Dan Posted May 4 Posted May 4 18 hours ago, hondo in seattle said: On the one hand, since 2020 the Bills under McDermott have the best regular‑season win percentage in all of American major‑league sports, ahead of teams coached by people like Andy Reid, Nick Sirianni, Dan Campbell, Erik Spoelstra, Michael Malone, Dave Roberts, and all the other great coaches in American athletics. That doesn’t happen by accident. On the other hand, people point to 8–8 in the playoffs as if it wipes all of that out. But the playoffs are a completely different beast: every opponent is good, often healthier, often with matchup advantages, and the outcomes frequently swing on a few weird bounces, bad calls, or key injuries. From a statistical standpoint, 16 games is an insignificant sample size. Over a sample that small, even a truly great team can look mediocre purely by random variation. If you flip a coin 16 times, getting eight heads doesn’t prove anything. It’s exactly what you expect a lot of the time. In the same way, .500 over 16 high‑variance playoff games doesn’t come close to disproving six years of elite‑level performance. Point taken, but I think I saw that last off-season… something to the effective teams that had a similar regular season record, or won at least one playoff game in six consecutive years… had made the Super Bowl like three times? It was close to that. Lol Point being… the Bills have been good. They’re just missing that something that will get them over to the hump. Let’s just hope it was a coaching change…. lol cause I’m not sure DJ Moore is all it was. Quote
13 Seconds to Mars Posted May 4 Author Posted May 4 50 minutes ago, Steptide said: Man, we seem to have all kinda records since we got Allen, just can't get to that superbowl Win or lose and from a football standpoint, the Bills are probably the most entertaining team to watch IMO. Ironically, I would put Mahomes/ Chiefs in the same category. I love what both QBs bring to the game. 1 1 1 Quote
Kelly No huddle Posted May 4 Posted May 4 2 hours ago, WNYFAN1 said: I wonder how much of this can be attributed to being in the AFC East? It probably has at least something to do with it. Although kc was in a relatively weak division too. Herbert is better than tua tho Quote
Fleezoid Posted May 4 Posted May 4 Well, we're winning the stat season. It's getting harder and harder to get excited about it. 1 Quote
hondo in seattle Posted May 4 Posted May 4 3 hours ago, colin said: here is a link to the EPA on that game. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/202601170den.htm#all_expected_points so no, the D was not average. it let denver have it's 4th best game of the season, and denver isn't good on o, nor did they face good defenses all season. No doubt the D was bad that game. But was it bad because the scheme and playcalling was bad, or because they players on the field were bad? McD or Beane? When McD had Milano, Hyde & Poyer in their prime (all Whaley acquisitions), his defense ranked high. When the Whaley players aged out and McD had to field Beane's mediocre defenders, our defensive rankings dropped. 1 Quote
Thrivefourfive Posted May 5 Posted May 5 This season and going forward we are going to know for certain that all this winning is because of Josh Allen, and not the former coach. Quote
Old Coot Posted May 5 Posted May 5 (edited) 7 hours ago, colin said: so no, the D was not average. it let denver have it's 4th best game of the season, and denver isn't good on o, nor did they face good defenses all season The Denver O had its way with our D in the 1st half. The 2d half was a completely different story. Our D came out blitzing and bottle up Denver's O for most of that half. Then inexplicably on Denver's final drive in Regulation our D backed off the blitzing and played soft coverage. Had we continued to blitz, I'm convinced we would have been in the AFC Title game. Edited May 5 by Old Coot 1 Quote
machine gun kelly Posted May 5 Posted May 5 12 hours ago, NORWOODS FOOT said: thank you for taking the time to make this recommendation. I seriously will look into it and may listen to it on Audible on my commute. In addition to my day job, I’m working on getting a startup off the ground, that I hope is lucrative, yes, but actually does some good for humanity. I’ll take wisdom wherever I can find it. So truly, thank you very much for taking the time to share this. No problem NF. There are many pearls in it and widely recommended for people going from sales to sales leadership. Quote
Billzgobowlin Posted May 5 Posted May 5 On 5/3/2026 at 1:31 PM, 13 Seconds to Mars said: I had a cool graphic that I compressed, but for the life of me can never figure out how to upload photos to this site. 1) Buffalo .730 2) Chiefs .714 (3 ships) 3) Celtics .673 (1 ship) 4) Cavs .640 5) Aves .638 (1 ship) 6) Dodgers .634 (3 ships) 7) Packers .629 8)) Eagles (1 ship) WORST franchises since 2020 1) Jets .277 (no surprise here) 2) Panthers .317 (this must bother Beane a lot) 3) Giants .322 4) Wizards .323 (has this team ever been relevant other than the brief Jordan stint?) 5) San Jose Sharks .340 6) Blackhawks .349 7) Pistons .361 8)) Arizona Cardinals .376 That's my team. They were close with John Wall and Brad Beal but both ended up getting injured. They have been trying to tank the last three years for some reason 1 Quote
colin Posted May 5 Posted May 5 13 hours ago, hondo in seattle said: No doubt the D was bad that game. But was it bad because the scheme and playcalling was bad, or because they players on the field were bad? McD or Beane? When McD had Milano, Hyde & Poyer in their prime (all Whaley acquisitions), his defense ranked high. When the Whaley players aged out and McD had to field Beane's mediocre defenders, our defensive rankings dropped. the good thing is it's all gonna play out. i say it's coaching, particularly situation coaching, because we always beat KC in the regs, and look like cheeks in the rematch. Quote
BearNorth Posted May 5 Posted May 5 -4 in Turnovers you lose 98% of the time, Bills somehow made it to overtime against the Broncos. Quote
T master Posted May 5 Posted May 5 On 5/3/2026 at 12:31 PM, 13 Seconds to Mars said: I had a cool graphic that I compressed, but for the life of me can never figure out how to upload photos to this site. 1) Buffalo .730 2) Chiefs .714 (3 ships) 3) Celtics .673 (1 ship) 4) Cavs .640 5) Aves .638 (1 ship) 6) Dodgers .634 (3 ships) 7) Packers .629 8)) Eagles (1 ship) WORST franchises since 2020 1) Jets .277 (no surprise here) 2) Panthers .317 (this must bother Beane a lot) 3) Giants .322 4) Wizards .323 (has this team ever been relevant other than the brief Jordan stint?) 5) San Jose Sharks .340 6) Blackhawks .349 7) Pistons .361 8)) Arizona Cardinals .376 WOW I figured given their past the Sabres may have been on the worst teams since 2020 but surprise they were not which is a good thing !! GO SABRES !! 1 Quote
BillsPride12 Posted May 5 Posted May 5 1 minute ago, T master said: WOW I figured given their past the Sabres may have been on the worst teams since 2020 but surprise they were not which is a good thing !! GO SABRES !! I was thinking about that too, but their true bottoming out years were pre 2020. 1 Quote
colin Posted May 5 Posted May 5 On 5/3/2026 at 9:54 PM, SoCal Deek said: So you’re saying if we were in the English Premier League we’d have a bunch of trophies! They don’t have playoffs. you only get a chip there for having the most wins/points in the season, we've never done that. we'd be chipless there too. 1 Quote
US Egg Posted May 5 Posted May 5 14 hours ago, Thrivefourfive said: This season and going forward we are going to know for certain that all this winning is because of Josh Allen, and not the former coach. Same will be the case for the new guy. 1 Quote
BCAS Baritone Posted May 5 Posted May 5 20 hours ago, machine gun kelly said: A book you should consider is “From Good to Great” by John Wooden. The legendary college basketball coach who won more championships than anyone in recent history. It’s a great read. Lots of telling moments about to create a great organization. Wooden was the man. I think Good to Great was written by Jim Collins. John Wooden did write a few books, I haven't read any of them. Are you thinking of a different title? Quote
machine gun kelly Posted May 5 Posted May 5 1 hour ago, BCAS Baritone said: I think Good to Great was written by Jim Collins. John Wooden did write a few books, I haven't read any of them. Are you thinking of a different title? Baritone, it wasnt the title of the book, it was the narrative of one of his most famous books. A great sports mind that teaches so much about leadership. Quote
Nihilarian Posted May 5 Posted May 5 On 5/3/2026 at 7:24 PM, Buffalo716 said: It's a game of inches in the postseason We played the Chiefs multiple times with seven or eight players dinged up.. key contributors who were banged up or didn't play with fresh injuries Starters who didn't play.. we trotted out AJ Klein.. played without a starting corner and a starting safety In a game of inches that's too much to overcome.. that's the history of our recent postseason shortcomings Look at the top level talent for the Super bowl winners the last 7 years they all have at least three all pros most of them have four five or six The last two times we played the Chiefs in the postseason we were way more injured than they were in a game of inches... Lost by a field goal... We didn't lose by 15 we lost by three being severely outmanned.. that's the difference in a game of inches Last year the Bills thoroughly outplayed the Denver broncos but we had five turnovers on offense.. the game doesn't even go to overtime without five offensive turnovers The bills would win in regulation.. the last 3 postseasons nothing has gone right for the bills ... 4 post seasons ago the team was mentally worn out because they saw damar Hamlin basically die on the field 13 seconds was the Bills best chance but that team was not even as stacked as most Super bowl winners.. that Chief's team had 5 hall of famers including Andy Reid ... The '90s bills had four or five Hall of famers and didn't win a Super bowl The Bills team has 1.. we have the best depth in the NFL not the best high-end talent Aaaannnddd, the Buffalo Bills just fired the Head coach who helped get them there... Why do I feel like Buffalo is Alan Harper in this situation...as in it could come back to bite them in the ass. Charlie bangs the girls, and it somehow bites Alen. What makes me grimace is that after a 14-2 season, the Chargers fired Marty S., and if it were not for all the injuries over the years, this team would have a few SB trophies now. Anyway, all I can do now is hope for the best and think about how John Elway won Super Bowls later in his career. Go Josh...do good, be good, Go Bills! Quote
GerstAusGosheim Posted May 5 Posted May 5 On 5/3/2026 at 7:18 PM, hondo in seattle said: And we fired the coach who had the best win percentage in all of American major league sports. Yes, we fired the coach who had 5 chances get to a Super Bowl with an MVP level QB and failed. 19 hours ago, hondo in seattle said: McD had Milano, Hyde & Poyer in their prime (all Whaley acquisitions), his defense ranked high. When the Whaley players aged out and McD had to field Beane's mediocre defenders, our defensive rankings dropped. When Leslie was running the D, it was ranked high. When he wasn't, defensive rankings dropped. Quote
BearNorth Posted May 5 Posted May 5 Wooden's book was the Pyramid of Success. He also had 7 leadership principles 1. Operate with a sense of urgency. 2. Build trust with your team as quickly as possible. 3. Apply the 4 rules of learning. • Explanation: Thoroughly explain what players need to do (for example, a new drill or skill technique), and why. • Demonstration: Walk through the steps of the drill or technique slowly for visual learning. • Imitation: Have players do the drill or technique in the exact way you’ve taught them. • Repetition: Repeat, repeat, repeat. The goal is to create a correct habit that can be produced instinctively under great pressure. 4. Walk the walk. 5. Stay hungry. 6. Seek commitment. 7. Put the good of the team first. I was fortunate to have worked for and learned from a coach who won two D3 national titles and had a 60 game win streak at the D-III college level. He was a disciple of Wooden. 1 Quote
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