[So, those of you who have won your league]

I won 3 out of 8 leagues last year. In those leagues, I was strong at HB. It depends on your league's settings, but HBs are usually the most important. A good HB over an average one can make a huge difference whereas a good WR over an average one isn't as big. Also, you have to make the right moves and hope your gambles pay off (like picking up JJ last year). So, yeah, luck plays a big part too.

[Some WSOP spoilers]

I know I'm probably one of the ONLY wallers who who plays poker for a living (at least until I get a job), but I think can give some perspective to this thread.  Personally (and professionally), I would love to see a 21 year old win the main event with little or no experiece?  Why?  So more young players will start thinking it doesn't  take much to be a good poker player.  The guys you see on TV are GOOD.  Lederer, Chan, and Ivey espically.  The funny thing is, that these tournies aren't really how they make their money.  Almost all their money is made via cash games and most tourneys are for glory and for pride (I guess the money helps a little...).  I heard a rumor that Ivey, in the last 3 years, has made between 50-80 million playing poker.  And he's not taking this money off chumps either, he's taking it off seasoned pros. 

 

The WSOP is a great event, and cardplayer.com is the place to follow it this year.  If you are thinking of learning poker, I would give this advise: Read up, start small (many online sites offer $25 max buy in NL or .25/.50 limit games), take advantage of online sites deposit bonuses, and read up.  There are so many books out there, there's no reason to risk any money without reading up first.

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I think that when Chris Moneymaker won the main event, that happened. I started playing poker shortly before that '03 tourney was on TV. Since then, 90% of the people in my school have started playing (I am underage). When I first started playing, it was me and four of my friends play $5 tournaments for fun. Winner got like 20 bucks most of the time. Now, I can play a game every night if I want where I can win up to $200 in Hold 'em, Omaha, 7 card, ect. I love to play and love to win. I am one of the best in my school at NL hold 'em tourneys.

[My thoughts on the Bill this year]

Sept. 11  Houston 1:00                                win

Sept. 18  @ Tampa Bay 1:00                        win

Sept. 25  Atlanta 1:00                                  lose

Oct. 2  @ New Orleans 1:00                          win

Oct. 9  Miami 1:00                                      win

Oct. 16  NY Jets 4:15                                  lose 

Oct. 23  @ Oakland 4:15                              win

Oct. 30  @ New England 8:30                      lose  5-3 at the break

Nov. 6 Bye 

Nov. 13  Kansas City 1:00                          win

Nov. 20  @ San Diego 4:15                          lose

Nov. 27  Carolina 1:00                                win

Dec. 4  @ Miami 1:00                                  lose

Dec. 11  New England 1:00                          lose

Dec. 17  Denver 8:30                                  win

Dec. 24  @ Cincinnati 1:00                          lose

Jan. 1  @ NY Jets 1:00                                lose  3-5 last half

 

Looks like 8-8 to me

 

Key streatch ... those last 5 games ... 1-4 is what I think will happen, but could see them win those last three games .. if they lose two to NE and win 2 from Miami the the Jets are the key to the palyoffs .. win twice and they woul be 10-6

 

What do others think?

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That looks pretty good. I can see this team anywhere from 6-10 to 11-5. All depends on if we win our close games or not.