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justnzane

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Posts posted by justnzane

  1. A few typos as Brandt clearly copied and pasted from one guy to the next. Sayers played for the Bears for 6 more years than he actually did, and Barry made 50 pro bowls :lol:

     

    As for QB's, I'd argue that Steve Young and Otto Graham belong on that list. I'd go as far as ranking Young ahead of Moon, Aikman, and Farve

  2. Okay, so in this the thread, the OP proves to be a dope as he wants the Bills to pass more. This is just idiotic as the offense controlled the clock and had one of the best ground attacks that put points on the board, which kept the inept defense off the field. Let's use our heads here before we start a thread about Taylor being not good because they don't pass a lot, and understand that a balanced attack is often a great thing.

  3. I say this every time, the European soccer teams do not make the public pay for stadia like we do. It considered the responsibility of the team to build their own palace. Many times the teams expand on existing grounds stand by stand instead of building a brand new stadium. Our government is so damn stupid to not figure this out.

  4. This has nothing to do with should or shouldn't. It has to do with the possibility.

     

    Here are a number of players gotten rid of while productive:

     

    Shady

    Jamie Collins

    Chandler Jones

    Brandon Marshall

    Percy Harvin

    Jimmy Graham

    Matt Forte

    Cooks

    Boldin

    Torrey Smith

     

    That's all in the last 3 years. I'm sorry, but if you think Lesean McCoy was untouchable this offseason depending on our direction, I think you're crazy.

    I wouldn't put Harvin in with the rest of these guys as he was hardly healthy, and effectively useless as the Bills discovered.

     

    That said, you don't get rid off weapons for nothing, unless you are replacing it with something capable, or are in cap purgatory.

     

    collins was traded because he was asking for more $ and the pats could absorb his loss, and the same applies with jones.

     

    Marshall has to be a locker room cancer considering how many teams have dumped him.

     

    The Seahawks traded a first and a pro bowl center to the Saints for Graham. That is a great deal for NO, as they had a lot of weapons for Brees.

     

    Forte, I'll agree with you on.

     

    cooks is a deal where the Saints have two capable receivers in Thomas and Snead, and are getting a 1st rounder back in the process

     

    Boldin was let go because they couldn't afford him and Fitz. That is a no-brainer that you keep Fitz.

     

    Smith tested free agency instead of taking what the Ravens offered.

     

    In almost every case above these teams had capable replacements already on the squad. I like Gillislee, but I don't rate him as highly as Shady, and would question if his stats are more of a byproduct of Shady and Tyrod.

  5. Per Shefter he has passed his physical

     

     

    https://twitter.com/adamschefter/status/834380255796350976

     

     

    Now pack his bags, deactivate his badge and thank him for his service.

     

     

    Over the middle !

    ... And the war drum beats on.

     

    I am not the biggest Tyrod fan, but the reality is that he is better than anything we'll be able to get this offseason, minus maybe cousins. Even then it would cost a king's ransom to get him after he signs the franchise tender with the Skins. Same could be said about Watson as he'll be gone by the Bills draft. Other names linked with the Bills are less inspiring, such Alex Smith and Romo.

     

    If the team did this well with the 7th ranked team in scoring with Tyrod. Maybe if we added talent to the defense (or coached them up right), the team could do better than 8-8.

  6.  

    Stole this topic from /r/nfl. Hey, it's the offseason...

     

    Would NFL fans tolerate on-field/on-uniform advertising in exchange for a 100% un-interrupted broadcast and shorter games?

     

    One of the biggest complaints NFL fans have is the sheer amount of commercial breaks during a standard NFL broadcast, so much so that the league is actively searching for ways to shorten commercial breaks and length of and streamlining games....

     

    My question to you all is would you be okay if the NFL went full FIFA and changed their attitude towards advertising when it came to broadcasting games altogether?... 0 commercial breaks (excluding halftime), but have ads on the field of play (physical and through ads placed through computer graphics on the broadcast), and on player uniforms?

     

    Where there used to be commercial breaks (Timeouts, stoppages of play..etc) will be filled with normal play review/game analysis/highlights from other games..etc) with the standard "brought to you by (x) advertiser".

     

    Would you want that as a fan to avoid commercial interruptions? Do you think this is an actual course of action the NFL might ever consider? And if it were something that were to happen what would be the best and least-obtrusive way you think or would want to see it implemented?

     

    I'd be okay with a hybrid of shorter breaks and on-field as the announcers are awful enough to give us a break of a beer commercial.

  7. This is very typical and symptomatic of athletes moving up levels. This happens at colleges too. I have had athletes in different sports regress, due to the lack of coaching techniques. It is amazing to see that as you move up levels the coaches assume athletes know enough to fend for themselves. Because a person is a pro coach or a college coach doesn't mean that the coach knows his craft well.

  8.  

    Wouldn't it be?

     

    Odds of missing playoffs in division = 3/4

     

    minus

     

    odds of being a conference wildcard team = 2/12

     

    Convert to common fractions 3/4 = 9/12

     

    9/12 - 2/12 = 7/12

     

    or 58.333333% chance of missing the playoffs each year

     

    calculated over 16 years?

     

    which would equal

     

    .000179750

     

    which translates into

     

    719/4000000

     

    or 719 chances in 4 million

     

    Where is the math wrong?

     

     

    What are the odds of the Bills or any NFL team missing the playoffs 16 years in a row?

     

    Final Answer = What is 719 in 4 million Alex?

     

    or if you want to approximate it = 1 in 5563

     

     

    Quick, somebody email Matt Patricia and ask him if I am right.

    How about the union of probabilities of winning division or earning card= 1/4+2/12= 5/12 This makes use of the assumption that 3 of the 6 AFC playoffs spots can not be earned by the Bills as they can only win 1 division out of the 4. This is opposed to the brute force logic that 6/16 teams make the playoffs in the AFC each year.

    Thus chances of not getting either spot being 7/12= 58.3% chance of missing the playoffs in a given year. So we agree with slightly different logic to come to the same conclusion.

     

    However, you make the mistake of only using 16 years, when we are now on year 17. Thus, the random probability odds are 1 in 1/((7/12)^17), or 1 in 9537. Thus, that 1 in 6 million number is horse crap. When you consider the fact that the probabilities of winning the division and a wild card are not independent and that the team from one year to the next is not random, these odds become more common as shown the Monte Carlo sim that I believe Tom cited earlier. That said, ESPN, if you are looking to hire someone with a passion for sports with a math degree, and understands statistics and probability, please PM me, so I can send in my resume.

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