NicholasCal1
-
Posts
328 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by NicholasCal1
-
-
the uniforms in the ufl are so horrible that i can't watch lol
-
For me it is Skip Bayless and Woody Paige. I can't stand to listen to either of them ramble. They both love to play devil's advocate and take opposite and outlandish stances just to get people to talk about them.
Who really pushes your buttons when it comes to sports media?
i agree. bayless is a no nothing ass clown
-
Yeah, yeah, yeah we have all heard the big numbers....but unlike the dopes at ESPN etc., I prefer to actually watch and understand the game...essentially the "how" they have done what they have. Also, I know all you KC Joyner fans are sure to be upset about my proper use of statistical analysis here, but you will have to get over it
After watching the game films and looking at the play by play info, and then the stats, a few glaring points appear to have been overlooked:
1. The Saints have averaged 12 drives a game, and they have started them from their own 40 yard line on average.
* It's important to note that, while the Bills opponents have also gotten a lot of drives, that has been largely due to positive things like: pick 6s, and us scoring...and not due to give aways, 3 and outs, or #2 below.
2. Opposing QBs have thrown 5 meaningful(6 total), give-away picks. None of the interceptions were due to excellent play from the Saints D. Rather, they were the other team's QB hitting them in the #s. All of them have given away huge field position. 3 of them have resulted in TDs. Essentially, the Saints have yet to face a NFL "varsity" QB.
3. The Saints are vulnerable to big plays, as well as the running game. They are especially vulnerable in the kicking game. They have yet to play a good special teams opponent, and, have gotten extremely short fields due to #2, hence #1.
Detroit Game:
1. Um...it's Detroit? You are playing them at home? Rookie QB's first game?
2. The Saints average drive start, of which they had 13, was their 39 yard line. You give any top 15 offense 13 drives from their 40 yard line and and yeah, we can expect them to score a lot of points. I don't care how good a defense is, you can't expect them to not give up at least 28 points given these circumstances. After all, the Saints only needed to score 4/13 times. We are talking about friggin' Detroit here...so we can replace "good" with "terrible" and therefore replace 28 points with 45.
3. Somebody remind me why I am analyzing an NFL football game involving the Lions again please...rookie QB throws 3 picks...blah, blah, blah. Why are we even considering the stats from this game as statistically significant?
Eagles Game:
1. Once again, the Saints average drive start, of which they had 11(
) was their 40 yard line. Same thing all over again as in the Detroit game.2. The score at half time was 17-13. Hardly an example of overwhelming potency on offense, or of dominating a game. And this time, they were playing a respectable team. What happened?
A. The Iggles fumbled the kick off to start the 3rd quarter, giving the Saints the ball on their 22 yard line. Now, understanding that "yeah, it's a lucky break, but you still have to score the TD", a huge turnover like that, and capitalizing on it, put the Iggles down 2 scores immediately, and, for the rest of the game.
B. As if that wasn't bad enough, back up QB Kolb comes out 3 plays later and throw an AWFUL pick giving the Saints the ball on their 24 yard line. Saints score a TD and now it's 31-13 at 11:39 in the 3rd. The game is now completely changed, and the Eagles, just like their fans, aren't historically known for their mental strength/intestinal fortitude.
3. Meanwhile...
Near-Rookie Kolb threw for almost 400 yards on this D...and 196 of that was in the first half, when the game was close or tied. So there goes the "yeah, but, they were throwing because they were behind argument"...right out the window. In fact Kolb had a 107.4 passer rating in the first half. It wasn't until the second half, when Kolb threw his 2 meaningful(3rd didn't matter) picks, that the Saints scored 31 points.
Sorry but these three are game-killers, I don't care who you are. Looks a hell of a lot more like the Eagles lost...rather than the Saints won, and Detroit played like...Detriot. I will give the Saints credit for putting together a total of 5 long drives. However by and large the Eagles offense gave away that game...and Detroit...
So what does this all mean?
1. I think we can all agree that the Bills are going to put up more than 231 yards of total offense, so you can forget about Brees getting 13 drives from his 40.
2. The Eagles WERE running and west coasting their way just fine on the Saints in the first half of their game. In fact, in the first half both Eagle RBs were running for 5 yards a carry. If it wasn't for the 3 minute melt down at the beginning of the second half, it's fair to assume that they would have ended up with 120 yards total rushing(EDIT: they had 60 at half time...so 120 is a conservative estimate). That's crazy #s for a West Coast offense...uh..that relies on short passing to supposedly replace the run game. Remember? No way the Saints score 48 points if that happens. In fact, if that happens the Saints probably lose this game.
3. Clearly the Saints can be run on by our offense. But even more importantly, they can be run on in special teams. Therefore....if the Bills can use their superior special teams to reverse this trend I have found, and instead, start 10 drives from THEIR 40 yard line on average, then this game becomes a relatively easy win for the Bills. Yeah, I said it. I could be wrong, but based on what I have seen so far, I highly doubt it.
i think you hit a home run with this post. bottom line protect the football and don't give up the big play.
-
vanilla
-
harington. he had hype
-
i hope he is the real deal. we need a tight end that can make a defense nervous
-
So, Jim Kelly's suggested a short time ago to have the team move up to Niagara Falls. He also seems confident there's enough local resources to keep the Bills in WNY. Then you have this PR out of Dallas about the Bills thinking of doing something with a new stadium, which current management strongly denies.
Certainly moving the Bills up there makes it closer for the Rochester/Syracuse fans and fans in the city of Toronto.
But, in thinking about it more, look at the casinos, hotels, and restaurants there. These would all have to be at drooling on some level at the prospect of having 70,000+ fans flock to the area every weekend in a slower part of the year. They could offer weekend packages, shuttles from the border, etc. Also, it would seem to me that any global business company in Toronto would already entertain overseas clients at the Falls, considering it is a world-known natural wonder. Might be able to sell them some corporate suites at the stadium, also.
Anybody know/have any thoughts on whether there are deep enough pockets in Niagara Falls to help with buying the team and moving them up there?
Could the stadium actually provide enough financial incentive that potential deep pockets would actually want to cough up $$$$?
Do Toronto businesses/corps have enough presence in Niagara Falls to help financially support the move (both before and after)? Certainly playing a game or two a year in TO would help this scenario.
Anybody know or have thoughts on whether there's any reality to this entire scenario? I'm in Cleveland and have little idea about the actual amount of $$$ there and who controls it. TIA
i was thinking along the same lines as you.. the only group conecting with the falls would be the senecas. this would be huge for their casino.
-
Ko Simpson will probably not make the team.
thats a safe bet
-
I'm thinking that Roscoe could possibly be a trade target. $2.5 Million less pay and very little production as a WR. Josh Reed has shown to me that he will be a very effective slot receiver, and the leaves Roscoe odd man out. What Roscoe brings to the table is his elite PR ability. Freddy Jackson has shown he can fill in PR duty very effectively, and let's not forget about McKelvin. McKelvin was more known coming out of college for his PR abilities than his KR. So, in my view the person that is most at risk of leaving the Bills is Roscoe.
After Roscoe, I see Jenkins as the next odd man out. He hasn't and won't contribute on the offensive side of the ball field, unless some sort of freak accidents occur with our WR's. He contributed as a special teamer and that does have an importance, but if we were to keep Roscoe I just don't see how Jenkins stays. Unless we were to keep Hardy on PUP for the first half of the year and then on the practice squad through out the year if they didn't believe he was ready and we were short on special teams help.
1)Roscoe
2)Jenkins
3)Hardy
i wouldn't be suprised to see the bills trade parish before the draft.
-
great site. thanks for the link
-
hot dogs, brats with sour kraut or cheese burgers.
-
He might have a hard time finding a job in the next 2 seasons...most jobs are filled already or close to being filled and in 2010 he will have to contend with having Cowher, Holmgren, Shannahan and maybe even Dungy to get a job. Not to mention there are still some coordinators that will surface as candidates as they always do, and there are other potential coaches that might also become front runners for jobs if they seek them like Mariucci, Fassel, and maybe even Marty.
His players didnt like em, and they voted him out and even some of his former players are taking pleasure in his firing...
That can't bode well in a job search. Plus, there likely wont be many job openings in 2010, at least compared to the turnover we had this year.
keyshawn johnson said that gruden is nothing more than a used car salesman
-
he should have sent packing right there and then. no player should get away with that type of selfishness
-
i think willy can have a succesful run in the nfl
-
Not alot of places to get wasted and throw things at politicians in Buffalo...
look for any chicken dinner. and you will find one. mostly they are at carnivals and fairs and festivals asking for your vote.
-
I believe it has to do more with favre then with mangini...Farve is playing his "everybody pay attention to me" crap...reports say Favre is mad cuz Mangini treats him like a reg QB and chews him out infront of staff and players..on the other hand , the players (Jones in particular) are makeing it seem that Favre gets the "A" list treatment while the rest of them are dogs sleeping outside...anyways...while watching the comments made by owner of Jets, it sounds like they want Favre back more than there HC...theyr so afraid that if they keep Mangini, Favre will walk...what theyre not paying attention to tho is that Favre seems to be being outed by his fellow players and this may lead him to leave the Jets even tho Mangini is gone...I really hope this happens...this will leave the Jets with no real #1 QB and no HC.
i think you are right on target. favre is a primadonna. and has an ego the size of nyc. i bet if you polled the players they would rather have mangini back and let favre leave town.
-
Here's an idea. How about transfering that sentiment to all the sh--head politicians that have ruined WNY over the years...
amen to that post
-
I think it is actually pretty fitting. Thumbs up Ralph and Russ
lmao
-
didn't he play for the bills ? for some reason i'm thinking he did.
-
good job reggie witherspoon. it is so refreshing to see UB do well. soon it will be UB that gets the headlines while the pro teams move to the back of the paper.
-
the players love jauron because they have it made with him as coach. he doesn't work them hard during mini camp. remember jauron giving his players a day off because he thought they put in in a good effort. they know he will never call them out when they screw up and he doesn't get in anyones face. they play like he coaches a bunch of panzis
-
i think jauron has incriminating info on ralph wilson. thats the only logic i can come up with as why jauron is still the bills head coach. i hope ralph gets shunned by the hall of fame again, he doesn't deserve to be inshrined.
-
I don't hate the guy, but I respect his trade value. If we were able to trade him for a 1st rounder, bundle that pick with our current 1st rounder and move into the top 5 picks, we could get who? I mean really, who are we going after here? Who would we replace Peters with also? I enjoy the fact that we got a guy for cheap on our roster with an inflated reputation around the league, but seriously this is bad timing. I can't see us trading him because there is less reward in having him leave.
if they can move up high enough to get the tackle from alabama. that might work but i doubt they will be able to get close enough.
-
If anything, it worsens matters. A future Hall of Fame, two-time Super Bowl-winning coach gets canned on the very day a career loser is retained by the sham employer he works for.
The Buffalo Bills get more embarrassing by the year.
great point
Best Sports Bars in the Buffalo area?
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
M T Pockets on Hertel ave is a great place. Whitters bar on Oliver street in North Tonawanda is good. You won't find many bad places to watch a game.