mramefa
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Posts posted by mramefa
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5 hours ago, Rocky Landing said:
Well, his rookie year in AZ, he played behind the worst O-line in the league, after which he was dumped as part of a re-build (a fairly experimental re-build, at that). Then, in Miami, he was literally positioned to fail. The Miami FO was so egregiously tanking that the NFL competition committee got involved. And, needless to say, there are plenty of Bills fans who wanted him to be drafted over Allen, and they hate to be proven wrong.
Of course, none of this means he doesn't stink.
Yet the second Fitzpatrick came in for Rosen, it looked like a different offense. How do you explain that?
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Another option is to name it after Ralph Malph from Happy Days
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11 minutes ago, delirious said:
Didn't there used to be throwing competitions at the probowl, specifically furthest distance? I specifically remember Peyton, Bledsoe and Favre competing in it. Early 2000s/late 90s perhaps?
If it's at the end of the season then I don't care all that much about injury risk.
Yeah, they did
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1 hour ago, 1ManRaid said:
And there's a bucket of unknown variables that could throw off your math, plus it's a small sample size. Other players could just be waiting for whatever reason to announce they are sitting out, with the Pats players jumping the gun.
I'm betting on they are just tired of Belichick's crap.
Fair point. The math just shows it’s improbable that the high density of patriots players opting out is totally random (assuming players make decisions independently of each other).
A player revolt against Belichick is another plausible explanation.
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The patriots are doing something fundamentally different in their approach. Let me support that with some statistics.
Right now there are 25 players opting out, 6 on the pats (source: https://www.nfl.com/news/list-of-nfl-players-to-opt-out-of-2020-season). If all players opt out with equal probability, there is a 1/32 chance each is on the pats. The total number of players on the pats opting out would be binomially distributed, with 25 coin flips, and success with probability 1/32 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution). The probability of 6 or more successes (i.e., players opting out) is p<1*10e-4 (https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial.aspx). Therefore having this many opt-outs on the pats randomly occurring would happen 1 in 10,000 times.
Also come on, it's the pats.
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4 minutes ago, dollars 2 donuts said:
I am not going to get on anyone's case for opting out.
This is especially tough, I would imagine, if you are a limited salary player anyways.
Just going by the sheer math (I am sure there are other variables) he is also giving up $785,000 (i year $935,000 contract).
He only had 25k guaranteed (https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/baltimore-ravens/deanthony-thomas-14535/), but gets 150k for the opt out.
Could he have been told he would have to fight for a spot on the team? Could have been a calculated financial decision, especially taking risks into account.
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On 6/28/2020 at 10:18 AM, PetermansRedemption said:
It’s all the same. Generally, if John Q Public has the information, it isn’t likely to move the market very much as it will already be priced in.
Two economists walk down the street and seeing a $20 bill lying on the sidewalk. The first economist says, "Look at that $20 bill." The second says, "That can't really be a $20 bill lying there, because if it were, someone would have picked it up already."
So they walk on, leaving the $20 bill undisturbed.
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57 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
This would be a great thing. Personally; I think accuracy is a skill and not that easy to learn. Wilson completed 73% of his passes his last year in college.
If that’s true, then how did Wilson complete less than 60% of his passes each of his first three years in college?
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15 hours ago, PetermansRedemption said:
In today’s NFL, with the depravity of good QB’s, especially young. If he were to be back in the draft I would think 3-7 range would be about right. To trade him I would need the first overall pick in a good QB draft so I could have my pick of the litter at replacing him.
de·prav·i·ty/dəˈpravədē/noun-
moral corruption; wickedness.
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One very important data point is that Belichick has seen more of Stidham than anyone else, and thinks Stidham can get it done at the NFL level.
Based on that I'd bet he is at least somewhat successful.
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34 minutes ago, first_and_ten said:
Funny, you "respect" his right to an opinion, then call it dumb. Then just say you don't respect it. Can't have it both ways my friend!!
I respect your right to this opinion, even though I think it is dumb.
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On 5/20/2020 at 9:47 AM, Stank_Nasty said:
Am I the only one that was expecting a drunken pic surrounded by half naked women before I clicked into this thread?
... I hate magic
What do you think the magic is for????
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21 hours ago, Fan in San Diego said:
I have given up all alcohol consumption, so it's OK with me.
First they came for the alcohol, and I did not speak out—
Because I did not drink alcohol.-
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The combine order for throwing absolutely changed the perception of Fromm. Fromm threw right after Eason, who clocked in at 59mph and was the fastest thrower in the combine. Fromm clocked in at 53mph, which is reasonable for the NFL. Watson threw 45mph in comparison...
Among the other top prospects this draft, only Herbert threw a little faster than Fromm (55/54mph). Here's what the data shows:
Year: 2020
Jacob Eason Washington 59 (Left) 59 (Right)Jake Luton Oregon State 59 (Left) 56 (Right)Steven Montez Colorado 58 (Left) 59 (Right)Kevin Davidson Princeton 57 (Left) 56 (Right)Justin Herbert Oregon 55 (Left) 54 (Right)James Morgan Florida International 54 (Left) 54 (Right)Jordan Love Utah State 54 (Left) 53 (Right)Jalen Hurts Oklahoma 54 (Left) 51 (Right)Jake Fromm Georgia 53 (Left) 53 (Right)Nate Stanley Iowa 52 (Left) 54 (Right)Anthony Gordon Washington State 52 (Left) 51 (Right)Brian Lewerke Michigan State 51 (Left) 49 (Right)Cole McDonald Hawaii 51 (Left) 47 (Right)Shea Patterson Michigan 50 (Left) 51 (Right)Kelly Bryant Missouri 47 (Left) 45 (Right)Joe Burrow – did not throwTua Tagovailoa – did not throw-
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2 hours ago, hjnick said:
OK, the one thing that really bothers me is that most of the free agents / players coming to the Bills are coming from the Panthers, which is where he was prior to being our GM. He is using his inside knowledge on those players and if they are worth bringing here.
I just worry about in a couple of years when he cannot use Carolina players as his personal free agent store (because those will be players he won't know well) and he needs to start evaluating and pulling more FA's from other teams.
There were six starters last year, that Beane brought in as free agents:
1. Mitch Morse
2. Jon Feliciano
3. Quinton Spain
4. John Brown
5. Cole Beasley
6. Frank Gore (first half of the season)
None of those free agent signings were from Carolina. In fact, when Beane has brought in Carolina players as free agents, they have tended to do worse here.
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2 hours ago, C.Biscuit97 said:
Anderson looks like a crazy person. Have fun with Bridgewater under-throwing you.
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4 hours ago, Billl said:
That’s certainly food for thought. Why don’t you show me the top two or three in each of those categories for the past two years, and we’ll see if those are more indicative of top tier QB play that QBR, QB rating, YPA, completion percentage, and PPG. I know that when I’m trying to figure out what’s what, top 8 in “completed air yards per completion” isn’t the first thing I check, but maybe it should be.
Here are the 15 quarterbacks with the most 4th quarter comebacks in NFL history (https://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/comebacks_career.htm). Not a bad list
1 Peyton Manning 43 1998-2015 2TM View Comebacks
2 Tom Brady 36 2000-2019 nwe View Comebacks
3 Drew Brees 35 2001-2019 2TM View Comebacks
4 Johnny Unitas+ 34 1956-1973 2TM View Comebacks
5 Dan Marino+ 33 1983-1999 mia View Comebacks
6 John Elway+ 31 1983-1998 den View Comebacks
Ben Roethlisberger 31 2004-2019 pit View Comebacks
8 Matt Ryan 30 2008-2019 atl View Comebacks
9 Fran Tarkenton+ 29 1961-1978 2TM View Comebacks
Vinny Testaverde 29 1987-2007 7TM View Comebacks
11 Brett Favre+ 28 1991-2010 4TM View Comebacks
Matthew Stafford 28 2009-2019 det View Comebacks
13 Eli Manning 27 2004-2019 nyg View Comebacks
Philip Rivers 27 2004-2019 sdg View Comebacks
15 Joe Montana+ 26 1979-1994 2TM View Co
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6 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
I'm guessing you're correct. The other Bills player slightly above the average line would probably be John Brown, at 178 lbs and 20.5 mph
I'd love to know who the Ravens guy is that's overlapped by Josh Allen.
I also wish they labeled Lamar Jackson. I'm guessing he's at 20.4 mph and 212 lbs, overlapped by a Cowboys and a Texans player.
Gus Edwards I think
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Just now, Richard Noggin said:
Reasonable take.
One could argue Dawson Knox appears to possess high end athleticism. "Top speed" is not a very holistic assessment of explosiveness or agility (although many of the fast guys are those things as well).
But yeah, your conclusion is difficult to dispute.
I'd guess he's one of the two Bills players above the average line, at ~255lb. Impressive that Kelce is noticeably faster at a slightly bigger size, though.
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1 hour ago, KzooMike said:
He is as close to Nate Peterson as any QB I can remember. So INT prone and seemingly always pick 6's. I will eat a whole bucket of crow on him as I preferred him to Allen.
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I just saw an interesting post from NFL Next Gen Stats, showing the weight and top speed (MPH) for a number of offensive players in the NFL this year (credit: https://twitter.com/NextGenStats/status/1217540824809914368).
From the graph you'll notice that a lot of the guys near the Pareto curve in size vs speed are among the most effective offensive players in the league (i.e. nobody as big is faster, or nobody as fast is bigger). Some standout names here are Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, Christian Mccaffrey, Travis Kelce, and Odell Beckham Jr.
On the Bills, there's just a single player who's substantially above average for these metrics: Josh Allen. In fact, only two other Bills players are barely over the average line, and the rest are all below.
For me, this is a clear indication that the Bills could benefit tremendously by adding top athletes to the offense.
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He tried out for the Kansas City MLS team back around 2011. This attempt at a cross pretty much sums up how it went:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xhHNodHq5CU&feature=youtu.be&t=69
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You need to be locked in the day before a game.
Let's see what players are listed:
Cody Ford
Jordan Philips
Ed Oliver
Shaq Lawson
Vincent Taylor
Did a single one of those guys have a good game??? Coincidence???
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The best case scenario is that the Bills draw the best teams possible, and shut them all down on their way to the SB.
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How will the Bills defend against the Patriots 2 new TEs?
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
I think running two TEs is actually a very good move for the pats and people here are overlooking how much it could help them.
Cam has actually had the best success in his career throwing to TEs, with Greg Olsen leading the Panthers in receiving four years straight from 2013-2016. Greg Olsen also had by far the five best years of his career with Cam throwing to him (https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/O/OlseGr00.htm).
From my perspective, Cam is best as a scrambling, run-option QB, and good TEs can help a lot those schemes.