BillsfaninCT
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Posts posted by BillsfaninCT
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the reason they won this year is not the same as other years, they won because that was the best decision for the NFL business, 49ers just stop running the ball and again, a decision comes down from another head coach that puts the team in a lower percentage win position, we're all so surprised that the largest revenue option coincidentally happened, how amazing. beat the bills and the ravens on road, down by 10 at the half and the amazing chiefs all by themselves won the game.
lmao.
it was entertaining though for 1/2 a game.
should screen shot my text chats as my bills fans friends and I just laugh about the entire situation saying the same thing, oh look they actually had to call the horse collar because you could see it from the moon but the holding, nah...
25 people around me all fans of different teams, all saying the same thing, "NFL got what they wanted and there were some stupid decisions by the 49ers, business decisions were made LMAO" each independently asking for the script for 2024 and equally saying we'll watch anyways cause were addicts.
well except my boss who is a 49ers fan and refuses to think and NDA for players and coaches is coincidence, gambling has no impact and neither did taylor... fair enough, to each their own.
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15 hours ago, Billl said:
Cool story. Show us the betting slips where you put your life savings on Kansas City for the fourth straight game since you know it's rigged.
and just like that you took the bait, depending where the money goes before and during the game, with 2 mins to go the entire thing can change with 2 balls chucked into the turf....... you don't know, I don't know but that was a wild change in game plan, then the FG just gets a 20mph gust and hooks right? you're tyler bass, in an elimination game, and you're gonna hit it to the right and gamble on wide right of all things? that's insane, you gotta miss that left if you miss it.
Quoteformer Tampa Bay Buccaneers S Dwight Smith in 2020, talking about the upcoming Chiefs vs. Bucs Super Bowl. In the 2003 Super Bowl, Smith was a big part of the unexpected 48-21 rout of the Oakland Raiders, led by Bill Callahan. The game ain’t decided on the field. I played in the game. I set a Super Bowl record (two interceptions returned for touchdowns), and we knew every play they were running before the game even started.”
Smith, calling into a local sports talk radio show in 2020, was asked his prediction for the Mahomes-Brady bowl:
“So how do you see this one playing out?”
“It depends on how Vegas makes that call. You know, whatever makes them the most money.”
The show host pressed further.
“So you think that the Super Bowl, the one you were a part of, was illegitimate?”
Smith: “I think EVERY ONE is.”
QuoteThis brings us to the hidden reveal in Dwight Smith’s courageous appearance on talk radio in 2020. What is he saying exactly? Well, he’s saying that the players are somewhat involved in this rigging of NFL games.
Recent players like Benny Cunningham, Larry Johnson, Junior Galette, and Chris Borland have all blown the whistle on signing non-disclosure agreements contractually obligating them to go along with the script. Raiders’ wide receivers Tim Brown and Jerry Rice called this out after the same 2003 Super Bowl:
Brown, a Hall of Famer, the Heisman Trophy winner, 6th overall pick in the draft, and number seven all-time in receiving yards, accused his higher-ups of sabotaging their chances: “Friday morning we get in and we have a brand new game plan. I have NEVER had a coach two days before a game change the game plan.”
The Raiders, facing their former coach Jon Gruden (not suspicious at all, just like this year’s Andy Reid Bowl), ran a smash-mouth run attack under Bill Callahan all season long. In Super Bowl XXXVII, Oakland came out throwing the ball all over the yard with Rich Gannon, a respectable but far from elite quarterback.
Jerry Rice agreed: “In a way, maybe because he didn’t like the Raiders, he decided, ‘Maybe we should sabotage this a little bit and let Jon Gruden go out and win this one.”
All of a sudden it's time to gamble the entire game on 2 25yd passes that leave 1:50 on the clock for a defense that stopped less than 10% of the opponents drives. based on the comments so far...... that was actually the plan but the previous 95% we not doin that. well I guess instead of changing the game plan 2 days before, they're just changing it at the 2 min warning.
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so there's still a large cross section of fans who think it's all coincidence... sure jan.
bet against ratings and merch for the 3rd week in a row and you deserve to lose all of that money.
they make taylor (and thus the nfl business) an underdog to simply take your money.
be better and keep believe the sport is a series of games and not a business based on tv ratings and ultimately entertainment.
the rest of us are still waiting to be back in the script with the W.
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the baltimore browns, hope the owner never wins another playoff game for what he did to Cleveland fans. what a loser.
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math doesn't work.
The Bills went 16 plays ON THAT DRIVE
had the ball for more than 37 minutes in the game
78 plays to Kansas City's 47
--(yet KC was winning, giving the ball back with 1:50 to go is the best decision?? lets check the math)
Josh Allen completed 26 of 39 passes for 186 yards and a touchdown but Josh rushed for 72 yards and two touchdowns on 12 carries, zero plays throwing over 20yds
--but now we gonna take 25yrd kill shots after diggs just dropped one in his hands instead of run josh or i dunno take diggs on a crosser wide open? like you, know, what worked??
2mins of 37mins is 5% of the offensive time of possession.
at the 2 min warning with 5% of possession time left to control the game, it makes zero football sense even if you only consider that drive, let alone the game, let alone the previous 6 games. 418mins of 420... that's 99.52% thrown away on 2 kill shot plays, nonsense.
you're telling me that with 3.3% left to go in the game and 5% of their total T.O.P., running the clock out and scoring a touch down wins the game or running the clock out and kicking a field goal guarantees overtime, that ONLY at the 2min warning do they change their mind is both buffalo's decision and is the thing to do?
nobody can actually be serious about looking directly at diggs and throwing to Shakir as "the best option" with that math and pretext. it's total nonsense because it doesn't add up.
i can't accept that. the outcome is the outcome but I'd love to have the communications going on at the 2 min warning.
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the NFL is a hobby for billionaires, winning is mostly bragging rights. we give it way more sentimental value than they do because financially winning doesn't impact an owners payout, it's not the late 90's and early 2000's where there are destitute teams who need winning (Patriots) to keep a team in boston instead of hartford. buffalo has a new stadium coming and they could lose every game of the season and sell the place out... if they don't who cares? we already know how it ends, they move the team and most of the loss is on Erie County and New York State........ there is literally nothing to lose.
it's just a rich person club and we have no idea what actually goes on in the club meetings.
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Nobody is explaining what motivation there is to change from a clock eating 4min offense with the highest win percentage to one of the lowest win percentage approaches they took. every explanation to "get the touchdown and let your defense make a stop" is less than and goes directly against the game plan and the previous 6 games.
make it make sense.
it's as if the previous 418 mins, 6 wins and game plans including the game plan for this game were forgotten. that is 99% of the possible time.
you're telling me with less than 1% to go, they all forgot or made a mistake, and I don't believe you
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1 minute ago, Gregg said:
You don't really believe this do you. This is the NFL not the WWE.
What I believe is the percentages that I gave and it is no surprise they lost the game by changing the game plan. somebody decided to take kill shots instead of run the clock when all the games prior the last bills drive, when possible, was 4 min offense. of all the teams to change out the 4 min offense with 2 mins to go, the chiefs is literally the last team you'd do that against.
explain it.
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No it wasn't decided then, it was decided after 418 mins out of a possible 420 that the plan to control the clock using ball control and taking what the defense would give you should be changed. Mathematically, 99.52% of the possible time had expired, 6 games had been won and 96.7% of the 7th game was ball control including the drive they were on. Even if all of that previous time wasn't dedicated to taking what they give arguably and easily the majority of it did. So with a fraction of the time across 7 games remaining, Josh Allen doesn't pick 3 open receivers that the defense is giving? I don't believe that. Watch Kurt Warner's review.
You cannot make me believe that McDermott, Brady, and Josh all had amnesia in that moment at the 2 minute warning. Also McDermott wasn't even mad about it which means Josh did what he was suppose to do.
Somebody told McDermott to lose the game, and he told Brady, and Brady told Josh.
nothing else makes a lick of sense in the context of 420mins of ball control football (more or less)
a whole bunch of parlays got blown up on Josh and Diggs... if Josh threw to Diggs big parlay payout for that 5yds for him and Josh. Not to mention swifty's ratings were at major risk.
call it whatever you want to call it but at least it doesn't make sense to do what Josh did.
How many times have we heard McDermott say to take what they give you? but with 2 mins to go, the ability to run the clock out and save your defense it's perfectly fine to overlook Diggs? b u l l s h i t
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natural grass fields are not what you think they are, but greenbay has one of the examples.
The natural grass fields are heated with vent pipes beneath the soil and massive furnace/heat pump circulates hot air through the soil to try and keep the root zone temps up this time of year. believe it or not grass doesn't stop growing when it's cold but the colder it gets obviously the slower it consumes nutrients. they also will tarp the field and blow hot air into the domed/tarped grass to energize the photosynthesizing blades of grass. beyond that, the natural grass fields are stitched with a dessograss master or sis-grass synthetic turf fibers, I just visited Patriots lower practice field and met with the super there with a team of us because we're proposing it for a school field.
baltimore was a pioneer in some the grass field technology or early adopter i guess you could say many years ago but right now, greenbay is the closest example to what buffalo should be looking for.
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51 minutes ago, Brandon said:
Agreed, and if you pass up a fairly high percentage chance at the TD and a 4 point lead, there are no guarantees that you will get another opportunity. You don't have the luxury of passing that up late in a game playing from behind.
I have zero issue with Allen's decision.
it's not a luxury to pass it up, it's understanding how to win the game which requires understanding that odds are better with running the clock out and kicking a 25yrd FG to O.T. then you're down to a coin toss to get the ball first in o.t. and then win on the 2nd score.... but that's just bad coaching.... relying on the defense to make a stop is one of, if not the least likely scenarios.
any scenario that leaves 5 seconds, maybe 10 on the clock is after the TD or FG is losing and failing to understand high percentages because the defense doing something is every time less likely than giving zero time back. in that case the best choice is to rely on the coin flip in o.t. to be the 1st one to have a 2nd score option
saying a defensive stop is the high percentage play is wrong.
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4 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:
When a TD is there you take it. There is never a sure TD. You may never get a wide open receiver in the endzone like that again.
no you don't! cause you don't win the game that way in this scenario. we didn't need the end zone, we needed the clock run out and kick a 20yd field goal, then get a 50/50 coin toss to get the ball in O.T. and on the premise, the likely one, neither D stops either offense the bills win on the 2nd score.
it's terrible coaching, execution or something.
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12 minutes ago, Scott7975 said:
When its likely your last possession, the game is absolutely about getting the TD first.
to ensure it is your last possession, you run the clock out by getting a first down.
in your scenario and the one they attempted the defense has to make a stop with 1:50 left in the game and there isn't quantitative evidence to believe in this game or from the past playoff games the defense makes that stop
so the fundamental problem is the clock, not the TD because the field goal could've been at least 5yrds closer if not more.
it's a bad decision to prioritize the touchdown over the clock
the strategy there is to not let KC get the ball back and at worse kick the FG as time in regulation expires.
the entire approach relied on the defense making a stop.
if you believe the defense can make a stop, why we playing 6 games and 58 minutes the like they can't? it's like the game plan got thrown out with 2 mins to go.
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of course we're looking for the throw to digs... it's 2nd down, don't need a touch down right there and why on earth would you WILLINGLY give the ball back to KC in the context of this game and this history of these 2 teams and the state of our defense when you have the option to get a few yards towards the 1st down, then do something on 3rd down to maybe get it.
the game isn't about the touchdown first, the game is about running out the clock, if literally shouldn't lose running out the clock cause the field goal is like a 25 yarder at the 15 after a 1st down
throwing to shakir was the worst of the 2 options between shakir and diggs Josh had in that moment.. and why we are even throwing the ball is more dumb founding if you're gonna kick the FG anyways lol. if the offense can't net 2-3 yards on 2nd and 3rd down runs you lose nothing lol and run the clock with a higher probability on a tie for O.T.
the only logic to score a TD with 1:50 on the game is you expect your defense to stop KC.... do you honestly believe that is the best decision?
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6 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:
Diggs was open but so was Shakir. Allen made the right choice by throwing to either one of them.
I disagree with this, throwing to Shakir isn't the high percentage game winner, it in fact gives the ball back to the chiefs with 1:50 left in the game who most likely get the ball last, what a stupid decision to throw there. the higher percentage play is diggs. so if we're blaming somebody for the loss it's whoever decided to throw to Shakir and I'm not saying that was Josh, we have no idea who said what to do but that is major sus given the previous 6 games and 58 minutes, makes zero sense in that context... then to double down and throw it into the crumb rubber on 3rd downs is indefensible but we will never know who said to do what and why.
also, diggs didn't need to get the 1st down, it was 2nd down so the entire philosophy that throwing to diggs for the 1st down is dumb cause he doesn't get that completely misses the point of using all 3 downs to try and get a 1st down and at worse get 9yds closer for the fg.
the argument to throw to shakir is dumb founding
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to be fair, Josh had the ball and missed 4 open receivers. 2 of them on 2nd down (diggs and shakir) then 2 more on 3rd down........ I don't believe he is that bad but I believe he had to be that bad in that moment for whatever reason and he delivered.
if they control the ball, get a 1st down, get a td with 10 seconds left the bills are the better team, they are not and here we are.
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2 minutes ago, Not at the table Karlos said:
What are you carrying on about? You saw what happened. You watched it for hours but still here asking what happened. You saw it. I’m going to put it on Josh because he makes the final decision on where the ball goes and I highly doubt Brady was in his ear before the mic turned off to throw it to the end zone. Josh has shown time and time again that he makes idiotic decisions with the ball at times. Why there’s the phrase Sugar rush Josh. Hero ball is thrown around(I don’t think that throw was a hero ball, just not the correct read) it happens and we all wonder what he was thinking. Then he makes an amazing throw and we forget all about it.
6 games and 58 mins of this game he check downs but the last 2 mins of the most important game you're saying he got sugar high josh and decided nah, running the clock isn't my gig i want the tuddy? sorry i don't believe that's what happened at all.
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1 minute ago, KDIGGZ said:
And that's why it's a low percentage throw. Everything has to go perfect for it to happen. Good blocking, time to throw, an accurate throw 30+ yards away (good luck, almost nobody can make that throw), a receiver that can run the perfect route and get open, the receiver making a tough catch in traffic, etc. Very low percentage play. The right thing was run everyone deep and hit Diggs underneath for 10 yards and keep the clock moving.
and Josh looked right at Diggs, well the ward says i gotta lose this game lol, and he did. congrats adam.
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2 minutes ago, KDIGGZ said:
Yep, the end zone shots were low percentage throws that were nearly impossible to make and even so it would have been terrible strategy to leave the best QB in the league that much time to answer back. Why put your defense, that's being held together with duct tape at that point, back out there? That's either terrible play calling or it's on Josh. I'm leaner towards the latter
makes no sense to blame Josh, that would mean he all of a sudden forgot that running the clock out won the game and from the previous 6 games, the entire 58 mins of the game he forgot on the last 2, I don't believe that. He looked right at diggs and then threw it into the turf, "being knocked off the spot" is nonsense, go rewind the DVR lol. even if you buy that, the next play he has 2 guys and we still in amnesia mode? i'll take WWE for 200 alex.
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i watched it for over an hour AFTER THE GAME rewinding it, cannot be explained. scoring the TD doesn't win the game so either the coaches or Josh decided to try and not win the game... it's not complicated. 1st down wins at worst ties the game... but instead do everything except that.
inexplicable
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the 3 plays that killed us were only 2
throwing into the endzone with 150 left in the game which is inexplicable given the context of the rest of the entire game and the execution.
the bills literally threw the game into the turf. i guess he could've gone full adam sandler and threw the picks but that couldn't have been scripted much worse. diggs wide open and ja17 looked RIGHT AT HIM, then he had 2 guys on 3rd down and threw that into the crumb rubber.
WWE.
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so josh missed 3 wide open receivers in the "kill the clock area of the field" he's that bad? come on man.
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who in their right mind with a high school football acumen decides the TD at 1:50 is the path to win the game? absolutely NOBODY. NOBODY, you're forfeiting the game lol. they all knew the chances of the D stopping the chiefs was a lower win percentage than getting 1st downs and running the clock, so after a great game plan and pretty good execution of that all game, now we looking right past the wide open diggs on 2nd down, then the 2 wide open guys in the same spot on 3rd down? i mean this is a 180 degree flip of execution. Josh said nah, i'm going for the TD knowing full well that's not the path forward but all game long he's doing the opposite?
yo, I'll take WWE for 200 Alex.
the highest percentage path to winning that game is 1st downs and at worst kick a 25yd field goal. they did exactly what the NFL wanted, found defeat in the most obvious moment of clear victory lol. nobody getting fired.
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the goal there is to get a 1st down, like who on the football planet of earth doesn't know the goal is to get a 1st down???? you likely do not win the game if you score a TD with more than 10 seconds on the clock, cause the defense has to be accepted as inadequate so you run the clock out that's all there is to it and they literally did all of the wrong possible things lol. make me believe it.
i don't think we're allowed to post the tv coverage but somebody will post those 2 pass plays and it's inexplicable in the context of what's needed to win the game.
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What is your level of patience on not advancing to the Super Bowl?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted · Edited by BillsfaninCT
HC does what script says, you're looking for a change amongst the rod and gun club my friend for a new script. Good luck generating more revenue than swifties lol