If we beat the Bengals, we’re winning the AFC

[HOUSE]

52 minutes ago, ColoradoBills said:

 

I bet all her plans cost you money.

You have no idea. 🫢

[TheBrownBear]

Love the optimism, but I'm just hoping we get to 10 or 11 wins and make the postseason.  We struggled to score three points in the first half yesterday before the defense picked us up and basically took the game over (along with the running game).  We don't look like a team about to win 6 straight, imo.

[YoloinOhio]

The bengals have literally the worst defense in history and some of the worst coaching and OL play I’ve ever seen.I’m pretty sure the pats and eagles will be tougher games. 

Edited 15 hours ago by YoloinOhio

[ChronicAndKnuckles]

Kincaid’s return cannot be understated. 

[Chicharito]

I don’t see our defense being able to stop Burrow. The bengals eat our soft zone up. 

[Ya Digg?]

16 minutes ago, Chicharito said:

I don’t see our defense being able to stop Burrow. The bengals eat our soft zone up. 

Yeah but do you see their defense being able to stop the Bills offense? Especially without Hendrickson?

[Paup 1995MVP]

6 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I agree with you, if we win out, we are serious contender no matter what. But being seed one is not about having HFA, it's about having to play one less game and having more time to get healthy. Seed 1 is super important.

 

Not likely now but I remain optimist.

Good point about having the bye..  3 wins on the road is very difficult.  Not impossible, but difficult.  That's a lot of physicality after playing 17 regular season games.  But we were tough in the trenches yesterday.  Just need to find some passing game, to keep defenses honest.  That should be a high priority for the coaching staff and players.  

[ganesh]

6 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I agree with you, if we win out, we are serious contender no matter what. But being seed one is not about having HFA, it's about having to play one less game and having more time to get healthy. Seed 1 is super important.

 

Not likely now but I remain optimist.

So well put and we had the best shot at #1 this season and we have blown it with lackluster performance that are proving costly 

[strive_for_five_guy]

If we win out, at worst, we will still have a shot at the division and the 3 seed right up until Week 18.  If Pats lose to Miami (you never know), we would take the division at that point.  Pats losing to the Jets the week prior works too.

 

Assuming the Colts and Jags both lose at least one more, we would then have the 2 seed.  
 

To get into the 1 seed, we would also need the Chargers to lose at least one more, and the Broncos to lose two of Vegas, Chiefs, Jags and Chargers.

 

The key is to keep winning, and the 1 seed conversation can stay open.

 

 

[ganesh]

9 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

If we win out, at worst, we will still have a shot at the division and the 3 seed right up until Week 18.  If Pats lose to Miami (you never know), we would take the division at that point.  Pats losing to the Jets the week prior works too.

 

Assuming the Colts and Jags both lose at least one more, we would then have the 2 seed.  
 

To get into the 1 seed, we would also need the Chargers to lose at least one more, and the Broncos to lose two of Vegas, Chiefs, Jags and Chargers.

 

The key is to keep winning, and the 1 seed conversation can stay open.

 

 

The Bills are technically 2 1/2 games behind the Patriots...That will get cut to 2 games if we win against the Bengals this week (when the Pats will have their bye)....The Pats have to lose two games (including one against us and one against Jets or Dolphins) for us to get the tie breakers (assuming we win rest of the way).....There are a lot of "ifs"...hey anything can happen in the NFL

[Gregg]

9 hours ago, strive_for_five_guy said:

If we win out, at worst, we will still have a shot at the division and the 3 seed right up until Week 18.  If Pats lose to Miami (you never know), we would take the division at that point.  Pats losing to the Jets the week prior works too.

 

Assuming the Colts and Jags both lose at least one more, we would then have the 2 seed.  
 

To get into the 1 seed, we would also need the Chargers to lose at least one more, and the Broncos to lose two of Vegas, Chiefs, Jags and Chargers.

 

The key is to keep winning, and the 1 seed conversation can stay open.

 

 

 

At this point the #1 seed is between the Pats and Broncos. 

[JP51]

14 hours ago, Chicharito said:

I don’t see our defense being able to stop Burrow. The bengals eat our soft zone up. 

Not if the wind is blowing at 30mph... it becomes a ground game.

[Gregg]

15 hours ago, Chicharito said:

I don’t see our defense being able to stop Burrow. The bengals eat our soft zone up. 

 

The Bengals defense is also terrible. This might be a college basketball score type of game. 63-56 or something like that.

[PatsFanNH]

21 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I know this is kind of a “hear me out” or LAM post, and I know that objectively we only have about a 4% chance right now. I also admit I’m a bit of a homer, but I still think this is rational enough.

 

I think the Bengals are the toughest game left on the schedule. If we win that one, we have a good chance to win out. I know most of you think this team is flawed and that McD is a bad coach, but we actually have a good regular-season track record with him, and we’re traditionally great in December. Oh, and we are NOT losing twice to the Pats* this year.

 

And if we do win out, only the following things need to happen for us to get the 1-seed:

 

Patriots lose one more divisional game (@ Jets, vs. Dolphins) or both of their other games (vs. Giants, @ Ravens). This is not impossible at all. I know they’re good, but nobody wins every game. I’d bet they drop one of those divisional matchups.

 

Broncos lose two more divisional games — @ Raiders, vs. Packers, vs. Jaguars, @ Chiefs, vs. Chargers. It is pretty likely this will happen. They’re winning too many close games, and that’s a tough schedule.

 

Colts, Chargers, Jaguars each lose one game. That’s basically guaranteed.

 

So in my mind, we really only need two things: beat the Bengals, and then hope either the Dolphins or Jets can pull off a divisional win.

 

If it fails, then I’m back to my original expectation: we’ll be playing a wild card game @ Ravens.

 

Edit: As @ColoradoBills pointed out, Broncos need to lose 2 divisional games. Which makes it more complicated than I thought. Still pretty realistic.

So you need the Pats to lose 3 of their last 4 games for this to happen?? I am assuming you also need the Bills to win in 2 weeks right? While very possible IMO very unlikely. I could see them going 2-2 though. 

[vtnatefootball11]

22 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I know this is kind of a “hear me out” or LAM post, and I know that objectively we only have about a 4% chance right now. I also admit I’m a bit of a homer, but I still think this is rational enough.

 

I think the Bengals are the toughest game left on the schedule. If we win that one, we have a good chance to win out. I know most of you think this team is flawed and that McD is a bad coach, but we actually have a good regular-season track record with him, and we’re traditionally great in December. Oh, and we are NOT losing twice to the Pats* this year.

 

And if we do win out, only the following things need to happen for us to get the 1-seed:

 

Patriots lose one more divisional game (@ Jets, vs. Dolphins) or both of their other games (vs. Giants, @ Ravens). This is not impossible at all. I know they’re good, but nobody wins every game. I’d bet they drop one of those divisional matchups.

 

Broncos lose two more divisional games — @ Raiders, vs. Packers, vs. Jaguars, @ Chiefs, vs. Chargers. It is pretty likely this will happen. They’re winning too many close games, and that’s a tough schedule.

 

Colts, Chargers, Jaguars each lose one game. That’s basically guaranteed.

 

So in my mind, we really only need two things: beat the Bengals, and then hope either the Dolphins or Jets can pull off a divisional win.

 

If it fails, then I’m back to my original expectation: we’ll be playing a wild card game @ Ravens.

 

Edit: As @ColoradoBills pointed out, Broncos need to lose 2 divisional games. Which makes it more complicated than I thought. Still pretty realistic.

 

Do Broncos need to lose two Divisional games or just conference games??

[PatsFanNH]

Just now, Gregg said:

 

The Bengals defense is also terrible. This might be a college basketball score type of game. 63-56 or something like that.

Their D has played sneaky good the last 3 weeks.. being very good at getting turnovers as well which per here has been the Bills Achilles heal all year..  if there is one thing the Bills have to do it’s play mistake free football Sunday otherwise Buttow and company could make it a Allen Superman game situation

[Gregg]

Just now, PatsFanNH said:

Their D has played sneaky good the last 3 weeks.. being very good at getting turnovers as well which per here has been the Bills Achilles heal all year..  if there is one thing the Bills have to do it’s play mistake free football Sunday otherwise Buttow and company could make it a Allen Superman game situation

 

I expect Cook will have another big day. If the Bills offense can have a repeat performance from the Steelers game (minus the turnovers) then that would be great. Keep Burrow on the sideline as much as possible.

[MDH]

15 hours ago, TheBrownBear said:

Love the optimism, but I'm just hoping we get to 10 or 11 wins and make the postseason.  We struggled to score three points in the first half yesterday before the defense picked us up and basically took the game over (along with the running game).  We don't look like a team about to win 6 straight, imo.

I keep seeing reactions to the game like this. Do you really expect the Bills to play well every drive and win 40-0 each game and, if not, complain that they didn’t “play well?”

 

Does it make people feel better if they split the bad drives up equally between halves? Or suck in the 2nd half? I guess psychologically it makes sense, you feel better looking at a 26-7 score the entire game but the drive to drive results are the exact same. Bottom line, Bills win on the road 26-7 against a 6-5 team…I’ll take it every time.
 

The D has improved drastically over the last 3 games. They’ve gone from allowing 5.4ypp to 4.8ypp. My biggest issue is the turnovers on O. They went from a team that never lost the TO battle to one that can’t win it. Clean that up and they can get back to their winning streak days.

8 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said:

So you need the Pats to lose 3 of their last 4 games for this to happen?? I am assuming you also need the Bills to win in 2 weeks right? While very possible IMO very unlikely. I could see them going 2-2 though. 

No, Pats just have to lose 2. One to the Bills and another (gulp) to an AFC East team. That’s IF the Bills win out. Very doubtful that both those things happen but that’s why they play the games.

[BullBuchanan]

This is the worst bills team I've seen since 2019. Half of this prediction is already bust after that pats blew out NYG last night.

You must love betting 16 team parlays.

[strive_for_five_guy]

1 hour ago, Gregg said:

 

At this point the #1 seed is between the Pats and Broncos. 

We keep winning, Pats can’t clinch the division until Week 18.  Regardless of everyone else, we just need to keep winning.