SoFFacet
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Posts posted by SoFFacet
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This is the first Pegula-bucks Bills deal, similar to the Ehrhoff deal for the Sabres. The cap rules are a bit different between the two leagues but in both cases it's basically huge upfront cash in exchange for lower overall cap hit.
It is disappointing to see how many people do not comprehend that real cash payout does not matter anymore under Pegula. Cap hit is the only thing that matters, and we just gained a ton of it. Not to mention we immediately assuaged Shady's reservations about coming here. Excellent move, Doug.
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For a box of tape?
The dude single handed put the Seahawks on his back today. Beast mode indeed...
Hindsight. When we traded him he was bad and there was no reason to predict he would turn into what he is now. I'm happy for him that he's turned it around, though. There's basically no way that he would be the player he is today if he were still on the Bills.
For the same reason that the Seahawks are expected to let him walk: He's a tool and a huge distraction.
Nah, it's mainly just that he's going to be old and expensive. Not ideal RB qualities.
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Noooooooooooo!!!
Crazy how upset I get at this, but wow. Wow. Not happy about this. I don't know anything about the guy, but Chicago's OL was bad. Maybe it was the talent. Maybe it was the coaching. An uninspiring hire IMO.
Right.
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If Rex still believes ground and pound is the way to go, he's an idiot.
NFL schemes are cyclical, as the offenses and defenses around the league adapt to one another. The short passing game from spread formations has been in vogue for nearly a decade, but there are an increasing number of teams that are now built to counter that with larger CBs, lighter/faster OLBs, etc. But many of those adaptations are actually a disadvantage against the run. Eventually some team will succeed with a "revolutionary" power running attack simply because so many defenses around the league are built to counter something else. Then other people will copy that offense, defenses will gradually adapt to it, and the cycle will continue.
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It's not that stupid. The case can be made to keep him or let him go. This should have been a playoff team. They have a new owner and that alone is reason enough to get rid of this guy.
This is the thing that gets me. Before the season most predictions were for 6-10 or worse. Instead they finished 9-7. I mean, before people start moving the goalposts just because they don't like the guy, it's undeniable that his team just exceeded expectations by several games.
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That bottom article is the most intelligent assessment of the Bills situation I've read...and it EXACTLY mirrors my views.
That's... sad. I found that article to be quite a mundane and pathetic mis-characterization of the Orton/Manuel decision.
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"Potential playoff team". Key phrase. Ever use it with Gailey? Or Jauron?
No but you see everything good about the team is due to something other than Marrone. And everything bad about the team is Marrone's fault. Obviously.
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They spoke of talent on rosters and both teams were comparable. Heisman=meaningless award, then why all the hype for Johnny Football, Tim Tebow, etc?
If I were trying to argue that the Heisman is a meaningful award, I would never utter the words "Johnny Football" or "Tim Tebow."
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@Rotoworld_Draft: Kiper doesn't see a franchise QB in '15 draft http://t.co/AMEOhHIqRw
Does have Mariota #1 on big board which just means that is where he thinks he will be picked. Jameis is 6.
That's not what that means. A "big board" is a list ordered by overall prospect grade. Being #1 on a big board means that the creator of the list thinks that prospect is the #1 prospect in the draft class. It does not necessarily mean that he thinks he will be picked 1st. A list that attempts to guess the draft order is known as a "mock draft."
Really? Look at both rosters and see how many former Stanford/FSU players are NFL today from their respective teams. Remember Jameis is a National Champion and Heisman winner. Luck has neitherNational Championship = Team Accolade. Heisman Trophy = meaningless award that has not translated into anything at the NFL level in recent memory. Also you can't just look at the FSU/Stanford drafted players. The strength of the roster from top to bottom matters.
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The most likely scenario that I've found so far is for us to win out (obviously), and Cincy to lose out. They have Denver and Pittsburgh, so that is certainly possible. San Diego and KC need to split their remaining games to both finish 9-7. Note that they play eachother week 17 so if they both win next week we're screwed.
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Not sure that I agree RB is a big need. Fred is the man until the day he is actually ineffective. Bryce and Dixon are fine compliments. Add someone in the 5th round or something and they will be fine for next year. If necessary they can draft another one higher the year after that. The real priority should be the OL, so that no matter who we put back there, he can be successful.
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do we control our own destiny ?
if we win all 4 remaining games are we GUARANTEED a playoff spot ?
or do we need help ?
I played around with the ESPN playoff machine for a bit. Technically it's possible for us to miss the playoffs at 11-5. It's also possible to make it in with 9-7 or even 8-8. The other teams in the wild card race play eachother alot so it depends on whether or not those teams split the games mostly evenly, or if 1-2 teams run the table and rise above the pack. The Jags/Jets/Raiders etc play a few games against our competitors as well, and could help us out.
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Arbitrary thresholds are terrible.
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Sorry, can't agree. Making the right calls would've been shooting for a first down when you get the ball at the 15 and then working for your end zone plays. The Chiefs were going to do their best to not give up the TD there, so why not a draw play, a screen? Something to get them moving. Instead, it appeared the Chiefs knew the Bills were going straight for the end zone and weren't playing for anything else. Hackett failed with his playcalling in the red zone. Orton didn't help with his throws, but Hackett deserves the blame for the red zone.
Disagree. With our offense, 1st & goal from the 5 is probably more difficult than from the 15. Notice that our only TD of the day came from just outside the RZ when the Chiefs D still had a lot of space to cover. Of course it didn't work so everyone will blame the call, but it was really Orton's fault. And that one KC DB made some nice individual plays.
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I'm not surprised since it's TBD, but really the reaction here has been downright stupid. We deserved to win but didn't. Boo hoo. That happens all the time in sports. Historically we seem to get more than our fair share of those, and that sucks. But it doesn't change anything. The only thing that a player or coach can ever do is try to increase the chances of winning. The chances of winning were very high yesterday, and that's all anyone can reasonably be expected to control.
"Fire everyone" is the appropriate reaction in maybe, Chicago right now.
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Currently shows the Bills about even with the phish, finishing with a 9-7 record and probably not making the playoffs.
Please provide a proper link to the original article next time.
So let me get this straight: The Patriots currently have one more win than us with half the season still to go but their odds of making the playoffs are 3 times higher than ours? lmao
The model calculates an elo rating from weighted past results. The ratings are used to create a probabilistic distribution of outcomes for the rest of the season. New England's rating is justifiably higher than ours (and everyone else in the conference besides Denver).
Interesting that the teams in each division are sorted by point differential rather than wins.
They are sorted by elo rating.
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Some might argue that the best offense the Patriots had might have put up more than 14 and 16 points against the Giants in either Superbowl
And they would be misguided. Running into a great defense in the last game in doesn't change what a team accomplished during the rest of the season. Look at Denver last year.
either way, it doesn't change my point that the QB makes the WRs far more often than the converse being true"More often" by definition concedes that the opposite is sometimes true. So the statement holds almost no analytic value by itself, and you have to look at the cases individually. I don't think there is any evidence to suggest that Brady can't throw the seam to Sanders, the screen to DT, or any of the other common (and frankly easy) throws that are in Denver's current offense.
In any case this is a silly distinction to make. Every position on the team synergizes in both directions with other positions.
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Brady won Superbowls with David Givens, David Patten, and Deion Branch; he never won a thing with Randy Moss, Wes Welker, and Chad Ochojohnson.
The best offenses the Patriots have ever had were the ones with Moss and Welker. Losing to the Giants in the SB doesn't change that.
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Points per game in Orton starts: 19.5.
Turnovers from the qb position: 1.5
Points per game in EJ starts: 19.75
Turnovers from the qb position: .75
Trying to extract trend data from n=2 and n=4.
Declining to subtract D/ST points.
Using team metric (points) to analyze individual performance.
Triple-facepalm.
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The irony is that the only thing football fans REALLY seem genuinely riled about is whether the NFL lied about not seeing this current tape before suspending Rice. If they did lie---stand back!! ...and watch Ray Rice and his wife disappear into the usual oblivion of such couples.
Well to be honest, that is potentially the most scandalous revelation that came today. The second video just confirmed what anyone familiar with Occam's Razor had already inferred from the first. All that the second video did was eliminate the other side of the story that nobody believed but couldn't technically prove was a lie. The justification for the light suspension, and for the Ravens organization standing by Rice, was that no one could prove what really happened in the elevator.
So if we take for granted that any sane person condemns what happens in the second video, the actually interesting facet of this situation is that if the NFL lied about not having this tape prior to TMZ, it would mean Goodell deliberately misled the public in order to go easy on a star player. It would cast a shroud over all other supposedly objective investigations and punishments meted out by the league. It would mean Goodell is only willing to do what is right because the public learned the truth. It would mean Goodell is corrupt.
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I think the draft reflected their WIN NOW strategy. Trading away our first next year to get a player this year that can get us over the hump and into the playoffs as well as getting a player in the second round whose knees are bad and might not make it until year 4 of his rookie contract. They made some gutsy picks that might not rank well with draft insiders but they made us a better team so I would say mission accomplished. B+
I don't think it's necessarily win-now. It's perfectly possible that we are better off in several years with Watkins than we would be with say, Ebron + 2015 1st. It just depends on whether or not the scouting that underpinned the trade in the first place is correct.
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It's pretty obvious that "can we please not talk about it" is code for "I'm homophobic but it's not socially acceptable to denounce them in public anymore."
Pretending that Sam isn't a milestone worthy of at least some discussion is just silly.
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Since it looks like the Bills are going back to a 3-4 base, that gives the DL two extra DTs (Dareus/KW) as well as Mark Anderson and Alex Carrington as DE.
Let's assume Dansby is signed. There is now a logjam (not that it's a bad thing).
DE: Mario
DT: KW/Dareus
DE: Carrington/Anderson
LOLB: Dansby
ILB: Bradham
ILB: Alonzo ®
ROLB: Lawson
CB: McFumbles
SS: Aaron Williams/Searcy
FS: Byrd
CB: Gilmore
NB: Rogers
DB: Bryan Scott
I still think there will another trade. Personally, I believe Carrington is the odd man out, followed by KW. I don't believe the brain trust will trade Dareus.
In 3-4:
DL: Dareus Branch Williams
OLB: Mario, Lawson/Anderson
ILB: Alonso, Bradham
CB: Gilmore, McKelvin
S: Byrd, Williams
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What fun! Some of the readers must have missed the fact that football is entertainment.
The Texans and Bills were tied for dead last in 3rd down defense last year. 44% of our opponents' attempts resulted in first downs. Pettine's defense will help, but the Bills' draft won't.
Anyway, the double trade-down is the best-case scenario if we have 20-20 hindsight:
RD1 -Trade Down (Rams)
RD1 - Trade Down (49ers)
RD1 - EJ Manuel QB
RD2 - Justin Hunter WR
RD2 - Jonathan Hankins DT
RD2 - David Amerson CB/S Trade Down (Kiko Alonso was taken 52 slots too early)
RD3 - Corey Lemonier LB (Marquise Goodwin was taken 33 slots too early)
RD3 - Brian Winters OG
RD4 - Philip Thomas FS
RD5 - William Campbell DE34
RD6 - Mychal Rivera TE
RD7 - Steve Beauharnais ILB
According to who, Draftek? I love that site to death, but sorry, the Draftek big board got badly embarrassed this year. I like our real draft better than both yours and the OP's.
Harvin signs w/ Bills: 3 yr / $24M (voids to 1 yr / $6M)
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Chandler is a pawn. Harvin is a bishop on a board more suited for knights. Still better than a pawn, and the board can always change in the bishops's favor later on.