since79
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Posts posted by since79
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This system is very subjective. Just because they use a cute color key does not make it accurate. The system is no better than the talking heads saying, here is by ranking based solely on my opinion. If you put some kind of scoring system for each metric( quality of player, age, prone to injury etc.) and weighted it to justify decisions in ranking then you may have something. Rating the quality of player against their peers is tough. We all know the pro-bowl is unusable as an achievement indicator as an example. Even PFF grades cannot be trusted. Going by what was presented and that opinion, it would appear the Miami and Jets have a better foundation. The center of any foundation is the quarterback, he should have most of the weight on offense. When you have that you have a good foundation.
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Kelce kills everyone. You cannot keep him down for the whole game. Yesterday 1 catch in first half, 8 in the second. On the last drive in overtime I watched Fred Warner throw him to the ground on second down, not letting him off the line. I thought why don't more teams do that. On the next play Warner does not get a hand on him, Kelce fakes inside, outside then back inside. Mahomes completes a crosser to him for the first down inside the 10 to set up the TD. One of the best linebackers in the league was embarrassed on the play. No one else picked him up as he crossed the middle. It's like basketball you better man him and zone him like box and 1.
Where the 49er's went wrong, they got away from their goto guy McCaffery until the drive to take the 3 point lead and also in overtime. One the 4th quarter drive they exhaust him, he takes himself out and his replacement gets a run called back for a hold on the edge. Forced a field goal there instead of a TD chance.
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2 minutes ago, Bruffalo said:
Chris Jones comes alive in the playoffs, a straight up wrecking ball, why don't any of our guys do anything remotely similar? On defense they shrink fast, at least Allen steps up in those critical moments.
We take them out of the game because we fear fatigue and a rotation of inferior linemen will do better. You watch KC play wit 4-5 guys the whole game. Do any of the Watts or Bosa's come out for a substantial part of the game on the teams they are on. We don't have one of them but how do you know when players are not given the same number of opportunities. Determine who is your best, leave them to gain endurance during the season and roll with them in the playoffs. The best d linemen in the league save a gear for when it is needed. Part of it is the guy they are going against is lulled to sleep and then boom they make a play when needed.
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This is a good analysis of where we lack. Reid and Spags know the recipe for playoff success.
Physical line play, tight coverage and putting your best players on the field on D. Unpredictability on offense and key players showing up when needed. Throughout the season they play playoff brand defense. Maybe at a less elevated level but the style is the basis of their approach. When the playoffs come around they don't have to change, they just elevate their intensity. Playing a smaller volume of D line, during the year, you may see fatigue at times but by they end of the year, they can play with no drop off when fatigued.
The mental aspect of the game is part of how your have been conditioned all year. I think our large rotation on d line can hurt us. You learn to dig deeper and find energy reserves you never knew existed. Your mental preparation will compose you when needed. For the best players the game is in slow motion, they refuse to lose and have played the game mentally over and over. John Wooden's success as a coach was to practice at a speed faster than the game. Be quick but don't hurry. Mental preparation allows for quickness, hurrying creates mistakes and sloppiness. Some coaches just prepare their players better. In the playoffs in a tight game you might hurry limiting your success. If you watch Mahomes, the game is not fast enough for him. When a successful play is needed he fidgets with his fingers asking for the next one quicker. Once he has the call he becomes focused on execution. Is that an example of the player demanding a certain execution from the coach. Don't make me wait for your call, be prepared and get it in. Reid's experience gives him the ability to quickly process the situation and the call. This experience and Mahomes' demeanor blend to their success.
Too often McD will say "I thought we had a good week of practice and the mental preparation was there" only to fail. It's in the systematic foundation that exist where the failure lies. To get over the hump we need to reconsider our approach to the regular season as it prepares you for the playoffs. The Bills have been in the most one score games win or lose over the last several years. Stop playing to keep it close, let your players play outside their comfort zone, coach outside your comfort zone or adapt as needed to gain success.
We are close but something needs to change.
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9 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:
Spagnuolo is definitely a key to their success. Cheifs D just held the 49ers to 19 points in regulation and 22 total. Packers and Lions D's gave up 24 and 34 respectively.
The Lions offense scored more than enough points to beat the 49ers but failed because they couldn't score more than 34 points. Which of course is an absurd bar. Bills for once need to be able to hold one of these final 8 teams 24 or less points.
Spags D is the type you need to play to be successful in the playoffs. KC does not have to change their identity in the playoffs. Tight man, physical secondary and strong in the trenches. Plays with 5 D-line. Puts best players on the field for the whole game. They don't tire because they have been asked to play that way the whole season.
Our soft zones, bend but don't break and D line rotation require too many people to execute well. Our team has to go out of character to be successful in the playoffs on D. They can't do it because they are conditioned all season to play a certain way. I would rather lose a regular season game because of D line fatigue or a man getting beat tryin to play tight coverage than continue to lose in the playoffs because that drive where you rested your best D line in the rotation is the one you gave up the score on.
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1 hour ago, dave mcbride said:
If you want someone like that, I think Josh McDaniel is someone they should be talking to. Yes, his head coaching gigs didn’t work out, but he ran incredibly well-designed offenses in NE that adapted weekly to whoever the opponent was. And he got a Pro Bowl season out of Mac Jones. Is he likable? Maybe not, but neither is Bienemy.
I also thought Washington’s offense this year was ragged and too high-risk. The sack numbers were ridiculous, and while a lot of that is on Howell, a good part of it is on the structure of the offense too.
Would not have to be a complete offense overhaul. McDaniel is a EP offense coach. He certainly has more experience running it compared to the last 3 including Dabol. Would be a good fit possibly. What I always liked about NE is they were adaptable not trying to put square pegs in round holes. I am sure that he is accustomed to making half time adjustments. Something I don’t think we stress as a team unless it is to protect the D with a lead.
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3 hours ago, T master said:
What do you want ? The defense this year under McD was much more aggressive and i would be totally willing to bet you that if Millano, Tre, Jones, and Von would have been at 100% this season the Bills would still be playing right now .
Then given what happened with Dorcey getting fired if you didn't notice difference in the offense after that then you need to rematch the games . If Brady is kept on as the OC which i for one hopes does happen plus given what Josh, Kalil, & other players have said in their endorsements of Brady i would like to see 100% of his version of offense with Josh .
So there's 2 things that have changed just this season which i'm pretty sure with all healthy this team would be better . McD isn't the one that told Brady to run he said in his interview they are a pass first team & you have to pass to win but you need a good run game too in order to win which was another change when Brady took over .
I feel they look at themselves and their choices harder than anyone else ever could because they both had to always do better to get where they are & they learned under some of the best coaches out there Reid, Johnson, and others .
So i'll give him the time rather than throwing away all the progress we've made .
Thanks T I appreciate the feedback. Although it may not seem so, I agree our coach and GM should stay and continue to work to improve. I am not ready to throw them under the bus and forget where we came from. It is tough for you to ask teammates to be accountable when you want to be their buddy and a likeable guy. That is Josh and I love him, he tries to do it by being a gladiator and leading by example.
Our team may need more accountability, I think Brady was demonstrating that early on by teaching basic route running on his first day as coordinator. That is a good thing and I want to keep him. I hope McD shows self accountability to his own mistakes more in the future. He fails to demonstrate that in public as much as Josh and absorb blame for others. If he did not want to expose someone after the 13 second debacle, he should of said it was me. It is tough to ask others for perfection and accountability when blame is deflected.
Personal growth is best achieved through self reflection, accepting failure and attempting in the future to avoid it again. We will have a better future.
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10 hours ago, Toyo321 said:
No they cant, this is the weakest KC has been in years on offense and they still could not beat them even playing at home. This was the year to beat them when it counts in the playoffs, and playing at home and they lost again... The regular season means squat.. What you do in the postseason is what matters.
This is what kills us. We squander opportunity.
The entire season we coach to make the playoffs and our systems are good enough. In the playoffs our systems need to be better or change. You watch KC's D get better as they also win. They find ways to get Jones and McDuffy and defenders who are physical and make them a tough team to play. They play tight coverage where you have to earn every yard. Playoff football. Meanwhile we draft in similar spots and find pretenders who don't match their draft status. We draft non physical finesse type players who fit a system instead of changing style and adapting to what is needed. Meanwhile you go years ignoring the side of the ball you should have focused on in the first place.
My question is who dictates the type of players we go after. I suspect the coach mostly and the GM tries to satisfy his request for what type of player. Together they have to look in the mirror and do and honest appraisal of how they constructed this team. I don't think this happens for Beane because he sees the team through McD's rose colored glasses. To him we are almost there.
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As stated "What our offense lacks is route technique and discipline."
Every route ran effects the routes around them. Those mentioning that it tough for Brady to change the whole offense midseason is true, but to expect and teach better route technique and discipline can be done. I remember when he first got named interim, they showed a video of him running routes with the receivers on the first day. Maybe he gets it. Route discipline and technique forces defenders to make decisions, at times it is a sacrifice to do it for the benefit of others. It creates time and space and in fact maybe separation we are looking for. When you want to be lazy and cheat it takes everyone's opportunity away. If the players don't want to listen or get it, you better find ones who do. Like I said before Tom Brady demanded it in his receivers, Josh will never do that.
Other sport, but I coached Hockey. One year I had trouble with our best player always toe dragging to the middle on the rush taking others time and space. I would hound him on it. One day he drives the puck wide draws the defender and he hits the trailer for an easy goal. He comes to the bench and says "Man I can't believe how open he was". I said you know how I have been harping on you, that is the reason. From that point forward he got it." If you are willing to sacrifice for your teammate they will for you. Don't expect them to do it if you don't, so it starts with you. If all guys are running to the same open area for their glory nothing comes of it.
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Ronnie Harmon…..To go to SuperBowl
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Watched both, good insight. Warner played under a different offense(Air Coryell). Although there were option routes they did not vary as much as the EP offense.
From wiki.
”The Coryell offense is a combination of deep and mid range passing and power running. The offense relies on getting all five receivers out into patterns that combined stretched the field, setting up defensive backs with route technique, and the quarterback throwing to a spot on time where the receiver can catch and turn upfield. Pass protection is critical to success because at least two of the five receivers will run a deep in, skinny post, comeback, speed out, or shallow cross.”
What our offense lacks is route technique and discipline. This is why you get guys so close they could be covered with a blanket. What was quite obvious in the videos is this. What you also see is the absence of guys making themself available. How many times do you see Allen with the ball and EVERY receiver with their back to him.
I think part of our lack of YAC can be due to Allen having to see the break, having to see how the receiver read the leverage. The miscues to Davis were anticipation misread throws. This is why he holds the ball so long and has to create out of the pocket.
Maybe we need to reduce the read leverage concepts. Have some routes that are defined and have at least one guy always available. In the EP offense the route options are supposed to create unpredictability and variability. In another post I talked about defenders, if they know how our receivers will read leverage can force the decision to the route they want that is easier to defend. In Warner’s analysis you could see KC may have been doing it. He talks about how our receivers don’t force the leverage to their advantage. Again I said elsewhere it looks like we take the path of least resistance and are lazy with rounding of routes.
We can benefit from some simplification and dedication to precision in our routes. Allen cannot demand it out of his guys like Brady did ( he had a benefit of winning and a coach who demanded perfection). Allen is too nice a guy and wants to be one of the boys. We need someone on the O side to take that role.
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24 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
38% of Allens INT's the past 2 years are on throws to Davis. Davis was out last 2 games...Allen had 0 interceptions.
Along with Davis miscues, if you include the out to the stick, that got jumped 3-4 times this year because we ran it so often, Allen would have half as many interceptions. Once Dorsey got canned you did not see that pick again.
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This may force the Babich decision on McD. I was worried about this once Wink got let go. Dabol and Schone know what kind of coach he is, lets hope McD values him as well. We could still lose him if he just prefers not to be under this Head coach. That would be very telling.
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Washington is the assistant head coach. I have said earlier Babich should be the one promoted. McD is too loyal to do this so unlikely. If Babich moves up because he deserves it, Washington may feel overlooked and ask to get out. This could likely be the best scenario.
Watching the Kurt Warner video linked here (worth the full watch) you understand the importance of the receivers being more crisp. To me we are a lazy team on our breaks. Take the path of least resistance. The lack of crispness and forcing the D makes Josh's reads more difficult. This is why our YAC is terrible. Josh has to see the break most of the time to make sure and trust the receiver and he are on the same change. The EP offense with receiver reads requires everyone to read it the same. Lazy breaks, inconsistent reads put receivers on top of each other making coverage easy. If a D coordinator understands our receiver concepts they can teach their defenders to force the decision to their benefit to allow more predictability on their end. On one hand the EP offense can be more variable but not when receivers choose wrong or are forced into a certain read and route. We need a more detail orientated receivers coach who will demand the proper break, read and crisp routes. You can't expect Josh to demand it out of his receivers, he is too nice a guy ( Brady did though). Brady was likely an ass as a teammate but respected because he won and demanded precision in himself and therefore tolerated.
Some changes have to happen....
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6 hours ago, DrPJax said:
Eric Washington needs to be gone. This d line was terrible. Oliver had 0 pressures. Hasn’t happened since ‘21. No significant plays or sacks once again against a foe you know well. This all goes back to mcd and failed performances in big games. Kelce , who was running free at times, w two tds tonight and had never done that all season. How does that stuff happen? No defensive stops till we were behind and had given up 27 points. Throw in crazy fake punt, allowing an obviously injured punter to kick and hold , wasted time outs , bad penalties , kc running easily with no answer but Spags stopped cook w run blitzes. Outcoached , again.
I agree but I have read posters here who say Washington is the heir apparent to be the D coordinator when McD gives up the duties. The positional coach who excels at whatever group he coaches is Babich.
The trouble Babich had in this game was Klein was his option at MLB. The young ones all improved under his tutelage.
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Martin playing with what I heard was a torn hamstring. This play was in the works I'm sure all week, which makes it more pathetic. The other punt he had, they had to kick it because they were deep in our own end. The punt went nowhere. Mistake was having him in the game in the first place.
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For a small guy, looking at the collage highlights he looks like a long strider. His speed is different than say a Tyreek who has very quick short strides. Does that really translate to a slot guy..
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Was at game, never saw Bernard’s injury. May have avoided a worse injury. Leg got whipped into rolling under, not a landing or planting of foot to take full body weight on impact. Ugly as it looked a planted foot would have done more damage. Hope for the best.
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When he is "in" the game he is unstoppable. Forbidding him to run took him "out" of his game. He plays off his own emotion.
The tempo of the offense is also important to his success. It does not need to be no huddle or hurried. Too much subbing and waiting on calls gets him out of rhythm. Brady needs to see that and be anticipating ahead sequencing plays.
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16 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
Today is MLK day. BeLove is a slogan For the King center. It is is a growing movement of courageous acts to achieve justice
https://thekingcenter.org/belove/
I can think of worse things to put there, for the NFL it is likely they don't believe it but want to use it for their marketing purpose. Not sure I trust their motives. ie.. more merchandise. Sort of like they did with breast cancer awareness.
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18 hours ago, JohnNord said:
That wasn’t the snow game. That was just how Bell used to run behind the Steelers OL in 2016. It was a combo that worked well until he decided he was going hold. His career was never the same.Bills Steelers 2016.... Certainly a snow game.
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13 minutes ago, stinky finger said:
I was coming here to say this.
This game SCREAMS for Lenny.
Not so sure of that. Old story though..
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I remember a snowy Steelers game where Le’veon Bell never sprinted to the hole. He hesitated and short stepped his way down the field. He destroyed us in the game. Last year in our Snow game against Cinci, our offensive game plan was for a good track. Players were slipping and sliding on our side all over the field. They seemed most concerned with cleaning their shoe off between plays and being distracted. In their mind they were out of the game and it showed. Meanwhile Cinci came with the correct game plan, better plan for poor footing and they came to execute.
There are valuable lessons there. Training staff get it right this time on foot wear choice. Coaches come better prepared with and executable gameplan. Players get you head right and don’t let the conditions distract you. Have an attitude that you are above the conditions. The Steelers have to play in it too. Tomlin will have everything right, he showed us before in the game I mentioned.
I hope the lesson was learned……
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Some one asked how long we stay in nickel? The response was unlikely because T Johnson is one our best tacklers. Is there a chance they play 4-3. T. Johnson at corner and add the third lb like Kline to better stop the run?
Diggs traded to Texans for picks
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
We were in a must win situation. Anytime that is the case including playoffs, expect Allen to run more. It’s our cheat code