Draft capital spent on offense since 2020. Bills 32

[pennstate10]

18 hours ago, Sierra Foothills said:

This is revealing but again, I'm annoyed at Warren.

 

He doesn't state what the unit of measure is on the Y axis.

 

This graph shows that the Bills have spent about 125 points of "total draft capital" but according to the Rich Hill Value Chart, the 33 pick is worth 180 points. The Bills selected Keon Coleman with the 33rd pick in 2024.

 

So what the hell points system is he using and why doesn't he state which system he's using?
 

It's like statistics for morons which is fitting, considering the status quo of the times.

 

Agree. I’m not sure how useful this is. 
 

It’s a list where Jets are 1 and Vhiefs are 30. Do you want to be high in this list?

 

Also, I’m betting this doesn’t include the #1 spent on Diggs. That certainly is “draft capital” in my book. 

[BigAl2526]

Conversely, the math says the Bills have to be right at the top of draft capital spent on defense over that same period.  The offensive ranking over the past few seasons might suggest the Bills were not wrong to spend that little, but last season, at least, suggests the Bills haven't been getting sufficient bang for their draft buck on defense. 

[Inigo Montoya]

 

This is the Josh Allen effect.  It's like having a QB on a rookie QB, it allows you to allocate resources elsewhere because Josh paints over a lot of defects on offense.

 

Despite focusing on defense, the Josh Allen led offense has still been a top five scoring offense almost all of those years.

 

As someone else noted further up thread, this is an inditement of the Buffalo Bills defense in that they receive the majority of the draft and free agency capital and still manage to find a way to crumble in the post season.

[Bleeding Bills Blue]

23 hours ago, pennstate10 said:

Agree. I’m not sure how useful this is. 
 

It’s a list where Jets are 1 and Vhiefs are 30. Do you want to be high in this list?

 

Also, I’m betting this doesn’t include the #1 spent on Diggs. That certainly is “draft capital” in my book. 

 

The jets used 6 first rounders on offense since 2022, and all of them were higher draft choices than Buffalo has had since drafting Oliver in 2019.  I'm pretty sure we could have used almost every pick we had on offense and I don't think we're approaching the top.  

 

2020 Buffalo had no 1st because of the Diggs trade, and was the year diggs lead the NFL in yards and was a 1st team all-pro.  He played here for 4 years and averaged basically 100/1200/9.  They then traded him for a 2nd.  Honestly its pretty good value.  

 

2020 - Pick 11 Mekhi Becton, Pick 59 Denzel Mims

2021 - Pick 2 Zach Wilson, Pick 14 Vera-Tucker, Pick 34 Elijah Moore

2022 - Pick 10 Garrett Wilson, Pick 36 Breece Hall

2023 - Pick 43 Joe Tippmann

2024 - Pick 11 Fashanu

2025 - Pick 7 Membou, Pick 42 Taylor

 

21 hours ago, BigAl2526 said:

Conversely, the math says the Bills have to be right at the top of draft capital spent on defense over that same period.  The offensive ranking over the past few seasons might suggest the Bills were not wrong to spend that little, but last season, at least, suggests the Bills haven't been getting sufficient bang for their draft buck on defense. 

 

 

It really doesn't though.  This isn't a percentage, its actual value.  And the teams on the right of the chart have the least draft value over that period of time due to sustained success or moving picks for players.  

[Billy Claude]

23 hours ago, BigAl2526 said:

Conversely, the math says the Bills have to be right at the top of draft capital spent on defense over that same period.  The offensive ranking over the past few seasons might suggest the Bills were not wrong to spend that little, but last season, at least, suggests the Bills haven't been getting sufficient bang for their draft buck on defense. 

 

I doubt that the Bills are near the top on defense either.  Given their drafting position, I doubt very much they are in the top ten and most likely significantly lower.

Edited Thursday at 10:03 PM by Billy Claude