Throwback Bills Posted July 21, 2010 Share Posted July 21, 2010 I looked at www.ProFootballFocus.com and looked at last years production compared to top 15 teams. The top teams got about 1000 to 1030+ play off last year. Fred J averaged 4.5 per carry Lynnch 3.8 Evans 13.9 per catch Trent 60.1% with 6.3 yards per catch (tops of the main three) If you assume the following to keep players happy: RB 1 230 carrys x 4.5 = 1035 yds RB 2 165 carrys x 3.8 = 627 yds RB 3 125 carrys x 4.2 = 525 yds WR 1 75 catches x 13.9 = 1043 yds WR 2 55 catches x 14.0 = 770 yds WR 3 45 catches x 10.8 = 486 yds TE 50 catches x 10.0 = 500 yds RB's 65 catches x 12.0 = 780 yds Misc. 10 plays x 8.0 = 80 yds Total plays needed on offense to get above numbers is 1020. breaksdown like this: Rushing 520 Passing 500 To achieve this QB needs 500 attempts 300 completions for 60% for 3579 for 7.2 yds per catch. (can Chan get this out any of our QB's) Last year we had 979 snaps (926 plus ATL w/ 53) the QB's had 439 attempts (so cut down on sack and penalties and junk plays) Bills site has 911 plays, not sure what makes the difference? So we need 41 or 109 more offensive plays (3 or 7 more per game). More production from the QB with just a yard more per catch avg, TE yards per catch up and RB yards per catch up. I can now see why Buddy and Chan say we are not that far off. Chan has been working on the TE and Drafted for the RB as a WR. I would love this balance!!! Please note that I did not say anything about you was starting in 2010, only used last years stats Have at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mpl6876 Posted July 22, 2010 Share Posted July 22, 2010 I looked at www.ProFootballFocus.com and looked at last years production compared to top 15 teams. The top teams got about 1000 to 1030+ play off last year. Fred J averaged 4.5 per carry Lynnch 3.8 Evans 13.9 per catch Trent 60.1% with 6.3 yards per catch (tops of the main three) If you assume the following to keep players happy: RB 1 230 carrys x 4.5 = 1035 yds RB 2 165 carrys x 3.8 = 627 yds RB 3 125 carrys x 4.2 = 525 yds WR 1 75 catches x 13.9 = 1043 yds WR 2 55 catches x 14.0 = 770 yds WR 3 45 catches x 10.8 = 486 yds TE 50 catches x 10.0 = 500 yds RB's 65 catches x 12.0 = 780 yds Misc. 10 plays x 8.0 = 80 yds Total plays needed on offense to get above numbers is 1020. breaksdown like this: Rushing 520 Passing 500 To achieve this QB needs 500 attempts 300 completions for 60% for 3579 for 7.2 yds per catch. (can Chan get this out any of our QB's) Last year we had 979 snaps (926 plus ATL w/ 53) the QB's had 439 attempts (so cut down on sack and penalties and junk plays) Bills site has 911 plays, not sure what makes the difference? So we need 41 or 109 more offensive plays (3 or 7 more per game). More production from the QB with just a yard more per catch avg, TE yards per catch up and RB yards per catch up. I can now see why Buddy and Chan say we are not that far off. Chan has been working on the TE and Drafted for the RB as a WR. I would love this balance!!! Please note that I did not say anything about you was starting in 2010, only used last years stats Have at it. Appreciate the time it took you to do the research on these stats. IMO, stats are important but they can also be very deceiving. I would rather focus on the "main stat" wins and losses. No deception there. I think that's where the 2010 Buffalo Bills come up short.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thurman#1 Posted July 22, 2010 Share Posted July 22, 2010 Could you spell out your main point here? I have no idea what you want us to respond to. I'm not sure if that makes me an idiot (it may), but if you'd be so kind, humor me. What are you trying to say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Throwback Bills Posted July 22, 2010 Author Share Posted July 22, 2010 Could you spell out your main point here? I have no idea what you want us to respond to. I'm not sure if that makes me an idiot (it may), but if you'd be so kind, humor me. What are you trying to say? What I was trying to point out here is that, we always hear "we are this close", if "we could get one more set of downs". OR the experts say Chan is great at gaming plan to his talent. If you take those two points: 1) The existing stats from last year with no improvement, we only need one to two more series a game. 2) If we improve the TE play and get the RB in the passing game down field more (10+ yards), we could see great improvement. I think Chan was looking in that same direction with CJ and Matthews and OTAS running more crossing and seem route with TE. Sorry Some time I think/reading more then I am actually writing. Hope that helps (I know why didn't you just say that in the first place.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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