Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Just now, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. They've yet to show any inclination to limit his running attempts (granted many are not planned runs). Either way, any 3 TDs for +1200! He had 4 vs the #8 D in points allowed (KC). Rams were #7 last year--Miller's on the other side now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fleezoid Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 "How are people betting Bills vs. Rams" Cash or credit card. ......... No checks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ddaryl Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 13 hours ago, That's No Moon said: Gun to my head I'm taking the Rams with the points. I have removed the gun pressed against your temple, who are you taking? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2020 Our Year For Sure Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 14 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. Not sure about straight up bet but +2.5 is the perfect number to tease. Tease up +1.5 to +2.5 and tease down -7.5 to -8.5 I may well play the Rams in a teaser. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 The Bills were underdogs when betting opened Now they are favored. Doesn’t that say where the $ was going? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't touch that one. Bills are going to try and not put Josh in harms way as much. They'll try and run it more with the backs closer to the goal line. I expect and hope his rushing numbers are down a lot this year. He should not be rushing for 700 yards on a season like last year. Moe like 400 -450. Take away most of the called runs. Not sure about straight up bet but +2.5 is the perfect number to tease. Tease up +1.5 to +2.5 and tease down -7.5 to -8.5 Most teasers are +6, but can be modified. You would either tease to rams to around +8.5 or the Bills around +3.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, NewEra said: Most teasers are +6, but can be modified. You would either tease to rams to around +8.5 or the Bills around +3.5 Yep. Goal with teasers is to tease through 3, 4 and 7. The three most common spreads when a game is final. And typically it is considered a poor choice to tease through zero which you would have to do if teasing the Bills. I've had comically bad luck with Super Teasers in the past when moving the line 13 points. 2 minutes ago, julian said: I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it Bovada currently lists the Bills at +550 so getting them at +650 was even better. 17 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: They've yet to show any inclination to limit his running attempts (granted many are not planned runs). Either way, any 3 TDs for +1200! He had 4 vs the #8 D in points allowed (KC). Rams were #7 last year--Miller's on the other side now... Are you sure it is any 3TD's? Usually any TD's means rushing and receiving only. Passing TD's are typically counted separately. If it includes passing TD's then yes that is a steal. But i highly doubt it does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
julian Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: Yep. Goal with teasers is to tease through 3, 4 and 7. The three most common spreads when a game is final. And typically it is considered a poor choice to tease through zero which you would have to do if teasing the Bills. I've had comically bad luck with Super Teasers in the past when moving the line 13 points. Bovada currently lists the Bills at +550 so getting them at +650 was even better. Lol nice, Getting it 6 weeks ago looks smart Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Josh Allen is -105 for over 2TD's on Bovada. So he has to throw for 3TD's to win -105 He is currently listed at +1000 for 2 or more TD's which is rushing or receiving only. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bookie Man Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Rams opened up -1 iirc. So I’d imagine most action is on Buffalo leading up to now, which kind of makes me weary. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: Yep. Goal with teasers is to tease through 3, 4 and 7. The three most common spreads when a game is final. And typically it is considered a poor choice to tease through zero which you would have to do if teasing the Bills. I've had comically bad luck with Super Teasers in the past when moving the line 13 points. Bovada currently lists the Bills at +550 so getting them at +650 was even better. Are you sure it is any 3TD's? Usually any TD's means rushing and receiving only. Passing TD's are typically counted separately. If it includes passing TD's then yes that is a steal. But i highly doubt it does. yeah true Passing TD O/U is 1.5--jump on that too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: yeah true Passing TD O/U is 1.5--jump on that too I'm seeing O/U of 2 passing for Allen. If it were 1.5 that would be a no brainer as well. I see 2+ TD for Bills listed at Diggs +8000 Allen +1000 Davis +1000 Knox +1400 I'd sprinkle a little on both Davis and Knox. Decent chance one of the two hits. Edited September 3, 2022 by Sammy Watkins' Rib Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Estro Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 I see the Bills pulling away in the 2nd half courtesy of a Staford turnover or 2. BILLS 41 RAMS 22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. WEO Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I'm seeing O/U of 2 passing for Allen. If it were 1.5 that would be a no brainer as well. I see 2+ TD for Bills listed at Diggs +8000 Allen +1000 Davis +1000 Knox +1400 I'd sprinkle a little on both Davis and Knox. Decent chance one of the two hits. Fanduel, Draftkings, Caesars had him 1.5 as of 9/1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanoros Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 9 hours ago, Utah John said: As good as the Bills look to be, they are facing the Rams offense with two rookie cornerbacks. The only way to protect them is with a monster pass rush, and as a matter of fact that might very well happen. If the O line can contain Donald, the Bills should score score score. I never bet but if I did I'd give the points and take the Bills. Don’t know if you meant it to sound that way, but we will NOT be starting two rookie cb’s (baring injury). Only 1 will be starting opposite Dane, and I’m sure they will be rotated early and the better will get the majority of snaps (which is even better than having just 1). Besides the one rookie cb starting, we have Poyer, Hyde, Johnson, and Dane. That’s not a bad secondary by any means, and statements like yours greatly over exaggerate the status of our secondary. 41 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said: They've yet to show any inclination to limit his running attempts (granted many are not planned runs). Either way, any 3 TDs for +1200! He had 4 vs the #8 D in points allowed (KC). Rams were #7 last year--Miller's on the other side now... I’m sure Josh’s planned runs will be limited this year, but I also don’t think they will dial it back while in the redzone during meaningful parts of games (so not when we are blowing a team out). Josh’s running (both called and scrambles) in the redzone is a such a weapon making our redzone offense so potent. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perk71 Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 46 minutes ago, julian said: I got a simple Bills to win it all 250$ at +650 nets 1625 not sure if that’s good as I’m not a gambler, but I like looking at it I put $100 at +700. We are gonna be in good shape. Go Bills!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bdomdbomb Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 Nearly every team gets better every year. You have draft picks, sign free agents, and have last year's early picks with a year under their belt. We have Elam and Groot from last year and signed Von Miller. The Rams did sign Robinson but they lost Miller and don't have the first round influx like the Bills. They peaked this last year and won the Super Bowl but they mortgaged the future for the here and now(over the last couple of years). I hope the Rams enjoyed the last couple of years because this train may be starting from the top but it is on the decline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 14 hours ago, Chaos said: I cannot figure out how to do this parlay. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 3, 2022 Share Posted September 3, 2022 52 minutes ago, ßookie_tech said: Rams opened up -1 iirc. So I’d imagine most action is on Buffalo leading up to now, which kind of makes me weary. home teams are 3 pt favorites by default so, to me - 1 is indicative of the Bills being the favored all along Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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