Scenarios for winning the division; scenarios for winning the #1 seed

[BillsFan619]

I ran some scenarios on the ESPN playoff machine to see what it'd take to get the division as well as the #1 seed.

 

 

The division:

Bills win out

Patriots lose to us and either to the Jets or Dolphins

 

 

#1 seed:

Bills win out and take the division

*Jags go 3-1

**Broncos go 2-2, but it matters which games they win and lose

   -Lose to Chiefs and Chargers; win against Packers and Jags - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to Jags and Chargers; win against Packers and Chiefs - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to Packers and Chiefs; win against Jags and Chargers - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to Jags and Chiefs; win against Packers and Chargers - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to GB and Jags; win against Chiefs and Chargers - Broncos #1 seed

   -Lose to GB and Chargers; win against Jags and Broncos - Broncos #1 seed

 

 

Enjoy and go Bills!

 

 

*I predicted every remaining NFL game, so I’m not sure if altering any non-Jaguars picks could still give us the #1 seed if the Jags go 4-0

**I predicted every remaining NFL game, so I’m not sure if altering any non-Broncos picks would change the Bills/Broncos results shown above

Edited 6 hours ago by BillsFan619

[Kelly to Allen]

If we win out I do believe we will be the 1 seed 

[SydneyBillsFan]

Not happening. 

 

Park the delusion.

[GoBills!]

5 minutes ago, SydneyBillsFan said:

Not happening. 

 

Park the delusion.

 Coleman caught a TD and Knox had over 90 yards this week that is delusional 😆 

[DanM]

I believe we must have a better record than Pats. Based on tie- breakers.  That’s not going to happen.

[strive_for_five_guy]

3 minutes ago, DanM said:

I believe we must have a better record than Pats. Based on tie- breakers.  That’s not going to happen.

This is wrong.  If we win out, Pats just need to lose to Miami or the Jets for us to win the division.

[MasterStrategist]

7 hours ago, BillsFan619 said:

I ran some scenarios on the ESPN playoff machine to see what it'd take to get the division as well as the #1 seed.

 

 

The division:

Bills win out

Patriots lose to us and either to the Jets or Dolphins

 

 

#1 seed:

Bills win out and take the division

*Jags go 3-1

**Broncos go 2-2, but it matters which games they win and lose

   -Lose to Chiefs and Chargers; win against Packers and Jags - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to Jags and Chargers; win against Packers and Chiefs - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to Packers and Chiefs; win against Jags and Chargers - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to Jags and Chiefs; win against Packers and Chargers - Bills #1 seed

   -Lose to GB and Jags; win against Chiefs and Chargers - Broncos #1 seed

   -Lose to GB and Chargers; win against Jags and Broncos - Broncos #1 seed

 

 

Enjoy and go Bills!

 

 

*I predicted every remaining NFL game, so I’m not sure if altering any non-Jaguars picks could still give us the #1 seed if the Jags go 4-0

**I predicted every remaining NFL game, so I’m not sure if altering any non-Broncos picks would change the Bills/Broncos results shown above

Other option to win division --- 

 

Bills: win remaining AFC games (lose to Eagles)

Pats: losses to us + 2 more AFC losses (Dolphins, Jets, Ravens)

 

Pats should be favored in those remaining 3 AFC matchups, but the Fins have been playing well and Lamar is capable of flipping a switch at any point.  

 

Just need to take care of business this Sunday --- at the very least, getting the 5 seed is very important.  Much rather play at Pitt again, or even Baltimore, vs travelling to Houston (who I think will ultimately win that division and be the #3 seed).

[Billsfanatic8989]

35 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

This is wrong.  If we win out, Pats just need to lose to Miami or the Jets for us to win the division.

This. 

 

We would win on conference record if the above happened. 

[Bills aPHILLYate]

I know the scenarios can change week to week but I get excited at the thought of going into the playoffs with the clear cut best QB of the bunch vs a field potentially absent of Mahomes, Lamar and Burrow

 

 

[TFBillsfan]

10 minutes ago, MasterStrategist said:

Other option to win division --- 

 

Bills: win remaining AFC games (lose to Eagles)

Pats: losses to us + 2 more AFC losses (Dolphins, Jets, Ravens)

 

Pats should be favored in those remaining 3 AFC matchups, but the Fins have been playing well and Lamar is capable of flipping a switch at any point.  

 

Just need to take care of business this Sunday --- at the very least, getting the 5 seed is very important.  Much rather play at Pitt again, or even Baltimore, vs travelling to Houston (who I think will ultimately win that division and be the #3 seed).

Jags should win 3 of their last 4, Houston would have to win out to catch them. Not sure who wins the tiebreaker?

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

44 minutes ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

This is wrong.  If we win out, Pats just need to lose to Miami or the Jets for us to win the division.

Yep 2 division losses for NE also gives them 2 conference losses which is one more than us.  That would tie up the head to head and division tiebreakers and give us the conference tiebreaker assuming we don’t lose to another afc team which isn’t unreasonable 

 

I wouldn’t start getting excited until beating NE but with Miami playing better it really isn’t impossible if we win the NE game 

Edited 15 minutes ago by Generic_Bills_Fan

[Bleeding Bills Blue]

14 minutes ago, MasterStrategist said:

Other option to win division --- 

 

Bills: win remaining AFC games (lose to Eagles)

Pats: losses to us + 2 more AFC losses (Dolphins, Jets, Ravens)

 

Pats should be favored in those remaining 3 AFC matchups, but the Fins have been playing well and Lamar is capable of flipping a switch at any point.  

 

Just need to take care of business this Sunday --- at the very least, getting the 5 seed is very important.  Much rather play at Pitt again, or even Baltimore, vs travelling to Houston (who I think will ultimately win that division and be the #3 seed).

 

I dunno - its been a weird year.  We got smoked by Houston away, and we lost to them in that absurd game in allen's 2nd year.  Kinda feel like its a "get that win back" type of thing.  I also think we haven't heard the last of KC.  I just can't see them dying when 10-7 is still on the table and the only teams in their way are the chargers and colts.