Awwufelloff Posted September 13, 2022 Author Share Posted September 13, 2022 (edited) 25 minutes ago, TheWeatherMan said: Ensemble’s don’t because they are probabilistic not deterministic, which is why they are so accurate as they account for a chaotic environment. They are exceptional at picking up on mesoscale features such as pulse (pop up) or air mass convection. Look up the NOAA HRRR, it’s amazing. The UKMO is the UK Model. I've used the UKIE quite a bit. Pivotal has a great model set for UK and Euro High Res. I use the HRRR quite a bit in severe season along with NAM 3KM. HRRR is best for convection with its higher res. Edited September 13, 2022 by Awwufelloff 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCofNC Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Looks like high probability of Josh bringing the thunder and making it rain all over the Titans. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MPL Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 1 hour ago, YoloinOhio said: Well really what was the last good weather game the Bills have had at home? It’s been a very long time Home opener vs Seahawks in 08 is the last one I remember. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ControllerOfPlanetX Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 it will be stormy, but Josh will part Lake Erie and lead us to the promise land. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Taro Nimbus Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Dont worry. By Friday, the forecast will say high of 40 with scattered snow showers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LabattBlue Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 They can’t get the forecast correct for an afternoon, at 8AM the same morning. 6 days away…laughable. 😂😂 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlCowlingsTaxiService Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 5 hours ago, Awwufelloff said: Still up in the air. Buf national weather service discusses the differences in the models Sunday and beyond...there are big difference in the guidance packages, from zonal flow transitioning to a trough over the region (chances for showers), to amplification of the mid- level ridge (dry weather). Have gone with NBM guidance with this much uncertainty this far out. Is this Pope Don Paul? 😂 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextmanup Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 Too early to have a serious, detailed discussion about weather on Monday night. In four days or so we'll have a pretty solid idea of what to expect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 2 hours ago, MPL said: Home opener vs Seahawks in 08 is the last one I remember. Nah, Fitzy win vs Pats was a nice day weather wise. That was what 2011? Definitely been others since. 4 hours ago, YoloinOhio said: Well really what was the last good weather game the Bills have had at home? It’s been a very long time Vs Rams 2020 was a good weather day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stinky finger Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 6 hours ago, Buffalo Boy said: I’m a mailman, look outside….. that’s the only way to know what the weather is doing where you are. The ONLY thing more worthless than a weather forecast is a postal manager. Is that you and Peter King? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCal Deek Posted September 13, 2022 Share Posted September 13, 2022 I’m predicting sunny and 75 here in Southern California, in case anyone was wondering. 😉 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 Looking at the 10 day forecast right now and the only day with rain is Monday, all the others are sunny. SMFH. The way too early forecast looks like temps in the low 70s and potential scattered TStorms. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Brown Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 4 hours ago, Boatdrinks said: Rams 2020 was a good weather day. That whole season was pretty good weather wise which of course coincided with the one year they didn't allow fans in the stands. Season opener against Jets, the warm November Seahawks game, and the Antonio Williams game against Miami comes to mind. The only crappy game I recall is the weird Thursday night game against the Chiefs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franco_92 Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Doc Brown said: That whole season was pretty good weather wise which of course coincided with the one year they didn't allow fans in the stands. Season opener against Jets, the warm November Seahawks game, and the Antonio Williams game against Miami comes to mind. The only crappy game I recall is the weird Thursday night game against the Chiefs. from my memory: Jets game was great weather. Rams game was also great. Chiefs was rainy and cold, but not particularly windy? Pats game was cold, windy, and rainy. Bills ran for a lot of yards. Seahawks game weather felt too good to be true, I remember raking in a t shirt after. Chargers game was about as good as you could hope for in November. Steelers game was kinda gross Dolphins game, as good as you could ask for in the winter Colts game, the same. Neither game had noticeable wind, Bass hit a 54 yarder Ravens game, pretty damn bad 6/10 games were about as good as it can get for that time of year in Buffalo. The Ravens and Pats games were played fundamentally different from how they could have been because of wind. Chiefs/Steelers, throwing the ball was a lot easier, but were wet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jauronimo Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 1 hour ago, Big Turk said: Looking at the 10 day forecast right now and the only day with rain is Monday, all the others are sunny. SMFH. The way too early forecast looks like temps in the low 70s and potential scattered TStorms. I don't want to get wet. You wouldn't like me when I'm wet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awwufelloff Posted September 14, 2022 Author Share Posted September 14, 2022 Buffalo national weather service has introduced a chance at shower Monday night. 😧 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott7975 Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 4 hours ago, Awwufelloff said: Buffalo national weather service has introduced a chance at shower Monday night. 😧 Of course its going to shower during an important conference game home opener. I wouldnt expect anything less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freddyjj Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 6 hours ago, Doc Brown said: That whole season was pretty good weather wise which of course coincided with the one year they didn't allow fans in the stands. Season opener against Jets, the warm November Seahawks game, and the Antonio Williams game against Miami comes to mind. The only crappy game I recall is the weird Thursday night game against the Chiefs. That Chiefs game was lousy weather but was on a MON night just 6 days after playing Titans on a TUE night in Nashville. Was a wonky week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJB Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 (edited) Anyone know if this Weather guy can hold? 🧐 Edited September 14, 2022 by DJB 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Draconator Posted September 14, 2022 Share Posted September 14, 2022 11 hours ago, SoCal Deek said: I’m predicting sunny and 175 here in Southern California, in case anyone was wondering. 😉 fixed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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