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My Current 53


marck

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Alrighty I'll take a crack...

 

QB

Josh Allen

Case Keenum

 

RB/FB

Devin Singletary 

Zack Moss 

James Cook

Taiwan Jones 

Reggie Gilliam 

 

WR 

Stefon Diggs

Gabe Davis

Isaiah McKenzie

Jamison Crowder

Khalil Shakir

Isaiah Hodgins

Jake Kumerow

 

TE 

Dawson Knox 

OJ Howard

Tommy Sweeney 

 

OL 

Dion Dawkins

Rodger Saffold

Mitch Morse 

Ryan Bates 

Spencer Brown 

Tommy Doyle 

David Quessenberry 

Greg Mancz 

 

DL 

Von Miller 

Greg Rousseau

Boogie Basham

AJ Epenesa

Shaq Lawson 

Ed Oliver

DaQuan Jones 

Jordan Phillips 

Tim Settle 

 

LB 

Tremaine Edmunds

Matt Milano 

Tyrell Dodson 

Terrel Bernard

Tyler Matakevitch 

 

DB 

Tre White 

Kaiir Elam 

Taron Johnson 

Dane Jackson

Siran Neal 

Christian Benford 

Micah Hyde

Jordan Poyer

Jaquan Johnson 

Damar Hamlin 

 

ST 

Reid Ferguson 

Tyler Bass

Matt Araiza 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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19 minutes ago, blacklabel said:

Alrighty I'll take a crack...

 

QB

Josh Allen

Case Keenum

 

RB/FB

Devin Singletary 

Zack Moss 

James Cook

Taiwan Jones 

Reggie Gilliam 

 

WR 

Stefon Diggs

Gabe Davis

Isaiah McKenzie

Jamison Crowder

Khalil Shakir

Isaiah Hodgins

Jake Kumerow

 

TE 

Dawson Knox 

OJ Howard

Tommy Sweeney 

 

OL 

Dion Dawkins

Rodger Saffold

Mitch Morse 

Ryan Bates 

Spencer Brown 

Tommy Doyle 

David Quessenberry 

Greg Mancz 

 

DL 

Von Miller 

Greg Rousseau

Boogie Basham

AJ Epenesa

Shaq Lawson 

Ed Oliver

DaQuan Jones 

Jordan Phillips 

Tim Settle 

 

LB 

Tremaine Edmunds

Matt Milano 

Tyrell Dodson 

Terrel Bernard

Tyler Matakevitch 

 

DB 

Tre White 

Kaiir Elam 

Taron Johnson 

Dane Jackson

Siran Neal 

Christian Benford 

Micah Hyde

Jordan Poyer

Jaquan Johnson 

Damar Hamlin 

 

ST 

Reid Ferguson 

Tyler Bass

Matt Araiza 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Only changes I'd make is Morris over Sweeney and if OBJ signs maybe you trade Hodgins to the Giants. I don't think they cut Kumerow because of ST.  Could also make a case for trading Crowder and keeping Hodgins for his size and he's finally able to show skills

Edited by Warriorspikes51
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21 minutes ago, blacklabel said:

Alrighty I'll take a crack...

 

QB

Josh Allen

Case Keenum

 

RB/FB

Devin Singletary 

Zack Moss 

James Cook

Taiwan Jones 

Reggie Gilliam 

 

WR 

Stefon Diggs

Gabe Davis

Isaiah McKenzie

Jamison Crowder

Khalil Shakir

Isaiah Hodgins

Jake Kumerow

 

TE 

Dawson Knox 

OJ Howard

Tommy Sweeney 

 

OL 

Dion Dawkins

Rodger Saffold

Mitch Morse 

Ryan Bates 

Spencer Brown 

Tommy Doyle 

David Quessenberry 

Greg Mancz 

 

DL 

Von Miller 

Greg Rousseau

Boogie Basham

AJ Epenesa

Shaq Lawson 

Ed Oliver

DaQuan Jones 

Jordan Phillips 

Tim Settle 

 

LB 

Tremaine Edmunds

Matt Milano 

Tyrell Dodson 

Terrel Bernard

Tyler Matakevitch 

 

DB 

Tre White 

Kaiir Elam 

Taron Johnson 

Dane Jackson

Siran Neal 

Christian Benford 

Micah Hyde

Jordan Poyer

Jaquan Johnson 

Damar Hamlin 

 

ST 

Reid Ferguson 

Tyler Bass

Matt Araiza 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Do you have 52 players? Morris for Sweeney. Add either Bobby Hart or cam Lewis , or Giles Harris for 53rd player

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40 minutes ago, Paul Costa said:

Do you have 52 players? Morris for Sweeney. Add either Bobby Hart or cam Lewis , or Giles Harris for 53rd player

yes add Hart as 9th OL.  OBD has always had at least 9 every year of McBeane administration

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1 hour ago, BTB said:

Unless McD buys into Schoop’s ramblings, and decides that will be no kicks this season.  No punts, no FG’s & no EP’s. 


Right so cut all 3! Then you can keep Blackshear on your 53 to ensure we succeed on every 2pt conversion attempt 

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On 8/23/2022 at 11:55 PM, Beck Water said:

 

So I'm gonna take a bit of a different angle - looking at the salary cap

 

I think this is a pretty good starting place, actually.  Changes (indicated in red above)

1) Blackshear -> PS, Gilliam counted as an RB (FB) per Dorsey interview

2) Morris added as a 3rd TE.  I personally think we might see an OJ Howard trade and keep Morris and Sweeney, but, unsure so I kept Howard and Morris for now

3) Ford traded and replaced by Bobby Hart (sorry guys)

 

So now, let's look at which guys who are in the top-51 currently would be gone:

Andre Smith (suspension) - $0.363M (6/17 of $1.03M)

Duke Johnson (cut)           -   0.920M

Greg Van Roten (cut)         -   0.895M

Jordan Miller (cut)              -  0.965M

Cam Lewis (cut)                 -0.895M

Matt Barkley (cut)              -0.920M

 

Current top-51 cap space per Spotrac: $4.156M

Added by the above cuts:                       $4.958M

 

Now we have to look at the next 8 guys who will now count in the 53 man roster:

Tommy Doyle $0.825M

Tyrel Dodson $0.895M

Dane Jackson $0.825M

Damar Hamlin $0.895M

Khalil Shakir  $0.705

Matt Araiza $0.705

Christian Benford $0.705

Isaiah Hodgins $0.705

Quintin Morris $0.705

(Ike Boettger won't count against the roster, but his salary will still be paid and will count against the cap, so we will have 54 players counting against the cap)

Need to subtract from our cap space: $6.965M

 

Estimated cap space remaining on the 53 man roster: $2.15M

 

I give up on understanding whether or not the team needs to include the practice squad this year and how many people can be on it. 

I googled.  But, if it's 16 players and we're relatively evenly split between rookies, players with more than 2 years experience, and players who draw the maximum pay, we would need something like $4.17M for the practice squad.

 

If we were to trade OJ Howard and keep Tommy Sweeney on the roster, that would save $1.98M for Howard and cost $0.965M for Sweeney, so save $1M

 

Beane has said in the past that he likes to go into the season with ~$3-5M to cover any need to sign injury replacements.  So he's gotta find a couple of million somewhere.

 

 

I did this very same exercise with sportrac, using same players as you. Once I cut it to 53 players it shows $4,5M cap space. I have no idea how does that account for Boettger so not sure if I need to substract his $1M.

 

So little different numbers. Biggest differences are Duke Johnson (only $650K savings) and Andre Smith over $1M in savings. No idea how it will work with Smith. My assumption was that we have two options - cut him altogether, or put him on initial 53 then he gets suspended and we gain roster spot (?). But I don't think we can afford doing that (and that we will be willing to do that for him) so I guess he is cut. Correct me pls if I am wrong.

 

Sportrac shows different cap hits than you on most players btw.

 

Anyway, it still shows more cap space than you calculated.

 

 

Edited by No_Matter_What
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13 hours ago, No_Matter_What said:

I did this very same exercise with sportrac, using same players as you. Once I cut it to 53 players it shows $4,5M cap space. I have no idea how does that account for Boettger so not sure if I need to substract his $1M.

 

So little different numbers. Biggest differences are Duke Johnson (only $650K savings) and Andre Smith over $1M in savings. No idea how it will work with Smith. My assumption was that we have two options - cut him altogether, or put him on initial 53 then he gets suspended and we gain roster spot (?). But I don't think we can afford doing that (and that we will be willing to do that for him) so I guess he is cut. Correct me pls if I am wrong.

 

Sportrac shows different cap hits than you on most players btw.

 

Anyway, it still shows more cap space than you calculated.

 

 


 

My understanding of the Smith situation is as part of the cutdown - he moves to the Suspended list.  He does not have to go onto the 53 man roster or anything.

 

Once he slides on to the suspension list - his salary goes away for the next 6 weeks.  
 

The Bills do not need to count his salary in the cap, BUT they will need to prepare because at the end of the 6 weeks - they will need to activate or cut him and if they activate - his remaining salary will need to be accounted for.

 

That will all be part of what BBB will need to look at to figure out the cap.  He has the 53 man roster, IR, PUP, PS, and suspended players once they return.

 

Andre Smith actual gives the bills a potential spot to add a young player and then cut them in 6 weeks if you need a LB or cut Smith and save cash at that time.

 

 

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With Mancz, Doyle & Brown all being some variation of the walking wounded, I think there should be 1 additional lineman.

Probably Hart.  

  

Early in the season, with higher temps, the ball will carry so I think Bass will get the go ahead to pound the ball on kickoffs.  

This will allow cutting/trading Matekevich for the cap savings.  Smiley will have a few weeks to get the kickoff return team in order.

 

Kumerow is out for soreness though I think Hodgins has come close enough anyway for them to say goodbye to Kumerow.  Hodgins will still need to lay it all out there on Friday.  

 

so I think Kumerow, Matekevich are gone

replace with Hart and Spector.

 

be nice to figure out a way for Cam Lewis to stick.  He’s a good ball player.

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QB: Allen, Keenum


RB: Singletary, Cook, Moss, Jones
 

FB: Gilliam

 

TE: Knox, Howard, Morris

WR: Diggs, Davis, McKenzie, Shakir, Crowder, Kumerow  (OBJ on PUP)

 

OT: Dawkins, Quessenberry, Brown, Doyle
 

G: Saffold, Bates, Hart


C Morse, Mancz

DT: Oliver, Jones, Settle, Phillips

EDGE: Von, Rousseau, Basham, AJ, Shaq

LB: Edmunds, Milano, Dodson, Bernard, Spector

CB: Tre, Jackson, Elam, Benford

Nickel: Taron, Neal

S: Poyer, Hyde, Jaquan, Hamlin


ST, Bass, Araiza, Reid 


*Hodgins traded to NYG for a 4th 
*Boettger to IR,  Smith Suspended List

PS:  Barkley, Blackshear, Sweeney, Stevenson (PUP), Gentry, Tenuta, Anderson, Kingsley, Love, Bryant, Ankou, Cam Lewis, Josh Thomas
 

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28 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

QB: Allen, Keenum


RB: Singletary, Cook, Moss, Jones
 

FB: Gilliam

 

TE: Knox, Howard, Morris

WR: Diggs, Davis, McKenzie, Shakir, Crowder, Kumerow  (OBJ on PUP)

 

OT: Dawkins, Quessenberry, Brown, Doyle
 

G: Saffold, Bates, Hart


C Morse, Mancz

DT: Oliver, Jones, Settle, Phillips

EDGE: Von, Rousseau, Basham, AJ, Shaq

LB: Edmunds, Milano, Dodson, Bernard, Spector

CB: Tre, Jackson, Elam, Benford

Nickel: Taron, Neal

S: Poyer, Hyde, Jaquan, Hamlin


ST, Bass, Araiza, Reid 


*Hodgins traded to NYG for a 4th 
*Boettger to IR,  Smith Suspended List

PS:  Barkley, Blackshear, Sweeney, Stevenson (PUP), Gentry, Tenuta, Anderson, Kingsley, Love, Bryant, Ankou, Cam Lewis, Josh Thomas
 

Not a bad roster with couple question marks (as with any fan roster).

 

Did you omit Matakevich by accident or do you think he will be cut? I really doubt that.

 

Hell would freeze before Hodgins fetches 4th round. If Beane pulls some magic trick then maybe 6th.

Edited by No_Matter_What
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11 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:

Not a bad roster with couple question marks (as with any fan roster).

 

Did you omit Matakevich by accident or do you think he will be cut? I really doubt that.

 

Hell would freeze before Hodgins fetches 4th round. If Beane pulls some magic trick then maybe 6th.


I doubt they'll cut him too but I believe he would save a few mil against cap?  If he stays then Spector goes to PS but I bet he gets claimed.

Tough calls. I'd really like to have Blackshear on the roster too.  They may think long and hard about keeping him if he shows out again

tomorrow night.  


Never know, Daboll could love the guy and Giants just lost a WR 

 

 

Edited by Warriorspikes51
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17 hours ago, blacklabel said:

Alrighty I'll take a crack...

 

QB

Josh Allen

Case Keenum

 

RB/FB

Devin Singletary 

Zack Moss 

James Cook

Taiwan Jones 

Reggie Gilliam 

 

WR 

Stefon Diggs

Gabe Davis

Isaiah McKenzie

Jamison Crowder

Khalil Shakir

Isaiah Hodgins

Jake Kumerow

 

TE 

Dawson Knox 

OJ Howard

Tommy Sweeney 

 

OL 

Dion Dawkins

Rodger Saffold

Mitch Morse 

Ryan Bates 

Spencer Brown 

Tommy Doyle 

David Quessenberry 

Greg Mancz 

 

DL 

Von Miller 

Greg Rousseau

Boogie Basham

AJ Epenesa

Shaq Lawson 

Ed Oliver

DaQuan Jones 

Jordan Phillips 

Tim Settle 

 

LB 

Tremaine Edmunds

Matt Milano 

Tyrell Dodson 

Terrel Bernard

Tyler Matakevitch 

 

DB 

Tre White 

Kaiir Elam 

Taron Johnson 

Dane Jackson

Siran Neal 

Christian Benford 

Micah Hyde

Jordan Poyer

Jaquan Johnson 

Damar Hamlin 

 

ST 

Reid Ferguson 

Tyler Bass

Matt Araiza 

 

 

 

 

 

 

nice job-this is going to be really close to what we see.

 

I'm debating Cam Lewis for Hodgins and Q Morris for Sweeney - maybe an extra  O Lineman but I don't know who gets cut 

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2 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

QB: Allen, Keenum


RB: Singletary, Cook, Moss, Jones
 

FB: Gilliam

 

TE: Knox, Howard, Morris

WR: Diggs, Davis, McKenzie, Shakir, Crowder, Kumerow  (OBJ on PUP)

 

OT: Dawkins, Quessenberry, Brown, Doyle
 

G: Saffold, Bates, Hart


C Morse, Mancz

DT: Oliver, Jones, Settle, Phillips

EDGE: Von, Rousseau, Basham, AJ, Shaq

LB: Edmunds, Milano, Dodson, Bernard, Spector

CB: Tre, Jackson, Elam, Benford

Nickel: Taron, Neal

S: Poyer, Hyde, Jaquan, Hamlin


ST, Bass, Araiza, Reid 


*Hodgins traded to NYG for a 4th 
*Boettger to IR,  Smith Suspended List

PS:  Barkley, Blackshear, Sweeney, Stevenson (PUP), Gentry, Tenuta, Anderson, Kingsley, Love, Bryant, Ankou, Cam Lewis, Josh Thomas
 


 

Couple of minor quibbles.  Boettger is already on PUP inactive- he will not be put on IR until sometime in the season if at all.

 

The inactive PUP means 4 games where he can’t practice at all.  The Bills then have I believe up to 6 weeks to activate him (which moves him to active PUP), but not a member of the 53 or they can IR him at that point.

 

If they shift him to active PUP - I believe the Bills then get 3 weeks to allow him to practice and not count on the roster and during those 3 weeks at any point - they can move him to the active roster (part of the 53), keep him on active PUP for the 3 weeks, or move him to IR.  At the end of the 3 weeks - it is either active roster or IR.  
 

So the earliest they have to think about Ike is after week 4, but they have until week 10 - I believe before they need to act on him and then they have 3 more weeks to get back to speed - so really the Ike decision may not come until week 13 and may depend on o-line health.

 

The other small quibble is you have Stevenson (PUP) and that is not an option for him since he was on the active roster to start camp.  He will need to either be IR (pre 53 and done for the year), on the active 53 and moved to IR once everyone clears where he can be activated after week 4, on the active 53 with no IR, or cut and tried to go to the PS.  PUP is not an option from my understanding.

 

I have minor quibbles with the roster, but overall it is fine based on what we know - I want to see Friday’s game to finalize my last few spots based on what groups they roll out and who they try where on the field and on special teams.

 

 

Edited by Rochesterfan
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Saw this quote on Twitter and thought it was spot-on:

 

Last season for the Bills:

WR6 caught 2 passes

RB4 didn't have a carry

TE3 didn't have a catch

 

Keep this in mind when you're saying the Bills should prioritize players at these positions over Jake Kumerow and Taiwan Jones who combined for 570 Special Teams snaps

 

 

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Most reports are now signaling:

 

QB - Allen, Keenum

RB - Singletary, Moss, Cook, Jones

FB - Gilliam

WR - Diggs, Davis, McKenzie, Crowder, Shakir, Kumerow

TE - Knox, Howard, Sweeney, Morris

OT - Dawkins, Quessenberry, Brown, Doyle

G - Saffold, Bates, Hart

C - Morse, Mancz

DE - Miller, Rousseau, Epenesa, Basham, Lawson

DT - Oliver, Jones, Settle, Phillips

LB - Edmunds, Milano, Dodson, Bernard, Matakevich, Spector

CB - White, Jackson, Johnson, Elam, Benford, Neal

S - Hyde, Poyer, Johnson, Hamlin

ST - Ferguson, Bass, Araiza

 

...for the initial roster. That's 54 so need to subtract one - White to the PUP would suffice. 

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On 8/24/2022 at 3:56 PM, blacklabel said:

Alrighty I'll take a crack...

 

QB

Josh Allen

Case Keenum

 

RB/FB

Devin Singletary 

Zack Moss 

James Cook

Taiwan Jones 

Reggie Gilliam 

 

WR 

Stefon Diggs

Gabe Davis

Isaiah McKenzie

Jamison Crowder

Khalil Shakir

Isaiah Hodgins

Jake Kumerow

 

TE 

Dawson Knox 

OJ Howard

Quintin Morris

Tommy Sweeney 

 

OL 

Dion Dawkins

Rodger Saffold

Mitch Morse 

Ryan Bates 

Spencer Brown 

Tommy Doyle 

David Quessenberry 

Greg Mancz 

 

DL 

Von Miller 

Greg Rousseau

Boogie Basham

AJ Epenesa

Shaq Lawson 

Ed Oliver

DaQuan Jones 

Jordan Phillips 

Tim Settle 

 

LB 

Tremaine Edmunds

Matt Milano 

Tyrell Dodson 

Terrel Bernard

Tyler Matakevitch 

 

DB 

Tre White 

Kaiir Elam 

Taron Johnson 

Dane Jackson

Siran Neal 

Christian Benford 

Micah Hyde

Jordan Poyer

Jaquan Johnson 

Damar Hamlin 

 

ST 

Reid Ferguson 

Tyler Bass

Matt Araiza 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I think your projection is pretty spot on.  Brandon Beane has said if you arent a starter, you better be good at 3-4 phases special teams.  Quintin Morris has been one of leaders in special teams play this preseason-29 plays I believe I heard on Joe Marino's podcast.  OJ Howard has never played special teams.  Morris has been the surprise of the camp.  And coaches have been raving about Sweeney.  Knox-Sweeney-Morris is my prediction for Bills TEs

 

So last spot IMO comes down to Hodgins, Spector, Lewis, McCloud,Blackshear or Duke

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On 8/24/2022 at 3:56 PM, blacklabel said:

Alrighty I'll take a crack...

 

QB

Josh Allen

Case Keenum

 

RB/FB

Devin Singletary 

Zack Moss 

James Cook

Taiwan Jones 

Reggie Gilliam 

 

WR 

Stefon Diggs

Gabe Davis

Isaiah McKenzie

Jamison Crowder

Khalil Shakir

Isaiah Hodgins

Jake Kumerow

 

TE 

Dawson Knox 

OJ Howard

Tommy Sweeney 

 

OL 

Dion Dawkins

Rodger Saffold

Mitch Morse 

Ryan Bates 

Spencer Brown 

Tommy Doyle 

David Quessenberry 

Greg Mancz 

 

DL 

Von Miller 

Greg Rousseau

Boogie Basham

AJ Epenesa

Shaq Lawson 

Ed Oliver

DaQuan Jones 

Jordan Phillips 

Tim Settle 

 

LB 

Tremaine Edmunds

Matt Milano 

Tyrell Dodson 

Terrel Bernard

Tyler Matakevitch 

 

DB 

Tre White 

Kaiir Elam 

Taron Johnson 

Dane Jackson

Siran Neal 

Christian Benford 

Micah Hyde

Jordan Poyer

Jaquan Johnson 

Damar Hamlin 

 

ST 

Reid Ferguson 

Tyler Bass

Matt Araiza 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Looks about right, good job!  The RB and TE room is one to keep an eye on and Araiza situation is very concerning. 

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