2nd wave of FA

[Allen2Moulds]

On 4/26/2026 at 1:30 PM, Einstein said:

Your percentiles, if correct, give us an over 80% probability of signing at least 3 of these players.

I think your math is wrong, but your mind is right.

[EmotionallyUnstable]

4 hours ago, chris heff said:

I posted this in another thread, if Leonhard is going to field a version of Denver’s defense, they only lined up as a traditional 3-4 with a nose tackle 25% of the time. Are you going to pay a guy a lot of money to do that and only that? I agree with you, they want versatility.

Absolutely. The need for a true Nose has been significantly blown out of proportion. My understanding is that there will still be a fair amount of nickle (which I believe they call Peso) and the less familiar Penny front. All of which, seem to require penetrating, attacking DL.

 

IMO a player like Phidarian Mathis has a legit shot at this roster as more of a true 0. Plenty of other guys (Logue, Carter) can also play in this  spot too but I believe based on how they’re going to philosophically change their approach to the front 7, size is not as big of a deal as ppl think. 

[JohnnyCash]

I’m guessing Shaq & Cooks.  

[DJB]

 

[Jerboski]

14 minutes ago, DJB said:

 

Some good names still there 

 

guys I would be interested in 

 

bosa

Wagner 

Floyd 

Campbell 

reader 

Jennings 

cooks 

 

clearly not all of them 

[Einstein]

On 4/26/2026 at 11:32 PM, WickedGame said:

Actually, assuming each of these probabilities is independent of the others, it gives us about a 65% chance of signing at least three of them. But they’re not independent—cap constraints and positional overlap alter those odds. 
 

Sorry…having a nerd moment. 

 

No you’re just trusting AI. 

 

[Sierra Foothills]

2 hours ago, Allen2Moulds said:

I think your math is wrong, but your mind is right.

 

You're second guessing Einstein's math?

 

[Brand J]

2 hours ago, DJB said:

 

I’m going to wager many of those guys thought they’d have a much bigger market for their services. Kinda surprising Sneed hasn’t reunited with the Chiefs, especially because they’re in desperate need of secondary help.

[BobbyC81]

4 hours ago, JohnBonhamRocks said:

Oh wow, I thought Miller already signed somewhere. Bring him back home.

We need yutes, not over the hill players.  This isn’t George Allen’s Redskins.

[BillsFanForever19]

On 4/26/2026 at 1:19 PM, KingBoots8 said:

My view on our options and what I think the likelihood we sign them:

 

Retreads:

 

Matt Milano - 40%

Tre White - 30%

Brandin Cooks - 60%

Shaq Thompson - 60%

DaQuon Jones - 5%

Larry Ogunjobi - 10%

 

New Blood:

 

DJ Reader - 20%

Calais Campbell - 25%

Mario Edwards - 20%

Bobby Wagner - 35%

 

I think the percentages for Milano and Tre are too high. Especially Tre. He's not a fit for our new Defense and now we've put a heavy investment into IGB. And there's no guarantee we keep 4 Outside Corners to begin with. As the number is often 3 Boundary, 2 Nickel's on the 53. And we certainly didn't trade up and select IGB for him to be the 4th Boundary.

 

I think given Milano's injury history, Thompson being more flexible positionally (having experience Inside and Out, and honestly, looking better than Milano last year - Thompson is likely the one brought back. And with Bernard, Dorian, Elarms-Orr, and Andreesen locks - we probably will only be bringing in one more Linebacker.

 

As for the "New Blood" section, I'd love Reader. But by all accounts, he's all but officially a New York Giant. Scuttlebutt before the Draft was they had pretty much agreed to him replacing Lawrence, but were just waiting until after the Draft as to not effect the Comp formula.

 

Though I'm not convinced we're looking at pure 3-4 Nose Tackle types in the first place, as this won't be a 3-4 in the Classic sense. One name i'd keep an eye on, since it's obvious with the CJGJ signing and the Jermaine Burton invite that we're not the Choir boys anymore, is Christian Wilkins. I'd have never considered him before, but all bets are off now.

 

23 hours ago, wppete said:

If be happy with Von on this team on a vet minimum and incentives.  
 

 

 

I wouldn't rule this out. He was always more of a standup 3-4 OLB than a hand in the dirt Defensive End, like we were using him before. He put up 9.5 sacks last season and now we could play him at his more natural position.

 

With us switching Landon Jackson to the Defensive Line and Hoecht maybe not being 100% Week 1 - I could see us potentially bringing in another vet situational pass rusher.

 

And I'd doubt his phone hasn't rung at all. So I think it's fair to assume that the reason he's saying this is that we're one of the teams he's been talking to. Wouldn't make much sense to turn off the teams he is talking to by saying "I really want to go to Buffalo", if it wasn't even a possibility.

 

I think a likely scenario here is that teams know we've been talking to him, but our offer is a minimum, incentive based "take it or leave it" deal and he's hoping for more. So he's kind of letting teams know that if no one else offers him something more substantial - he's settling on our deal.

Edited April 28 by BillsFanForever19

[JohnBonhamRocks]

5 hours ago, BobbyC81 said:

We need yutes, not over the hill players.  This isn’t George Allen’s Redskins.

Dude had 9 sacks last year and would come in as a pass rush specialist

[Kirby Jackson]

It is posted in the cap thread but with the actual cost of the Bills rookies coming out ($3.3M of cap space) the Bills have somewhere between roughly $8.5M - $9.4M of usable cap space (depending on which site you use). They will want to bring, at least, a few million dollars of cap space into the regular season. They probably have enough space for 2 of the guys that we’ve mentioned without making any additional moves. Something like Cooks and Thompson should fit in there.

[JP51]

On 4/26/2026 at 1:19 PM, KingBoots8 said:

My view on our options and what I think the likelihood we sign them:

 

Retreads:

 

Matt Milano - 40%

Tre White - 30%

Brandin Cooks - 60%

Shaq Thompson - 60%

DaQuon Jones - 5%

Larry Ogunjobi - 10%

 

New Blood:

 

DJ Reader - 20%

Calais Campbell - 25%

Mario Edwards - 20%

Bobby Wagner - 35%
 

 

I like this synopsis  of potential here, I am going to use it as a template. Thanks for putting it together. 

 

Retreads:

 

Matt Milano - 50% I think he is a Leonhard type of player 50/50 he comes back but the 50 is does he not get great offers and comes back on a discount

Tre White - 15% - draft signaled we are trying to upgrade with speed and a bit of size, injuries early on, TW still ava... PS signing for depth

Brandin Cooks - 60% - Feel like Beane felt he was a good option and there were not difference makers in the draft 2027 we may pick... 2026 I think he is a plan.

Shaq Thompson - 35% less than 50/50 I think he is going to the highest bidder, not sure if it will be us. Time will tell... 

DaQuon Jones - 15% - I just don't see it... not a big fan... but others think different... if he doesnt get offers I could see a depth thing PS etc... 

Larry Ogunjobi - 5% < - I think we paid way too much, got way too little, and dealt with a suspension on top of it.  Do not see it. 

 

New Blood:

 

DJ Reader - 20% - not gonna put a percentage on any of these... but love this move

Calais Campbell - 25% - Like this move

Mario Edwards - 20% - unsure of this move

Bobby Wagner - 35% - love the leadership, not sure what is left in the tank, gonna be too expensive for a depth signing I believe

 

 

Edited April 28 by JP51

[TBBills Fan]

11 hours ago, Allen2Moulds said:

I think your math is wrong, but your mind is right.

https://share.google/26Ru6NOrXwUu1Sza4

[Kirby Jackson]

I am assuming now that the draft/UDFA dust is starting to settle, these agents are all working the phones. They have some ideas as to where their clients may be wanted. They also know, pretty definitively, everyone’s cap situation. Now it becomes a bit of musical chairs. There are “X” number of seats left and “Y” free agents to fill them. The “leverage” pendulum swings from player to team at this point of the offseason. 

[BuffaloRebound]

2 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

I am assuming now that the draft/UDFA dust is starting to settle, these agents are all working the phones. They have some ideas as to where their clients may be wanted. They also know, pretty definitively, everyone’s cap situation. Now it becomes a bit of musical chairs. There are “X” number of seats left and “Y” free agents to fill them. The “leverage” pendulum swings from player to team at this point of the offseason. 

Agreed. How many starting inside linebacker positions are actually available right now? Especially when a fair amount went in the first 75 picks.  

[Kirby Jackson]

2 minutes ago, BuffaloRebound said:

Agreed. How many starting inside linebacker positions are actually available right now? Especially when a fair amount went in the first 75 picks.  

Without looking, a handful -max. The Bills probably have 1. I’m fairly certain that Bernard will be starting. Do they see Dorian Williams as a starter? Maybe. He is at this point. Do they view Okereke, Wagner or Thompson as an upgrade? If so, or even if not, that’s a thin position group. There’s a spot for a vet in that room. Only one of those guys (if any) will get a chair with the Bills. 

[Jester]

Bring back Von and Shaq.  While Milano has always been my favorite Bill, I think we are past him.  😢

[Sojourner]

On 4/27/2026 at 10:06 PM, DJB said:

 

One of those 2 LBs would be great. Either Okereke for the age or Wagner for the experience and sustained success to mentor this group with Thompson and Milano potentially not returning . 
 

I don’t know what happened to Larry O as he wasn’t that bad a rotational piece in Pittsburgh. 
If anyone else for the DLine it would be Reader. He’s a decent fit for what we still need on early downs. 

Edited April 30 by Sojourner

[nosejob]

On 4/28/2026 at 1:55 AM, BobbyC81 said:

We need yutes, not over the hill players.  This isn’t George Allen’s Redskins.

Calais Campbell would be the best DT instantly. Ironic?