I think the strategy is correct. Josh Allen is the QB, the 0-line is good, so the next step is build the defense.
Buffalo was poorly coached on offense until Brady came in and I Really liked what he did, but McDermott needs to be a better playoff coach.
This year, I expect the regular season to take care of itself because that's what McDermott is good at and there are more playoff teams than ever. They should clean house if he can't get them deep into the postseason this year since it's a chance to change the roster.
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On 8/23/2024 at 9:17 AM, harmonkillebrew said:
Wider point is that Beane and McD seem to undervalue WRs compared to other top teams. The Bills draft capital investment has been skewed toward DE.
Is that right strategy? Hasn't gotten us to the SB or even AFCC, except once.
Despite it, they again this past year they subtracted more than they added.
The issue is that they haven't hit, so on top of all the drafting they gave Von Miller a huge contract too.
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I was in Oakland when Jerry Rice didn't make a catch.
I was at the Jeff Fisher fake punt game at the coliseum.
I was also at the Peterman game.
And I was at this years Charger game.
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Since the Bills are keeping McDermott, this is an obvious one to me. Got the same production with less turnovers per game and brought more balance and run game. Reducing the turnovers is how Buffalo can go from 2 seed to 1 seed next year.
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4 hours ago, Steptide said:
It seems to me, that the defense is what always falls short in the playoffs. Ofcourse it'll always seem that way in a loss, but that's what stands out to me. Houston in 2019, giving up a 16 point lead. 2020 against kc in afc championship, just got absolutely pummeled, had zero pass rush. 2021 against kc, absolute enbaresment giving up the lead with 13 seconds left.
No clue what happened last year with the bengals. The team didn't even show up. And then this year again, the defense couldn't get a stop. Kc was matching our offense all night
I would have let McDermott go for the Bengals game, but overall this is true. Defensive continuous no shows in these playoffs games the last three years is a huge concern, especially when we're supposed to have a defensive head coach. Ownership isn't going to touch it, but at some point McDermott has to have his defense show up because it really hasn't outside of 4 years ago against Lamar. It's 32 points a game and an average QB rating of 115. Hard to win games that way.
I think a consequence of playoff expansion is that I value appearances even less now. I think there's a lot of coaches that can win the AFC East with Josh Allen and win a home wildcard game.
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6 hours ago, HappyDays said:
This was the weakest version of the Chiefs that we will probably ever see under Mahomes.
We got them in our stadium.
We had an all-world Josh Allen performance. Mahomes missed 2 TD passes.
We got lucky with a fumble through the end zone saving the game for us.
And it still wasn't enough to get it done.
I felt all along like it had to be this year that we beat the Chiefs to give fans some kind of confidence that this regime could get over that hump. After today, can we honestly be confident that this regime will ever take us to the promised land?
That means McDermott AND Beane by the way. Defensive coaching in this game was awful. And ultimately poor WR play was once again our biggest issue on offense, after years of under investing in the position.
I don't know man. I can't even find it in me to feel hopeful about next year with the same guys in charge.
It's a good question because with Josh Allen at QB, high seed and divisional round games should be the floor and it looks like the ceiling.
We can microanalyze some of Josh's decision making at the end there but Bass has to be cut for not making that kick and McDermott has to be fired for his defense once again not even showing up. Buffalo dominated TOP because the Chiefs averaged 8 yards a play.
These are the only games where the team is judged, the goal is to win super bowls, and this season is a colossal failure for the third time in a row.
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Is McD actually compensating for Beane?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
This year's rendition of the team was closer to the coaching is better than the talent then the other way around, at least on defense. The Beane presser for me was basically defending his guys publicly as a recruiting pitch, and I'm not sure I believe his claim of extensions only.
On offense, i think they should retain Cooper for another year and run that side of the ball back. Get Cooper, Samuel and Kincaid healthy and that skill position room looks and performs different.
Defensively, the talent has gone up and down over the years with the notion of it being a "transition year" pointing to all the moves on defense.
This year was a particularly bad year for the defense as a whole and, and this offseason is a chance to cut bait on some of those DL investments that haven't worked and look for defensive talent.