The somewhat probable scenario where Bills win out and miss the playoffs

I keep seeing in simulators that if the Bills win out they have a >99% chance of making the playoffs. >99% is not 100% so I was curious: what is a scenario where the Bills win out and actually MISS the playoffs? This is what I came up with: - First, the Bills win out. They beat the Chargers, Patriots, and Dolphins. With how they are playing as of late, very possible. - The Dolphins win the 2 games before playing the Bills. These games are against the Cowboys

Thanks for bringing this up! You got me looking deeper into this and boy does it get tricky. First thing that happens is division leaders are determined. Given my scenario, Miami, Baltimore, and KC have the best records so they get it. However, in the AFC South, Jax and Indy would be tied but Jax would have the head-to-head so they get it. On to figuring out the wildcards! https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures The rules state that when you