LeGOATski Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, JDHillFan said: I’m going to follow your lead by ignoring the Real Clear Politics average of polls that show Kemp +4.8, Abbott +6.4, and DeSantis +8.8 and buy this hook, line, and sinker. If the blue wave doesn’t materialize we can always blame racism and hispanics. It seems like DeSantis certainly has the momentum as of late... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiGoose Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 3 hours ago, Tiberius said: I am incredibly skeptical of a blue wave: GOP won the redistricting fight, Dems couldn't even fight to a draw Midterms of a first term presidency Inflation & gas prices Right now, we're going to see things really turn around for the Dems as the bottom drops out for the GOP on suburban women voters, but it's not even July yet. When Roe is five months in the rearview mirror and it still costs $90 to fill their gas tank, I'd expect we'd see things return to the expected GOP wins in the Fall. It might not be as big as it would have been without Roe but I just can't see a Dem win in the midterms, not to mention an actual blue wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 minute ago, ChiGoose said: I am incredibly skeptical of a blue wave: GOP won the redistricting fight, Dems couldn't even fight to a draw Midterms of a first term presidency Inflation & gas prices Right now, we're going to see things really turn around for the Dems as the bottom drops out for the GOP on suburban women voters, but it's not even July yet. When Roe is five months in the rearview mirror and it still costs $90 to fill their gas tank, I'd expect we'd see things return to the expected GOP wins in the Fall. It might not be as big as it would have been without Roe but I just can't see a Dem win in the midterms, not to mention an actual blue wave. House seems likely to go GOP, but wouldn't be super surprised if Dems pick up seats in the Senate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDHillFan Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 8 minutes ago, ChiGoose said: I am incredibly skeptical of a blue wave: GOP won the redistricting fight, Dems couldn't even fight to a draw Midterms of a first term presidency Inflation & gas prices Right now, we're going to see things really turn around for the Dems as the bottom drops out for the GOP on suburban women voters, but it's not even July yet. When Roe is five months in the rearview mirror and it still costs $90 to fill their gas tank, I'd expect we'd see things return to the expected GOP wins in the Fall. It might not be as big as it would have been without Roe but I just can't see a Dem win in the midterms, not to mention an actual blue wave. It’s only one poll but the turning towards dems, even temporarily, is far from given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted June 30, 2022 Share Posted June 30, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALF Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 In blue states Roe/Wade has no effect , still economy the main issue for elections. Crime , border we will see. I doubt if Manchin will go with nuclear option to legalize abortion. If republicans win in 24 they could ban abortion even in blue states . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Precision Posted July 2, 2022 Share Posted July 2, 2022 By many accounts the US is already in a recession. U.S. Recession Already Six Months Old, Says Fed Model Remember Q1 GDP growth was negative. More recently: "The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model is tracking this data, and it looks bad. At the time of writing, roughly a -1% decline in GDP for Q2 is on the cards. Of course, that forecast may change, but unless some upcoming numbers improve, it may mean that we’re already 6 months into a U.S. recession." Heading into the midterms we're very like in a recession from the Q1 and Q2 numbers and right before the election the Q3 estimate will be released. Per DRsGhost post above the top 3 issues for voters are gas prices, inflation and the economy. The timing of the economic data couldn't have been worse for the Democrats. I don't see how this can't be a windfall election for Republicans. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 Purposely over the top, to drive liberals crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted July 7, 2022 Share Posted July 7, 2022 (edited) On 7/2/2022 at 9:34 AM, ALF said: In blue states Roe/Wade has no effect , still economy the main issue for elections. Crime , border we will see. I doubt if Manchin will go with nuclear option to legalize abortion. If republicans win in 24 they could ban abortion even in blue states . I don’t think so. Supreme Court ruling effectively said its a state issue not a federal one. That was the ‘reversal’ every one is talking about. they essentially said the right to abortion was a poor interpretation of the constitution and therefore states must have the power to decide. Edited July 7, 2022 by Over 29 years of fanhood 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted July 8, 2022 Author Share Posted July 8, 2022 The overturn of Roe has fully sunk in and polls reflect it has made an impact..... The 2020 midterm elections are now 123 days away, and Republicans have an eight-point lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 48% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 40% would vote for the Democrat. Just four percent (4%) would vote for some other candidate, but another eight percent (8%) are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.) The Republican lead has increased by three points since last week, when they led 47%-42%. The GOP has led the Generic Congressional Ballot all year. https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_jul09 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 Keep seeing good news. Hope it holds up. Young voters have to turn out. The majority of voters over 45 voted for that idiot. The young people saved this republic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted July 9, 2022 Author Share Posted July 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, Tiberius said: Keep seeing good news. Hope it holds up. Young voters have to turn out. The majority of voters over 45 voted for that idiot. The young people saved this republic This is a DNC polling firm and operative. Who's job is literally to manipulate you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JDHillFan Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 18 minutes ago, Big Blitz said: This is a DNC polling firm and operative. Who's job is literally to manipulate you. It’s obviously working on at least one individual. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 2 hours ago, Big Blitz said: This is a DNC polling firm and operative. Who's job is literally to manipulate you. You still think Trump won in 2020, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orlando Tim Posted July 9, 2022 Share Posted July 9, 2022 On 6/30/2022 at 7:34 AM, Tiberius said: I am going to point out that the aggregate polls say these are stupid. even Dems know that Christ is toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted July 10, 2022 Share Posted July 10, 2022 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 13, 2022 Share Posted July 13, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiGoose Posted July 13, 2022 Share Posted July 13, 2022 On 7/10/2022 at 2:58 PM, Tiberius said: Fetterman is pretty relatable: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Blitz Posted July 17, 2022 Author Share Posted July 17, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Man Posted July 17, 2022 Share Posted July 17, 2022 1 hour ago, Big Blitz said: Joaquín Beltrán (Democrat) born: yesterday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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