loyal2dagame Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 9 days to late Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Fan Duel has Bills all alone at #1 +700 +750 Chiefs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 This brings no joy… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haroldwaide Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 I've already placed my wager on the Bills. And no, before you ask, it was NOT for 5000 dollars... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 12 hours ago, Greg S said: Disagree with you on the D. They were exposed against good teams. That needs to change next season. Respectfully, they were missing their best player, and they STILL were statistically the top D in the league. The D would be seen in a different light if not for a poorly managed 13 seconds. That’s a skewed look, IMO. Every season is a new season. Time will tell what we might trot out there next year. 43 minutes ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said: This brings no joy… Bob Kraft can probably get you a list of Asian Spas that might help. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 4 hours ago, Augie said: Bob Kraft can probably get you a list of Asian Spas that might help. Sadly even something that pathetic would be a vastly more significant accomplishment in comparison to the adulation of some meaningless, uninformed and perpetually incorrect projection. Self awareness might suggest investigating why exactly fantasies of Bob are top of mind for you and synonymous with joy by the way… Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 Wouldn't this thread be better after seeing what FA and the draft look like? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuvian Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 our expectations are rightfully high Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harryS Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 On 2/14/2022 at 8:21 AM, Niagara Dude said: You really cannot say which team should be favourites until draft and free agency completed sure, but as long as degenerates are willing to bet this early, the sportsbooks will lay out some bad lines for them to bet into 19 hours ago, haroldwaide said: I've already placed my wager on the Bills. why? that number was going to still be available in September. you just loaned the sportsbook money interest-free for no reason. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoTier Posted February 15, 2022 Share Posted February 15, 2022 On 2/14/2022 at 10:01 AM, BillMafia716ix said: Doesn’t mean squat. We’re back at ground zero along with everybody else. Gotta climb the mountain again… Nope. It's not an accident that the sportsbooks have made the two teams with the best QBs in the NFL as Super Bowl favorites. Allen and Mahomes put the Bills and Chiefs half way up the mountain even compared to good teams without proven top QBs such as the Bucs, Saints, and Steelers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haroldwaide Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 8 hours ago, harryS said: sure, but as long as degenerates are willing to bet this early, the sportsbooks will lay out some bad lines for them to bet into 7 times the money is a bad line for the favorite? I fail to follow your logic... why? that number was going to still be available in September. you just loaned the sportsbook money interest-free for no reason. They might make a bit if interest from my wager, but I guarantee I make more from their site playing Texas hold em. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harryS Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 6 hours ago, haroldwaide said: They might make a bit if interest from my wager, but I guarantee I make more from their site playing Texas hold em. I actually don't doubt it. I'm guessing you play at BetOnline with a Hud? You can print money that way. As for your question about why 7 to 1 is a bad price, you can search for how sportsbooks make a killing off the futures markets. If they're laying 7 to 1, I guarantee the fair price (based on current knowledge of the teams) using their computer algorithms is at least 10 to 1. If you do the math and add up the prices for all 32 teams in the Super Bowl futures market*, you'll find out that the sportsbook is basically charging a vig of 50% whereas on a regular point spread bet, they're only charging a vig of 10%. * Because we know in a perfectly fair market, all the probabilities should add up to 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 On 2/14/2022 at 9:38 PM, Over 29 years of fanhood said: This brings no joy… Same. I don't give a **** if the media and the so called "experts" say the Bills are the best team and the favorite to win it all next year. I only care about the Bills proving it on the field and winning it all in reality. Talk is cheap. I just want one in my lifetime. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
haroldwaide Posted February 16, 2022 Share Posted February 16, 2022 53 minutes ago, harryS said: I actually don't doubt it. I'm guessing you play at BetOnline with a Hud? You can print money that way. As for your question about why 7 to 1 is a bad price, you can search for how sportsbooks make a killing off the futures markets. If they're laying 7 to 1, I guarantee the fair price (based on current knowledge of the teams) using their computer algorithms is at least 10 to 1. If you do the math and add up the prices for all 32 teams in the Super Bowl futures market*, you'll find out that the sportsbook is basically charging a vig of 50% whereas on a regular point spread bet, they're only charging a vig of 10%. * Because we know in a perfectly fair market, all the probabilities should add up to 1 I actually use FanDuel. I placed a wager on one of their spread the love promos and playing with house money so to speak. Might have to look into BetOnline... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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