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Which outcome is more likely?  

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  1. 1. Which is more likely in McDermott’s next HC role?

    • He lasts 3 years or less & doesn’t win a playoff game
    • He’s lasts 5 years or more and appears in a Super Bowl


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Posted
1 hour ago, Gregg said:

 

I don't see McDermott wanting to work for Johnson. He is in the running for worst owner in all of sports.

I agree with you, but at the same time I don't think McDermott is going to have as many options as some people think on here. 
 

If he couldn't even get to a super bowl with Josh Allen in his prime, I'm not so sure owners for contending, or even middling teams, are going to be lining up for his services 

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Posted

My collection of McDermott thoughts and predictions:

  • He will coach in the NFL again. The last 10 years in the NFL shows that the average number of HCs fired each year is between 6-7. He will eventually get an offer and he won't be in a position to be picky.
  • He will not be a prime candidate. He will have to settle for a less prestigious organization because...
  • He is viewed more favorably in Buffalo than he is league-wide: His 2017 playoff season is overplayed. There was a planetary alignment in the Bills favor and in reality the team was only marginally improved from the years before.
  • He's the HC who couldn't win an AFCCG or even the top seed in the conference despite having Josh Allen.
  • Close examination of his specialty (defense) will show that his teams were mostly average to above average and that they had their greatest success when they had Leslie Frazier and a young core of defenders. McDermott's defenses generally got worse during his tenure.
  • He will not seriously consider a HCing position in the NCAA. McDermott does not have the people skills to be an effective recruiter or retainer of talent, which is nearly the most important function of a college HC these days. Also he will detest the idea of players being able to leave after one year.
  • Because he'll take a job with a second tier organization and won't have Josh Allen, his next team will tread water in the standings and he'll last anywhere from 2-4 years, based on ownership and fan patience.
  • I predict that McDermott will not build a powerhouse program that perennially contends in his next HC opportunity.

Other thoughts:

  • His best hope for success would be landing in a top organization with an excellent GM and personnel department... but I don't see that happening because I don't believe he's viewed as a prime candidate and I don't think a top organization (i.e. - the Chiefs, the 49ers) would strongly consider him.
  • I still can't believe McDermott got the Bills job because it's impossible for me to imagine him interviewing well... he simply doesn't speak well and I don't see him "winning the interview" again. I believe he impressed the Pegulas simply because he was stylistically the opposite of Rex Ryan.
  • Based on his tepid success with coordinators and the quality of his coaching staffs in Buffalo I'm not confident that he could assemble a good coaching staff.

JMO

 

 

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