Mid season observations with Bills and league

[djp14150]

1. One score games. ( within 8 pts or less)

 

they have ranged from 2-8 for teams

 

8– broncos

7- Pats, Jets, Jags, eagles, cardinals

3–. Bills, ravens, titans, saints 

2– commanders, lions

 

Broncos and pats have only 2 losses in these games, eagles have 1 loss.

Panthers, Chargers and Steelers are 4-1 in 1 score games.

 

jetscand cards are on the opposite side of being 2-5 inn1 score games. The cards in particular how blown I think 4 multi-score leads in 4 of those loses.

 

last year the Chiefs we’re 11-0 in one score games.  That is a big luck factor.

 

2. oddities in the schedule

 

the ravens were given a difficult schedule to start the season. As a 1st place division winner you play the 1st place teams from the 2 divisions you play and you have 3 positional 1st place opponents.

 

With the final week being division games, that leaves 5 games out of 16 being  against these teams so over 6 games the expectation is 2 games sgsibstvyhese 5 teams.  The ravens played all 5 in their first 6 games going 2+5 with a win vs Cleveland.

 

Indianapolis only say Tennessee twice and has yet to play Jax and hou in schedule.  Their record coukd be a bit inflated.

 

last year the Steelers in their closing schedule was all of their 6 divisional games, and chiefs and eagles ( both SB teams last yr)

 

3.  Turnovers matter where they are….

 

 

in 2 of the Bills losses no matter how bad they played, turnovers cost them.

 

against these teams Pats they had a turnover inside their 29 giving thrn a FG and they had a re zone turnover.  Their record coukd game could have bern very different when bills had ball mid 4th down 20-27 when it coukd have bern tied it bills leading at thst point.

 

against the fins they had 2 positive yard markervtutoverscandca 4 th doen stop before they scored that early 4 th Q TD. They easily could have bern down 16-13 after that 4th Q TD or lead as much as 24-16.  It coukd have been a very different game.  In the late 4th the were playing press stop run D which could be broken for long TD runs which is what occurred. Had it been a 1 score or lead those would not have happened.  The ending would have bern different.

 

4. Early playoffs forecadt

 

NFC—- Eagles  likely east div winner , Tampa has the south edge but they face Carolina twice after thxgvg so there could be interesting if panthers win first meeting.  The other 2 divisions are wide open.

 

AFC— I think WC goes to 3 of the 4 division 2nd place teams. 3 rd place teams are not going. In the west chargers are 3-0 against div foes so they have edge on division, while Indy has to play both Texans and jags twice which will go far in deciding the placement of teams.