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Bruce Smith

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Posts posted by Bruce Smith

  1. On 1/14/2022 at 1:56 PM, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    I dunno, Goat, they lost me at "seven different machine learning models".

     

    I note that some football cognoscenti feel that a sack can be as significant as a turnover to offensive productivity.  So I absolutely feel it should be included in evaluating QB performance.

     

     

    I don't know what "face validity" means, but I know why I criticize ESPN "total QBR" and PFF ratings: they are "Frankenstats" where the calculations (and even the metrics on which they are based) can not and will not be simply and objectively explained; they are proprietary.  In the case of total QBR it's said to involve 10,000 lines of code.

     

    I do know what "seven different machine learning models" means: it means no one, including the creators, can explain exactly what it's doing.

     

    We'll see.

    Face validity refers to the extent to which a test appears to measure what it is intended to measure. A test in which most people would agree that the test items appear to measure what the test is intended to measure would have strong face validity.

  2. The last two time both of those QBs played TN they lost.  In Brady's, case he has lost his last three to TN, one with TB and two with NE in the years of this new metric.  So it appears the metric does follow the data that matters:  scores and W/L.  It is way better than PFF metrics in my view.  I find they are off for most players.  

  3. 21 minutes ago, BuffaloBill said:

     

     

    Interesting breakdown. I know I am a homer but JA had some very difficult weather in December.  I wonder how much better he might have been in the absence of this factor.

    Weather no doubt plays a role.  But I think every QB on the list except Stafford faced bad weather this year.  

  4. 1 hour ago, JohnNord said:

    No he is… literally.  They owe him $17M over the final 3 years of his deal.  A nice little nest egg for him and his family.   It has to be killing him though.  He waited his whole career for this and ended up getting screwed 

    actually it is 22 million.  

    • Like (+1) 1
  5. 7 hours ago, Doc said:

    My son and I were having this discussion last night.  I asked him if he'd keep RIch Bisaccia.  He wouldn't, I said I would after taking the team to the playoffs despite all the turmoil.  What say you?

    He earned another year given the ***** storm in Vegas this year.  

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