wax

perfect parity -- if you believe in that stuff -- would make it 1 in 32, for the 32 teams in the league. but we know that teams over .500 last year have a greater chance of finishing over .500 this year and the revese is also true. but it's not the case that all teams will exhibit this behavior. so the question becomes one of 26 teams that had a better record than the bills which ones will the bills make gain enough enough ground on them to overtake, which ones won't they and of the 7 they had better records, which ones can they remain ahead of? taking all that into consideration, i estimate the odds of the bills winning the super bowl this year at 1 in 75. some teams i see them over taking for example are the bengals and jets, and i don't realistically see any of the 7 worse teams over taking the bills. in that your schedule had points of 50 and 100, and 75 is equidistant, i flipped a coin and made my selection at the 1 in 50 threshold.

not bad, i'd get the bills to 13 & 3 if they made the following player moves (i.e. 1 win for each move): - Terrel Owens replaces Eric Moulds in a trade w/ Eegs - Ngata drafted at Nose Tackle - Shaq Diesel at Tight End - Tiger Woods at Free Safety

tiger is tough as nails and powerful -- did you see the drives he blew 70 yards past dimarco at the masters and the putts he poured in under pressure time after time? there isn't a player in the nfl that has performed under pressure consistently like tiger. not even brady who coughed up the big INT to champ. tiger could play on my team any time