TravelingDad48 Posted October 23, 2004 Share Posted October 23, 2004 Found this at ... http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff.php Its interesting to see numbers like these with the emotions removed .. and a few suprises ! 2004 TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS Updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-19-04 These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings for 2004, measured by our proprietary Value Over Average (VOA) system that breaks down every single play and compares a team's performance to the league averaged based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.) OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted based on strength of opponent as well as to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season. NON-ADJ TOTAL VOA does not include these adjustments. Opponent adjustments are currently at 60 percent strength and will gradually increase each week until Week 10. As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE. Ranked #12 overall Ranked #17 in OFFENSE at -2.0%, Minn 1st at 35.4%, Miami last at -52.6% Ranked #12 in DEFENSE at -3.3%, Seattle 1st at 26%, Minn last at 30.3% Minn being first in offense and last in defense ranks then #17 Ranked #1 overall is Philly, 3rd in O and 9th in D Ranked #2 is NE, 4th in O and 3rd in D These two teams are WAY ahead of the other teams in the rankings. -------------------------- TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS, OFFENSE 2004, updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-19-04 This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total offense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted based on strength of schedule. They are also adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the offense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing offense. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs. Strength of schedule adjustments are currently at 60 percent, and will increase in strength each week until Week 10. No suprise here .. #17 overall, #18 in passing, #22 in rushing. ----------------------------- TEAM EFFICIENCY RATINGS, DEFENSE 2004, updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-19-04 This page lists DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) for total defense as well as rushing and passing offense separated. The DVOA system is explained here. All numbers below are adjusted based on strength of schedule. They are also adjusted to an average percentage of fumbles recovered by the defense. The exceptions are the final three columns, which are unadjusted total, passing, and rushing defense. Rushing includes all rushing, not just running backs. Strength of schedule adjustments are currently at 60 percent, and will increase in strength each week until Week 10. Ranked #12 overall, #15 against the pass and #6 against the run ---------------------------------- QUARTERBACKS Bledsoe is ranked #17, 19 and 15 in the catagories so he ranks middle of the pack. ------------------------------ RUNNING BACKS The final statistic is Success Rate. This number represents the player's consistency, measured by successful running plays (the definition of success being different based on down and distance) divided by total running plays. A player with higher VOA and a low success rate mixes long runs with downs getting stuffed at the line of scrimmage. A player with lower VOA and a high success rate generally gets the yards needed, but doesn't often get more. Success Rate (which used to be called "Running Back Batting Average") is further explained here. It is not adjusted for opponent. Henry ranked #31 amongst backs with a success rate of 48%, ranked #19 McGahee ranked #24 amongst backs, success rate of 56% , ranked #7 ----------------------------- WIDE RECEIVERS /TIGHT ENDS Catch % represents the percentage of passes to this receiver completed. Moulds ranked #20, catch % of 67%. (H.Ward is at 90%.) 67% looks very average. Evans has to few catches to be ranked, but his PAR rating would have him#28, and making 63% of his catches. Campbell is ranked #27 and making 50% of his catches With numbers like those for catches no wonder Bledsoes ranking is low !! ------------------------------ OFFENSIVE LINES 2004, updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-19-04 Teams are ranked according to adjusted line yards. Line yards are all rushing yards by running backs only, with double-digit runs truncated to 10 yards. Numbers are then adjusted based on game situation (except the column marked "NON-ADJUSTED LINE YARDS") as well as opponent quality. The following stats are not adjusted for opponent: 10+ Yards: Percentage of a team's rushing yards more than 10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yardage not reflected in Line Yards stat. Power Success: Percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown. Also includes runs on first-and-goal or second-and-goal from the two-yard line or closer. This is the only statistic on this page that includes quarterbacks. Stuffed: Percentage of runs that result in (on first down) zero or negative gain or (on second through fourth down) less than one-fourth the yards needed for another first down. Since being stuffed is bad, teams are ranked from stuffed least often (#1) to most often (#32). Now these numbers are interesting ! Ranked #19 overall, power % at 50, ranked #25, 10+ yards ranked #25, stuffed ranked #15. So again they are slightly below average. they are #32 for sacks allowed ! They run left 21% of the time for 2.88 yards (rank #27) They run up the middle 61% for 3.40 yards (rank #13) They run right 17% of the time for 4.47 yards (rank #1 !!!!!!!) ------------------------------------ DEFENSIVE LINES 2004, updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-19-04 Teams are ranked according to adjusted line yards. Line yards are all rushing yards by running backs only, with double-digit runs truncated to 10 yards. Numbers are then adjusted based on game situation (except the column marked "NON-ADJUSTED LINE YARDS") as well as opponent quality. The following stats are not adjusted for opponent: 10+ Yards: Percentage of rushing yards against this defense that come more than 10 yards past the line of scrimmage. Represents yardage not reflected in Line Yards stat. Since allowing long runs is bad, teams are ranked from smallest number of 10+ yards (#1) to largest number of 10+ yards (#32). Power Success: Percentage of runs on third or fourth down, two yards or less to go, that achieved a first down or touchdown. Also includes runs on first-and-goal or second-and-goal from the two-yard line or closer. This is the only statistic on this page that includes quarterbacks. Since allowing first downs is bad, teams are ranked from lowest power success (#1) to highest power success (#32). Stuffed: Percentage of runs that result in (on first down) zero or negative gain or (on second through fourth down) less than one-fourth the yards needed for another first down. Ranked from most stuffs (#1) to fewest stuffs (#32). Ranked #12 overall Power: ranked #15 10+ yards and stuffed: Ranked #6 Ranked #18 in sacks. So overall a solid defence, almost top 10 ------------------------------------- SPECIAL TEAMS RATINGS 2004, updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-19-04 This page lists an estimate of how many points, compared to league average, each team receives from the five elements of special teams: field goals/extra points, kickoffs, kick returns, punts, punt returns. The total is then converted into a DVOA percentage so that it can be added in to offense and defense to create total team DVOA. Field goal rating compares each field goal to the league-average percentage of field goals from that distance. Yards of field position from the other four elements of special teams are translated into points using a method that gives each yard line a point value based on the average next score an NFL offense is worth from that point on the field. Punts, punt returns, and kickoffs are based on net yardage. Kickoff returns are judged on return yardage only. The system is explained here. Two-point conversions and onside kicks are not included. All special teams numbers are adjusted for weather/altitude based on stadium type (cold, warm, dome, Denver) and week, with the exception of the two columns at the far right marked NON-ADJUSTED. VOA represents the five elements of special teams without weather adjustments. VOA w/HIDDEN adds two secondary elements of special teams over which teams have virtually no control: opponent field goal efficiency and opponent kickoff length. Ranked #8 .. which compared to pass years has to be WAY up ! These were not ranked on the page but were: About #26 in kicking (XP/FG) About #13 in KO About #2 in KO returns (outstanding !) About #15 in punts About #10 in punt returns ------------------------ 2004 DRIVE STATS Updated through Week 6 Revised as of 10-20-2004 Drive stats compiled by Jim Armstrong These stats are computed from NFL Drive Charts and are not adjusted for strength of schedule or situation. FUM/Drive represents Fumbles Lost per drive. LOS/Drive represents average starting field position (line of scrimmage) per drive. Take-a-knee drives at the end of a half are discarded. NET values are simply OFFENSE minus DEFENSE. #16 Yds/Drive #27 Pts/Drive #27 TDs/Drive #29 Punts/Drive #12 TOs/Drive #12 INT/Drive #17 FUM/Drive #28 LOS/Drive So if 16 is average ... not very good .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravelingDad48 Posted October 23, 2004 Author Share Posted October 23, 2004 To much info? suprised no replys ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KurtGodel77 Posted October 23, 2004 Share Posted October 23, 2004 That is some good info. Keep it coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Guest Posted October 23, 2004 Share Posted October 23, 2004 To much info? suprised no replys ! 81496[/snapback] My eyes are bleeding! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Happy Days Lois & Clark Posted October 24, 2004 Share Posted October 24, 2004 Here are some league stats for you Bills have scored the 2nd fewest points in the league so far Chargers have scored the most points in the league so far Jacksonvill aloowed more points than they have scored but are 4-2 and in position for a wild card spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts