Jump to content

#1 Seed In AFC, What It Probably Takes


corta765

Recommended Posts

Bills get to 13 -4 if they:

Go 1-1 vs Other AFC 1st place teams not from AFCS - KC and Pitt - need to beat KC now.

Go 5-1 in division - 1-0 so far.  Sweep Jest and Fins, split with Pats?

Go 3-1 vs NFCS  ATl, CAR, NO wins, lose to TB?

go 3-1 vs AFCS - Jags, Indy, HOU wins, Tenn loss?

Win extra game vs WFT this weekend, let's start there!!!  1-0 in 17th games!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, 78thealltimegreat said:

If the Bills bring their A game they win the Super Bowl

If the Bills bring their B game they go deep

into the playoffs 

If the Bills bring their C game they are fringe wildcard team

If they bring their D game they miss out on the playoffs by end of December 

Moral of the story…this season is about the talent the Bills have then it is breaks for the teams their competing against 

 

Moral of the story...a grade of A is much better than a grade of D.  Stating the obvious, for a friend.

  • Haha (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Bills will need a heckuva lotta help to have home field throughout.   Honestly don't think the roster is strong enough to get there.   Love Josh, but Mahomes is in another category.   Sweeping the Pats won't be easy in itself.   That will be a dogfight.  Go Bills.  Don't try to figure it out.   

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, corta765 said:

The AFC is pretty wild this year as all of the division winners from last year are 1-1, the Broncos and Raiders are 2-0 (wtf), and the only 0-2 teams are the Jags, Jets (no surprise), and Colts (partial surprise). Given the power the #1 seed has now in the playoff picture and the ability to get especially KC on the road and not home for any contender, this year is shaping up to be a dog fight for whoever does get the #1 seed.

 

So with that said if you look across the board at Bills opponents schedules, the Bills schedule itself, and just some basic guessing a few thinks shake out:

 

  • The Ravens win opened the AFC big time to the #1 seed. KC's division is improved and even if they win it they are going to lose a game if not two. With a AFC conference loss already in the books a Bills or Titans win could really hurt KC further in the battle for 1
  • The Ravens themselves are a threat for the top seed, but their division is a buzz saw and attrition will play a factor. 12-5 will probably take the division, but they need to hope KC can get there too
  • This is without a doubt KC's toughest schedule since Mahomes started and isn't super hard to get them to 12-5 as they have BUF, TEN, GB, DAL, PIT and their full gambit of division games. Going 7-4 in those games is nothing to slouch at and those are all quality opponents.
  • If KC does go 12-5 the whole tie breaking procedure will probably be wild
  • The Bills do not need to necessarily win both KC/TEN, but they have to beat one if they want to be in the dance for the #1 seed. Win both and your in the front seat.
  • The Bills schedule is heavy early on, but after the bye the only tough games are NOLA, TB, & NE. They really need to clean up wins quick against their lesser opponents and if they do they will have a good look.
  • The loss to PIT hurts more in the sense that 13-4 which probably takes the cake only allows 3 more losses. They have KC/TEN/NOLA/TB all on the road and somehow have to go 2-2 minimum so they can afford one loss somewhere else.
  • The Titans may be the biggest threat to the Bills as they have BUF, KC, SF, & LAR but otherwise a probably soft schedule especially considering the Jags & Texans being weak and the Colts current implosion. Truthfully beating the Titans might be more important then KC just given the fact they have a similar amount of soft opponents as Buffalo
  • Cleveland's schedule is no joke like Baltimore and they also need to hope that 12-5 is the mark to get the top seed. Between the division and the quality of opponents they have its tough sledding
  • I do not think the Raiders are a contender (they are a playoff team though), but they already are 2-0 with two big AFC wins including a tiebreaker with Baltimore. If they can go 4-2 division wise they could be a sneaky contender to get to 13 wins as they play the NFC East which is a dog plus weaker looking teams like IND, CHI, &  Cincy. Who knows with Gruden they have started hot before, but Carr does look good and the longer they keep winning the bigger a threat they become.

 

Overall for the AFC I think if someone gets to 13 wins it will take the #1 seed. The level of competition is vastly higher in the AFC already and personally I think it would be really fun if 12 wins took the #1 seed and the chaos of the tiebreakers.

Hey Corta! Thanks for bringing this topic up and breaking it down.

 

I really do feel that the Bills have a shot at getting the number one seed even with the Pittsburgh loss. One of the main reasons for that is because KC does have such a tougher schedule this year along with playing their division. The Chargers played them really well last year and I believe they lost to the Raiders last year who are sticking around this year as well.

 

Let’s hope that somehow buffalo can get to 13-4 and that they can avenge the week one loss to Pittsburgh so that it doesn’t come back to bite them in the end.

 

Go Bills!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just win the division.  Go 6-0 in the division.  We'll get 1, probably 2 home games and I can live with this ridiculous playoff setup that rewards only the 1 seed.  

 

Updated:

 

Division winners:

 

Buffalo

Cleveland 

Tennessee 

KC

 

WC:  Chargers, Baltimore, Raiders 

 

Just missing:  Denver, Pittsburgh, Colts 

 

 

If our D is playing like this in January bring on anybody anywhere.   

  • Like (+1) 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, SCBills said:


I know it’s difficult to sweep the division, but there’s really no reason we shouldn’t.  
 

We just saw what we did to Miami, and the Offense isn’t even remotely clicking. 
 

The Jets are a dumpster fire.  
 

The Pats could give us a game, but comparing our 1-1 start to their 1-1 start  - the two teams really aren’t close in terms of talent. 

I still cannot believe Flores finally cooked up a decent defensive game plan and still got absolutely blown out against us...so weird to not see them blitzing and playing man all game lol 

11 hours ago, corta765 said:

The AFC is pretty wild this year as all of the division winners from last year are 1-1, the Broncos and Raiders are 2-0 (wtf), and the only 0-2 teams are the Jags, Jets (no surprise), and Colts (partial surprise). Given the power the #1 seed has now in the playoff picture and the ability to get especially KC on the road and not home for any contender, this year is shaping up to be a dog fight for whoever does get the #1 seed.

 

So with that said if you look across the board at Bills opponents schedules, the Bills schedule itself, and just some basic guessing a few thinks shake out:

 

  • The Ravens win opened the AFC big time to the #1 seed. KC's division is improved and even if they win it they are going to lose a game if not two. With a AFC conference loss already in the books a Bills or Titans win could really hurt KC further in the battle for 1
  • The Ravens themselves are a threat for the top seed, but their division is a buzz saw and attrition will play a factor. 12-5 will probably take the division, but they need to hope KC can get there too
  • This is without a doubt KC's toughest schedule since Mahomes started and isn't super hard to get them to 12-5 as they have BUF, TEN, GB, DAL, PIT and their full gambit of division games. Going 7-4 in those games is nothing to slouch at and those are all quality opponents.
  • If KC does go 12-5 the whole tie breaking procedure will probably be wild
  • The Bills do not need to necessarily win both KC/TEN, but they have to beat one if they want to be in the dance for the #1 seed. Win both and your in the front seat.
  • The Bills schedule is heavy early on, but after the bye the only tough games are NOLA, TB, & NE. They really need to clean up wins quick against their lesser opponents and if they do they will have a good look.
  • The loss to PIT hurts more in the sense that 13-4 which probably takes the cake only allows 3 more losses. They have KC/TEN/NOLA/TB all on the road and somehow have to go 2-2 minimum so they can afford one loss somewhere else.
  • The Titans may be the biggest threat to the Bills as they have BUF, KC, SF, & LAR but otherwise a probably soft schedule especially considering the Jags & Texans being weak and the Colts current implosion. Truthfully beating the Titans might be more important then KC just given the fact they have a similar amount of soft opponents as Buffalo
  • Cleveland's schedule is no joke like Baltimore and they also need to hope that 12-5 is the mark to get the top seed. Between the division and the quality of opponents they have its tough sledding
  • I do not think the Raiders are a contender (they are a playoff team though), but they already are 2-0 with two big AFC wins including a tiebreaker with Baltimore. If they can go 4-2 division wise they could be a sneaky contender to get to 13 wins as they play the NFC East which is a dog plus weaker looking teams like IND, CHI, &  Cincy. Who knows with Gruden they have started hot before, but Carr does look good and the longer they keep winning the bigger a threat they become.

 

Overall for the AFC I think if someone gets to 13 wins it will take the #1 seed. The level of competition is vastly higher in the AFC already and personally I think it would be really fun if 12 wins took the #1 seed and the chaos of the tiebreakers.

Get to 4-1 with a win over kc then we'll talk lol AFC west and North are getting very competitive though so for the second time in a long time looks like we are the ones in an unfairly easy division 🤣 nothing against NE though they will still be a tough out 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...