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klumzyfule66

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Posts posted by klumzyfule66

  1. Didn't catch this posted.  Apparently Bills fans have been donating $22 to a cat rescue group "Ten Lives Club" that he has worked with in the past on a 'Show Your Soft Side' campaign.

     

    As I'm sure many are aware, he's deleted his social media ostensibly due to a barrage of threats.

     

    https://sports.yahoo.com/fans-support-bills-tyler-bass-with-thousands-in-donations-to-cat-rescue-group-144717001.html

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  2. I always thought it had been crazy how disrespected the Ravens have been. 6.5 point dogs against SF?  That might have been the craziest line I've seen this year.  Only 3.5 point home favorites against dolphins?  Beating the brakes off both teams, and STILL not having the shortest odds to winning the Super Bowl? Everything has been wild to me as it relates to the Ravens over the past month or two.  However like others, I am also not one that would do a full week 18 rest of the stars, unless to help heal some injury that they have been playing through etc.  So I may very well eat these words because Texans have been playing good football and have nothing to lose going into this game

  3. 3 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:

    I know all teams feel they should win more, but with the Buffalo Bills it is statistically indisputable. Our team loses far more than it should, given our offensive and defensive performance. I would love to see a stat that shows how much better or worse a team performs than it's statistical rankings. You could call it the Coaching Coefficient. My guess is McD would be pretty low.

     

    I am bummed because no matter how hard we play (and these guys are playing hard, especially guys like Bernard or Floyd who are still not jaded by our past) we are hamstrung by this. It's like a dark cloud hanging over the team. And until that cloud is gone, it's hard to really enjoy this great bunch of players.

     

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/buf/2023.htm

     

    Pro football reference has an 'Expected W-L' which has Buffalo at 8.1-2.9 for this year.

     

    From their glossary: Expected W-L - this is an estimate of what the team's record "should have been," given the team's points scored and allowed. The concept goes back to baseball analyst Bill James' Pythagorean formula.


    Which the underlined then links to this wiki page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation?force_isolation=true

     

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  4. 4 hours ago, Low Positive said:

    I think that McDermott does need to go at this point because 6 years of not winning a Super Bowl is long enough to require change. But you're not wrong about people's spicy takes. One human behavior that is amplified by the Internet is a desire to be proven correct. It's just part of conformation bias which is hardwired into our brains. There are posters here would would rather have a 7-year-old hot take be proven right than to see the win football games. I have the Josh Allen draft thread bookmarked so that when I see an over-the-top post about Josh I can go back and look for their over-the-top draft night post. It never fails. And no, for all the "realists" here Josh Allen is not above criticism. But calling for him to be traded with his 99 million-dollar dead cap hit is beyond criticism.

    While it makes sense, and I agree with the feeling that it's been long enough, I just went back to look, because I keep thinking "Is it really though?"

     

    For those whose opinion of what follows is dependent upon my thoughts on McD:  I've said (probably not here, but amongst my friend groups) after 13 seconds, that we reached peak success under McD.  That he needed to be fired if we wanted a Super Bowl.  Or that heads needed to roll (which of course did not happen).  It was not a popular opinion.  At that point (and now), no longer do I care about just making the playoffs.  Now it's a Super Bowl.  My thought was confirmed the very next year when we went to Arrowhead week 6 the following year.  We got a TD to put us up by 3, and this time left 16 seconds (in the half).  They drive down to get a FG.  Again.  They ended up winning the game, so maybe that issue was a footnote in the history of many people.  The only thing consistent with this team in the past few years, has been the defense's inability to get a stop at the end of the game, when it's needed.

     

    Anyway, preamble aside.  I went back to see how long it takes first time head coaches to get their first SB win with their first team.

     

    Only one time since John Madden in 1976, has anybody won their first SB with their first team after their 5th year.  Bill Cowher in 2005.  Taking a look at the years before their championship:

    John Madden won in his 8th season - he made 5 AFCCG in the 7 years prior.

    Bill Cowher 14th season - his first 6 years included 1 SB appearance, along with 2 other AFCCG.

     

    Edit to note: Madden was hired at age 32.  Cowher was hired at age 34.  I think that's an interesting and potentially important distinction because (in my opinion), the younger you are, generally the more likely you are to change and adjust and grow and learn.

     

    Usually its been years 2-4, but there have been 3 who've won their first in year 5:  Mike Holmgren in 1996, Mike McCarthy in 2011, and John Harbaugh in 2012.

     

    That said, he's a good coach.  As mentioned in comments prior, I agree that there's now a mismatch with JA.  He wants the team he wants, vs fielding the team that fits the players best.  He'd be better off fielding a team without a QB like Josh, and instead having the Jamal Adams and Trent Dilfers of the world.

     

  5. Anyone know if there's a big set up for tailgating the Panthers game this Friday?  Or are most people just going to be at Tavern and then walk over?

     

    I live in Wesley Heights and have young kids so I'd prefer to just be able to walk to a lot on the way in, and was hoping there might be a group somewhere.

  6. 6 minutes ago, klos63 said:

    why better field position. Teams kick short because you usually get there quicker and tackle before the 25 yard line. Unless they down it where they catch it, it's more than 1 second.

    I don't disagree with squibbing there (I was okay with it at the time, as I figured Tyreek was back there), but if teams usually get there quicker and tackle before the 25 yard line, then why doesn't every team do that every kick off?

  7. According to playoff machine, Bills can actually still get the 1 seed.  It involves a series of unlikely scenarios, but still possible.

    1) Chiefs lose out (Falcons, Chargers) to finish 13-3

    2) Falcons win out (Chiefs, Bucs)

    3) Jets win next week (Browns)

    4) Bills win out (Pats, Dolphins) to finish 13-3

    5) Steelers lose only one more (Bengals, Colts, Browns) to finish 13-3

    6) There may be other games that need to go certain ways, but did not check that in depth

     

    It boils down to strength of victory in a 3 way tiebreak.  Chance of this is basically nil, however it's nice to be able to chat about these nearly impossible chances for the Bills to get the 1 seed, instead of having substantially similar conversations 5, 10, 15 years ago for the Bills to even get into the playoffs.

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  8. I like Thunderstuck a lot, but every stadium uses that - I don't recall hearing Renegade often except when I'm in Pittsburgh (they play it more than just at the stadium, can expect it to be played if you go out for a night etc).  I think having something that isn't so common might be cool.

     

     

    Also Lose Yourself pumps me up but not sure how good it would be for a full stadium to pump up.

     

     

  9. To clarify - the tickets are not on stubhub or anything. I have them on my ticketmaster account so I was thinking we could meet up tomorrow and I could transfer you the tickets and then you just give me cash. That way stubhub doesn't get $100 in fees and it's cheaper for you to pay $350 or whatever and that way a Bills fan for sure gets it. 

  10. Hey guys! I know there is a separate forum for tickets/trading, but doesn't look like anyone has posted there for a few days, so sorry I'm putting this here. 

     

    Anyway, I have 2 extra tickets in Section 441 Row U if anyone is interested! A couple friends couldn't make it. Anyway looks like stubhub had seats at nearly $250 a little bit ago. Not tying to charge that much long as Bills fans are getting them. Let me know if you're interested. Go Bills!!!

     

    https://www.buffalosportspage.com/bills-rap-drought-is-over/

  11. 53 minutes ago, Not at the table Karlos said:

     

    Thank you. Just caught this in another thread. I'm counting the common opponents, since that will come in to play before strength of victory after all the games are played.  Good to know we will (likely) have that tiebreaker though if the Ravens lose one of the last two giving us equal common opponents record (assuming we sweep Miami).

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  12. 38 minutes ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:

    But that game was nothing like this one. We were almost done then. Now we are in the 6 seed.

     

     

    6th seed?  http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture says 8?  Which isn't to say they're right, but how do we win the tiebreaker over Ravens and Chargers?  I've admittedly only looked at potential tiebreakers over the Ravens, assuming the Chargers take the division and the Chiefs end up 8-8

  13. Should've used a time out after the 2nd down play in my opinion (or first? I forget). They wasted the next down by hurrying to the line and tossing a fade to the end zone. Call a time out there and regroup should you actually can get a good play call. You already know you're playing 4 down ball, give yourselves 2 plays to get the first instead of going for it all.

  14. parking is empty everywhere

     

    About kids day - I was told "they are getting away from the kids day, and instead doing a family day later in the year" the field house was closed they didn't have any activities. There were a handful of other families just as disappointed as us.

     

    Great idea, OBD, bring your 5 year old kids to a regular season game, with tens of thousands of belligerent drunkards, in 20 degree weather. Why didn't they think of this before? 😐

  15. Bringing my family to the Bills game tomorrow. I've been to several games, but will have my fiancee and two 4 year old twins with me, that LOVE Billy Buffalo.

     

    My understanding is that while there is technically no Kids Day game, they will have kids activities that they normally have at those games, at the game tomorrow. I haven't found any itinerary or activity list at bb.com or from a real quick (admittedly) search on here. Do any locals (I'm coming from Charlotte) have any insight? Thanks in advance!

  16. The guy I talked to last week said it may be paired with another game - a shame that they actually are doing it :(

     

    But the on sale starts in 20 minutes, which I guess isn't technically an 'on sale.' You just fill out a form whenever they update the website at 10 and then a ticket rep reaches out to you. I'll fill out the form at least, and hope for the best

  17. As a quick introduction, I signed up here a long time ago, read the board every once in awhile, but only ever posted on the official BBMB (not often - probably only weekly/a few times a month).

     

    Anyway, this may not be the best post for this - but I live in Charlotte, and am from Syracuse. So I'll have a few friends come down for this game. As such I will be getting group tickets. Not sure how many yet, but I just realized group tickets go on sale next week. Given this is the home opener, I suspect it will sell out pretty quickly.

     

    Is anybody interested in getting some tickets in whatever order I get? I am a former season ticket holder for the Bills (gave them up this year), and have bought/sold some tickets on BBMB over the past couple years with no issues. Not that that means anything to you, just thought I would see if anyone is interested.

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