SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 3, 2021 Author Share Posted December 3, 2021 33 minutes ago, Rubes said: You might say they're 5-4 considering they also lost to the Jags... true that 😆 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanC883 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 hours ago, cwater10 said: huh? not sure how this fits here. Funny guy though. Great comedian Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwater10 Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, RyanC883 said: huh? not sure how this fits here. Funny guy though. Great comedian Week 14? It’s actually week 13… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 hours ago, Boatdrinks said: The Bills aren’t all that close to missing the playoffs. They absolutely are. They are currently a Bills loss and a Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". The next two games could determine that. And the odds of going 0-2, 1-1 or 2-0 are all about 33% IMO. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boatdrinks Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 3 hours ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: They absolutely are. They are currently a Bills loss and a Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". The next two games could determine that. And the odds of going 0-2, 1-1 or 2-0 are all about 33% IMO. Five thirty eight ( for example) has Bills odds of making playoffs currently at 90%. Just a matter of perspective I guess. Your forecast seems a lot more pessimistic. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 4 hours ago, Boatdrinks said: Five thirty eight ( for example) has Bills odds of making playoffs currently at 90%. Just a matter of perspective I guess. Your forecast seems a lot more pessimistic. If you look at it one week at a time the Bills are literally two games this week from being on the outside looking in. If you look at it big picture their odds are greater because 538 would assume everything evens out and the Bills would at worst get a wild card spot when the dust settles. But when you are one loss and one win away from being in the hunt as opposed to being the 7th seed I would say that is close to missing the playoffs. Really it shows how tight the AFC is because I believe they are also a win and a couple losses this week away from being the #1 seed or maybe #2 with the Titans on a bye this week. Although if the Bills, Titans, Bengals, Ravens and Chiefs all ended the week at 8-4 I'm not sure how the tie breakers would work for the #1 seed. And yes that is a possibility. Crazy that the Bills could either be in a virtual tie for the 1 seed by Tuesday morning or sitting in the 8 spot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg S Posted December 3, 2021 Share Posted December 3, 2021 40 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: If you look at it one week at a time the Bills are literally two games this week from being on the outside looking in. If you look at it big picture their odds are greater because 538 would assume everything evens out and the Bills would at worst get a wild card spot when the dust settles. But when you are one loss and one win away from being in the hunt as opposed to being the 7th seed I would say that is close to missing the playoffs. Really it shows how tight the AFC is because I believe they are also a win and a couple losses this week away from being the #1 seed or maybe #2 with the Titans on a bye this week. Although if the Bills, Titans, Bengals, Ravens and Chiefs all ended the week at 8-4 I'm not sure how the tie breakers would work for the #1 seed. And yes that is a possibility. Crazy that the Bills could either be in a virtual tie for the 1 seed by Tuesday morning or sitting in the 8 spot. Sitting at 7-4 I would say 11-6 guarantees a playoff spot. Wins against the Panthers, Falcons, Jets are a must. They can't "Jacksonville" any of those games. Get at least one win vs NE(2) and Tampa. A win Monday goes a long way in putting the Bills in a great spot. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bills fan since 87 Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 15 hours ago, Greg S said: Sitting at 7-4 I would say 11-6 guarantees a playoff spot. Wins against the Panthers, Falcons, Jets are a must. They can't "Jacksonville" any of those games. Get at least one win vs NE(2) and Tampa. A win Monday goes a long way in putting the Bills in a great spot. Fortunately all 3 lay ups are at home, increasing the odds we win those. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSBill Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 Last week was a pretty good outcome all things considered. Let's hope for the same this week, capped off by a Bills win on Monday night. Here are my thoughts . . . Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3), Line: Ravens by 4 . . . I think the Steelers pull off the minor upset, Raven averaging 18 points in their last four games, and the Steelers can run and stopping the run game is a Raven D weakness. Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) over the Washington Football Team (5-6), Line: Raiders by 2.5 . . . Raiders at home, they win. Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5 . . . Colts Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3 [ 😂 ] . . . The mercurial Chargers pull it out Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) Line: Chiefs by 9.5 . . . In KC, the Chiefs take care of business. New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7), Line: Dolphins by 4.5 . . . Jones out, Giants done, the Fish win at home If I am on, not a lot of help for the Bills this week. The best thing they can do, not worry about the others and put a Can of Ash Whoop'en on the Pats and take control of the Division again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rockinon Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/2/2021 at 6:00 PM, Adam727 said: This is a weird week. I don't know that I agree with a lot of these. I guess it depends on if you're rooting based on what gives the Bills the best chance at the #1 seed or what gets the Bills get into the playoffs, because I think a lot of these outcomes would hurt the Bills' chances of making the playoffs more than help. Go big or go home. Now lets sweep the *Pats. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 1 hour ago, CSBill said: Last week was a pretty good outcome all things considered. Let's hope for the same this week, capped off by a Bills win on Monday night. Here are my thoughts . . . Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3), Line: Ravens by 4 . . . I think the Steelers pull off the minor upset, Raven averaging 18 points in their last four games, and the Steelers can run and stopping the run game is a Raven D weakness. Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) over the Washington Football Team (5-6), Line: Raiders by 2.5 . . . Raiders at home, they win. Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5 . . . Colts Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3 [ 😂 ] . . . The mercurial Chargers pull it out Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) Line: Chiefs by 9.5 . . . In KC, the Chiefs take care of business. New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7), Line: Dolphins by 4.5 . . . Jones out, Giants done, the Fish win at home If I am on, not a lot of help for the Bills this week. The best thing they can do, not worry about the others and put a Can of Ash Whoop'en on the Pats and take control of the Division again. If all this happens and the Bills do not win Monday I believe the Bills fall all the way down to the 8 spot. With the Raiders, Chargers and Bengals holding the three wild cards. Hardly a guarantee that the Raiders can beat WFT though. Vice versa the Bills could be in a four way tie for the #1 seed if the above happens and the Bills win Monday night. Wild how tight the standings are when you can win or lose one game and it could mean a virtual tie for the 1 seed or no playoffs seeding at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCofNC Posted December 4, 2021 Share Posted December 4, 2021 On 12/2/2021 at 7:51 PM, Boatdrinks said: The Bills aren’t all that close to missing the playoffs. Yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSBill Posted December 6, 2021 Share Posted December 6, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 10:54 AM, CSBill said: Last week was a pretty good outcome all things considered. Let's hope for the same this week, capped off by a Bills win on Monday night. Here are my thoughts . . . Pittsburgh Steelers (5-5-1) over Baltimore Ravens (8-3), Line: Ravens by 4 . . . I think the Steelers pull off the minor upset, Raven averaging 18 points in their last four games, and the Steelers can run and stopping the run game is a Raven D weakness. ..... YES! = Help towards top seed Las Vegas Raiders (6-5) over the Washington Football Team (5-6), Line: Raiders by 2.5 . . . Raiders at home, they win. ..... No! = But good news for the Bills. We'll take it Houston Texans (2-9) over Indianapolis Colts (6-6) Line: Colts by 9.5 . . . Colts ..... YES! = Colts inch closer Las Vegas Chargers (6-5) over Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) Line: Bengals by 3 [ 😂 ] . . . The mercurial Chargers pull it out ..... YES! = This is the best of results, both stay behind the Bills Denver Broncos (6-5) over Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) Line: Chiefs by 9.5 . . . In KC, the Chiefs take care of business. ..... YES! Chiefs hang around, Broncos about done. New York Giants over Miami Dolphins (5-7), Line: Dolphins by 4.5 . . . Jones out, Giants done, the Fish win at home ..... YES! = Fish inching back in to the play-off race If I am on, not a lot of help for the Bills this week. The best thing they can do, not worry about the others and put a Can of Ash Whoop'en on the Pats and take control of the Division again. Bottom line = A Win is a huge play-off boost and keeps us in the #1 seed battle, a loss is not good, but also not devastating--still #7, but lose a bunch of tie-breakers because if poor conference record. "Just Win Baby!" Most current play-off standings: New England 8-4 Tennessee 8-4 Baltimore 8-4 Kansas City 8-4 Buffalo 7-4 LA Chargers 7-5 Cincinnati 7-5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Talley56 Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 (edited) Rooting Interests in actual week 14: Bills over Bucs (duh) Vikings over Steelers 49ers over Bengals Lions over Broncos Giants over Chargers Ravens/Browns - hard to tell, both have games they could lose down the stretch. Raiders/Chiefs - another one hard to tell. Raiders kind of struggling but a win in KC could light a fire under them to make a run. Washington over Dallas - Not Bills related, would just be fun to watch. Edited December 9, 2021 by Talley56 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nextmanup Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 On 12/4/2021 at 12:10 AM, Bills fan since 87 said: Fortunately all 3 lay ups are at home, increasing the odds we win those. Why? There hasn't been a home field advantage in the league for several years now. We've also already lost 3 games at home! Don't get me wrong, I think we win the 3 "lay up" games easily. On 12/2/2021 at 11:38 PM, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: They absolutely are. They are currently a Bills loss and a Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". The next two games could determine that. And the odds of going 0-2, 1-1 or 2-0 are all about 33% IMO. The NY Times simulator says if we LOSE to Tampa and New England, but win the 3 easy games, we have a 89% chance of making the playoffs. How is that close to missing the playoffs? Are you assuming we are going to drop one (or more) of the 3 "easy" games? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, Nextmanup said: Why? There hasn't been a home field advantage in the league for several years now. We've also already lost 3 games at home! Don't get me wrong, I think we win the 3 "lay up" games easily. The NY Times simulator says if we LOSE to Tampa and New England, but win the 3 easy games, we have a 89% chance of making the playoffs. How is that close to missing the playoffs? Are you assuming we are going to drop one (or more) of the 3 "easy" games? I would assume the Bills lose 2 out of the next three they will officially be "in the hunt". Maybe not, but most likely. Yes, they can gain ground back by winning the final two (likely) and having a team or two lose a game or two in the final two weeks. But that is all projection. I'm only talking about what we actually know and that was that the Bills were a loss and Raiders win away from being "in the hunt". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 14 hours ago, Talley56 said: Rooting Interests in actual week 14: Bills over Bucs (duh) Vikings over Steelers 49ers over Bengals Lions over Broncos Giants over Chargers Ravens/Browns - hard to tell, both have games they could lose down the stretch. Raiders/Chiefs - another one hard to tell. Raiders kind of struggling but a win in KC could light a fire under them to make a run. Washington over Dallas - Not Bills related, would just be fun to watch. WSH over DAL would increase our strength of victory a little bit 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Talley56 Posted December 9, 2021 Share Posted December 9, 2021 1 hour ago, RiotAct said: WSH over DAL would increase our strength of victory a little bit Ahh, yes, didn't think about that. Good point. And a Dallas loss would hurt KC, Vegas, and Denver's strength of victory. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted December 10, 2021 Share Posted December 10, 2021 If i am not mistaken, with the Colts on a bye week, there is no way the Bills could lose this week and still hold a playoff seed going into week 15. Even best case scenario, if the Chargers and Bengals both lost the Bills would lose current tiebreakers to all 7-6 teams. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted December 10, 2021 Author Share Posted December 10, 2021 https://www.buffalorumblings.com/platform/amp/2021/12/9/22826704/afc-playoff-picture-bills-rooting-interests-for-week-14 Minnesota Vikings over Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5-1) New York Giants over Los Angeles Chargers (7-5) San Francisco 49ers over Cincinnati Bengals (7-5) Kansas City Chiefs (8-4) over Las Vegas Raiders (6-6) Baltimore Ravens (8-4) over Cleveland Browns (6-6) Detroit Lions over Denver Broncos (6-6) Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (8-4) 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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