Kirby Jackson Posted Wednesday at 03:53 PM Posted Wednesday at 03:53 PM This is always interesting. Here are the analytics projections heading into 2026: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48845972/2026-nfl-season-football-power-index-projections-super-bowl-chances-simulations Big shoutout to the Pats for having the 14th best shot at the Super Bowl according to FPI. Looks like another fluke isn’t projected. 1 4 Quote
SF Bills Fan Posted Wednesday at 04:18 PM Posted Wednesday at 04:18 PM 22 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said: This is always interesting. Here are the analytics projections heading into 2026: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48845972/2026-nfl-season-football-power-index-projections-super-bowl-chances-simulations Big shoutout to the Pats for having the 14th best shot at the Super Bowl according to FPI. Looks like another fluke isn’t projected. Starting with the 2nd half of our game with the Pats in NE, Maye struggled. I think the Bills showed the blueprint on how to defend against him. This culminated in one of the most dreadful Super Bow performances ever. He also has small hands and is prone to fumbling. This will never go away. 3 1 Quote
gonzo1105 Posted Wednesday at 04:24 PM Posted Wednesday at 04:24 PM Well the Bills analytically have been to the SB about 5 times so far so I’ll wait and see this time 3 1 3 1 Quote
Jauronimo Posted Wednesday at 04:29 PM Posted Wednesday at 04:29 PM 8 minutes ago, SF Bills Fan said: Starting with the 2nd half of our game with the Pats in NE, Maye struggled. I think the Bills showed the blueprint on how to defend against him. This culminated in one of the most dreadful Super Bow performances ever. He also has small hands and is prone to fumbling. This will never go away. https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/cover-6-patriots-drake-maye-seahawks-super-bowl-60/ The blue print is out. His whole offseason should be based on countering cover 6. 3 Quote
Kirby Jackson Posted Wednesday at 04:42 PM Author Posted Wednesday at 04:42 PM 16 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said: Well the Bills analytically have been to the SB about 5 times so far so I’ll wait and see this time They’re the Cleveland Cavaliers of the NFL. Quote
SirAndrew Posted Wednesday at 04:49 PM Posted Wednesday at 04:49 PM The Pats are basically Vrabel’s Titans teams or Marrone’s Jaguars AFC Championship game team. They just made it a couple steps further. It will fall apart. Quote
Captain_Quint Posted Wednesday at 04:49 PM Posted Wednesday at 04:49 PM Bills vs Rams would be a good Super Bowl. Rams would be favored, but Josh loves being counted out and playing with a chip on his shoulder. Just now, SirAndrew said: The Pats are basically Vrabel’s Titans teams or Marrone’s Jaguars AFC Championship game team. They just made it a couple steps further. It will fall apart. Is Vrable still ducking all of the press conferences or has he addressed his affair yet? I quit paying attention months ago. Quote
GoBills808 Posted Wednesday at 04:57 PM Posted Wednesday at 04:57 PM think theres some value on Falcons this yr 1 Quote
SirAndrew Posted Wednesday at 09:00 PM Posted Wednesday at 09:00 PM 4 hours ago, Captain_Quint said: Bills vs Rams would be a good Super Bowl. Rams would be favored, but Josh loves being counted out and playing with a chip on his shoulder. Is Vrable still ducking all of the press conferences or has he addressed his affair yet? I quit paying attention months ago. He did address the issue as a one time deal. Vrabel did the I’m sorry I got caught bit, this is between my family and I. Quote
MikePJ76 Posted Wednesday at 09:19 PM Posted Wednesday at 09:19 PM 4 hours ago, SirAndrew said: The Pats are basically Vrabel’s Titans teams or Marrone’s Jaguars AFC Championship game team. They just made it a couple steps further. It will fall apart. The other scenario is they are like the eagles. Philly beat the giants at home and the niners at home with sf playing a wr at qb because of injuries then lost the Super Bowl. then they traded for a great running back two years later and won the Super Bowl. hopefully they are the jags and not the eagles 1 Quote
EssexBill Posted Wednesday at 09:29 PM Posted Wednesday at 09:29 PM 4 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: They’re the Cleveland Cavaliers of the NFL. At least the cavs won one! 1 Quote
ngbills Posted Wednesday at 10:14 PM Posted Wednesday at 10:14 PM (edited) On 6/3/2026 at 9:18 AM, SF Bills Fan said: Starting with the 2nd half of our game with the Pats in NE, Maye struggled. I think the Bills showed the blueprint on how to defend against him. This culminated in one of the most dreadful Super Bow performances ever. He also has small hands and is prone to fumbling. This will never go away. Not to get into a Drake Maye debate...just to be factual. Yes he struggled in the playoffs but after the Bills game: BAL - 31-44, 380 yd, 2TD, 1 int in win NYJ - 19-21, 256 yd, 5TD, 0 int in win MIA - 14-18, 191 yd, 1TD, 0 int in win That is 64-83 (78%), 827 yds (276 avg), 8TD, 1 int and 3-0 record. Also ran for 88 yards. Edited Thursday at 05:28 PM by ngbills 1 Quote
BigAl2526 Posted Wednesday at 10:30 PM Posted Wednesday at 10:30 PM 6 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: This is always interesting. Here are the analytics projections heading into 2026: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/48845972/2026-nfl-season-football-power-index-projections-super-bowl-chances-simulations Big shoutout to the Pats for having the 14th best shot at the Super Bowl according to FPI. Looks like another fluke isn’t projected. The Patriots got a lot better last year with improvement form Drake Maye and a charismatic coach in Mike Vrabel. However, they benefited from an historically easy schedule. They are almost certainly better this season than last, but their schedule is also much tougher. That's why Buffalo is the consensus pick to win the division in 2026. I am optimistic for my Bills overall, but the defense is brand new. The Bills were primarily a 4-3 defense for a long time with Taron Johnson playing a big Nickel role even though he lacked the size for a true big nickel. They have a new system and a new DC who has never had that role in the NFL before. The defense may be fine, improved even. It just seems to me that the circumstances leave lots of room to hopes to get derailed. Quote
Don Otreply Posted Wednesday at 10:39 PM Posted Wednesday at 10:39 PM Just more NFL endlessly hyping itself, doesn’t actually mean anything at this point, check back in after a dozen or more games have been played, if you want to know which teams are walking the walk. 1 Quote
Sierra Foothills Posted Thursday at 02:10 PM Posted Thursday at 02:10 PM 15 hours ago, BigAl2526 said: The Patriots got a lot better last year with improvement form Drake Maye and a charismatic coach in Mike Vrabel. However, they benefited from an historically easy schedule. They are almost certainly better this season than last, but their schedule is also much tougher. That's why Buffalo is the consensus pick to win the division in 2026. I am optimistic for my Bills overall, but the defense is brand new. The Bills were primarily a 4-3 defense for a long time with Taron Johnson playing a big Nickel role even though he lacked the size for a true big nickel. They have a new system and a new DC who has never had that role in the NFL before. The defense may be fine, improved even. It just seems to me that the circumstances leave lots of room to hopes to get derailed. I think the only person in the world (besides yourself) who would describe Vrabel as "charismatic" would be Diana Russini. 😆 Quote
bigduke6 Posted Thursday at 02:39 PM Posted Thursday at 02:39 PM list looks fine. no real surprises at any spots. Quote
eball Posted Thursday at 03:09 PM Posted Thursday at 03:09 PM Funny how we’re just not seeing any “they no longer have McDermott” drop in rankings for the Bills… 🤷🏼♂️ Quote
Shaw66 Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM Posted Thursday at 04:19 PM (edited) 1 hour ago, eball said: Funny how we’re just not seeing any “they no longer have McDermott” drop in rankings for the Bills… 🤷🏼♂️ Which also means that we're not seeing any "Beane hasn't brought in enough talent to make this team good" drop in the rankings for the Bills. Yes, this is just more preseason hype, but it is based largely on betting positions that are being taken, which means that whether they are right or not, a lot of people think the Bills are still among the teams to beat. Personally, I think that view is accurate. Edited Thursday at 04:19 PM by Shaw66 Quote
hondo in seattle Posted Thursday at 04:46 PM Posted Thursday at 04:46 PM Personally, I'm not impressed by the methodology: "FPI's preseason predictive ratings are primarily based on win totals from the betting market in conjunction with each team's schedule -- along with factors such as the difference between a team's starting and backup quarterback and a special teams rating that incorporates specific kickers." 1 1 Quote
8BallSippin Posted Thursday at 05:20 PM Posted Thursday at 05:20 PM On 6/3/2026 at 10:24 AM, gonzo1105 said: Well the Bills analytically have been to the SB about 5 times so far so I’ll wait and see this time the analysis always points to SB, only to unfold on what incredibly unlikely play will doom the season this year...... high hopes, appropriate expectations, bracing for heartbreak... that's a Bills fan... lol 1 Quote
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