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Zerovoltz 3rd and FINAL Mock Draft 2 rounds


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Final Mock of the year....as we've drawn close to the actual draft.....it seems like some things are clear..but mostly, they aren't.  Explanations with each pick.  I'm sure I'll be utter crucified for this....as I am buying all in on the rumors that the Bills want to move up for Ettienne.

 

1.  Jax  QB  Trevor Lawrence.

It's a forgone conclusion.

 

2.  NYJ  QB  Zack Wilson.

Another nearly forgone conclusion..but what fun it would be if they did something else now.

 

3.  49ers.  QB  Trey Lance.  

This is where the first bit of uncertainty is......alot of pundits, mocks etc have Mac Jones here....I had originally thought so too...but based on the idea that SF wants something more dynamic and the potential to be a game changer....I have concluded that this must be Lance.  Lance going here shuts down some trade ups that might have happened for him....Now....watch them take Feilds.

 

4.  Falcons.  WR  JaMarr Chase 

I very much had intended to put Pitts here....but Chase is a very very highly regarded WR, a position considered more valuable than TE.  I might still be inclined to go with Pitts here, but the Falcons did spend a big chunk on Hayden Hurst last offseason.  IF Lance was avaialble here, I do think the Falcons would entertain trades, but I do not think anyone is coming up to 4 to get Mac Jones or Fields.

 

5.  Bengals.  TE Kyle Pitts

If Chase were on the board here....he would be the pick....but instead the Bengals add a dimension to their O they don't have...a dynamic TE.  Many will call this OT Penei Sewell...I believe the Bengals can get a quality OT at the top of R2...but there is no TE like Pitts in this draft.

 

6.  Dolphins.  WR  Jaylen Waddle

Tua Tagaviloa ranked 31st in Intermediate throws.  He is not a good downfield passer.  Short passing is his game...and if the Dolphins are rolling with Tua...then this is the best help they can get him...a guy that takes short stuff a long way.

 

7.  Lions  QB  Mac Jones

I beleive the Lions have had some time to think about just where they are in this draft and that tommorrow is never promised to anyone.....they are sitting on a spot with 2 Qb available to them..and when a regime is new and in the honeymoon phase..then that is the time to get a QB.  I am not buying that even thought the GM is the guy who drafted Goff, that they think he's it.  Goff is mediocre and EXPENSIVE.  Jones seems like the kind of QB that will execute a knee cap biting attack.

 

8.  Carolina.  OT Penei Sewell

Carolina would be looking to trade out of this, but with only Justin Feilds left on the board, the trade market to get to 8 isn't very robust.  Carolina opts to get Sam Darnold the best LT they can here.

 

9.  Denver.  LB  Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah

Denver is rumored to "like" Lance, but not love him enough to trade up if he fell to 4 or later.  It's moot here.  Denver would also prefer a trade out at this point, but with only Fields still on the board, and a trade all the way back to 19 or 20, the Broncos would miss on their man most likely.  Many have Parsons here.  I belive Denver does like Parsons, but consider his characther AND his inexperience in coverage as liabilities....so they get JOK here, if a little high...he's their guy.

 

10.  Cowboys.  CB  Patrick Surtain

MAYBE they go with Horn here....but Surtain is my guess.....the Cowboys have a huge need at CB AND this is pretty much BPA....

 

11.  Giants.  WR.  DeVona Smith

Dave Gettleman will never admit he screwed up by taking Daniel Jones...and he's going to give Jones every bit of help he can to prove he was right....Smith represents HELP in a substantial way.

 

12.  Eagles.  CB  Jaycee Horn

The Eagles aren't considering a QB, and the calls for Fields aren't that hot.  The Eagles fill a need here.

 

13.  Chargers  OT  Christian Darrisaw

They pass over Rashawn Slater to take Darrisaw, who I see as more of a sure thing at LT than Slater.  The Chargers mission 1 in this draft is to get linemen for Herbert.

 

14.  Vikings OT Rashawn Slater

The Vikings can't believe Slater falls all the way to 14.  He's a perfect fit for hte Vikings as htey have needs at G and T....so Slater will fit and start somewhere.

 

15.  Patriots.  LB  Micah Parsons

Despite rumors and smokescreens, the PATS are NOT in on a QB.  Belichick is too old to be developing a new guy...they just spend a ton of money to build a two TE run heavy Option type attack around CAM NEWTON.  They aren't changing that up here.  Instead Bill gets the super talented LB that he'll find a way to use to wreak havoc.

 

16.  ****TRADE*****  Bears ultimately outbid the WFT and move up to select QB, Justin Fields.  

The Bears FO and coaching staff has somehow been given a mulligan on Trubisky and this is their attempt to redeem themselves.  The WFT, a bit sour from the Dwayne Haskins pick....has a sour taste in their mouth for OSU QB's with big numbers and rumors of work ethic issues.

 

17.  Raiders  EDGE Azeez Ojulari

The Raiders a hot mess and could go a number of directions here....being one of the worst pass rush teams in the NFL for years...and having just now cut a couple failed picks from the recent past...they opt for Ojulari here and hope he can make an instant impact.

 

18.  Phins  RB  Najee Harris

More short range weaponry for the Dolphins bee bee gun attack......and from Alabama.  The Dolphins are turning into Tide East.

 

19.  ****TRADE*****  The BILLS TRADE UP here to get out in front of the Jets, the Steelers and the Jags to take RB, Travis Ettienne  Buffalo sends their 1 and 3 to WFT.

In my first Mock...I had the Bills trading out of round 1 and picking a RB...that wasn't popular....so I can't imagine this is going to go over well...but my logic in that draft is the same here...the Bills understand that to beat KC, you are more likely to win that game by outscoring them in an offensive football game, than trying to beat them by hold their score down.  The Bills want a dynamic player at RB....Ettienne is that player.  The metrics DO NOT like 1st round RB's and trading up in round 1 for one....well that's kind of frowned upon....but lets not forget that Beane and McD also flaunted the metrics when they drafted Josh Allen.  Let's also remember this draft is a little different....teams didn't have much of a combine...or a season of tape to look at....and a big thing they also don't ahve are MEDICALS...there are alot of guys floating out there with medical questions that just aren't answered because no one can get a physical look at these guy with med staff.  If you are going to expend some resources to go up and get someone you love...this is the draft to do that.  I can't wait to get completely FLAMED....burnt to a crisp for this.  

 

20.  Cards  CB  Greg Newsome II

If you look at the current players on the Cardinals roster in their secondary....they are priced into this pick.

 

21.  Indy  EDGE Kwity Paye

Indy needs to replace Justin Houston and his 10 sacks....

 

22.  Titans  WR  Kadarious Toney

A lot of mocks etc have Rashad Bateman here...I don't see it.  Toney is the guy with the juice.....Titans opt for the gamebraker here.

 

23.  Jets.  OL  Elijah Vera-Tucker

No Ettienne on the board here..the Jets instead opt for another O lineman who could start at OG or RT.

 

24.  Steelers CB Caleb Farley

The Steeler has some big holes to fill on their O line with the retirment of their C....and needs at OT as well...but they traditionally don't spend high picks on O linemen and instead opt to replace the departing Steven Nelson with Farley..who would be a top 10 player if not for Medicals.  The Steelers willing to roll the dice here.

 

25.  Jags.  OT Samuel Cosmi.  

The Jags franchised Cam Robinson....wich gets them by this year...but they can let him walk next season by taking Cosmi as his replacement here.  In the mean time, Cosmi can play RT.

 

26.  Browns EDGE  Gregory Rousseau

The Browns have alot of peices already put together on their roster, but one spot they need is edge.  They did sign Clowney to a 1 year deal, but that is a stop gap....

 

27.  Ravens EDGE  Jason Oweh

The Raven are not having one of the better off seasons....They roll the dice on a workout warrior guy that didn't actually produce. They hope that changes and he does a good Matt Judon impersonation.

 

28.  Saints  WR  Terrace Marshall

Many have the Saints going corner here...but I have them going with weaponry....I beleive they are high on Marshall and feel they can address the CB spot later.

 

29.  Packers  DT Christian Barmore

This does fill a minor need...but mostly the Packers go with Barmore here because he is by far the BPA on their board at 29.

 

30.  ****TRADE****  WFT move back from 19 and take OT Tevon Jenkins 

All the top OT prospects the WFT would have preffered were gone at 19...so they trade back and pick up Jenkins who they hope will eventually be a LT, but for now can play OG or RT.

 

31.  Ravens  OC  Creed Humphry

The Ravens again, plug a big hole here with Humphry....

 

32.  Buccs  EDGE Jaelin Phillips

You can't have too many pass rushers.  Phillips falls in this draft due to injury and especially CONCUSSION concerns.  Buccs have the luxury of rolling dice on him.

 

-------------------------------ROUND 2--------------------------------------------

 

33.  Jags  S  Trevon Moehrig

Jags opt for best S in this class here, helps fill in for needed secondary depth.

 

34.  Jets  EDGE Joseph Ossai

Easy to fill holes when your roster is full of them....this is another shot at fixing another muhc needed upgrade at pass rusher.

 

35.  Falcons LB Jamin Davis

The Falcons aren't in a complete rebuild, but they do need lots of cheap talent to offset their bad cap situaiton.  Davis is BPA.

 

36.  Phins  LB Zaven Collins

First 2 picks spent on offense...now Miami adds a defender to replace Van Noy

 

37.  Eagles  CB Eric Stokes

Eagles with back to back CB's....revamping poor secondary.  will wait until later to address WR

 

38.  Bengals  OT Alex Leatherwood

Cincy opted for TE pitts to open up.....and paitence pays off when they get OT they need here at 38.

 

39.  Panthers.  WR Rashad Bateman

Panthers are thrilled to get Bateman here...BPA on their board and fills a big need.

 

40.  Broncos RB Javonte Williams

The Broncos have Gordon, who is getting up in years and at the end of his contract, AT RB..they need a replacment that can do it all in Shurmurs offense...or any offense....

 

41.  Lions  OG Wyatt Davis

Injured late in the college season, but the kind of guy who can eat kneecaps

 

42.  Giants  EDGE Ronnie Perkins

Gettleman spent his 1st choice on a WR for Danny Dimes....he can't hardly wait to make this pick on the D line where he thinks the game is won....he goes for Perkins whose films is really good....but ahs problems VS run game at times and there are some character red flags.

 

43.  49ers  TE Pat Friermuth

Wait what?  They have Kittle....and now they have Kittle insurance, plus Shannahan can do alot with an H back, 2nd TE in his offense.

 

44.  Cowboys  S Richie Grant

The Cowboys secondary was awful....this is a major upgrade.

 

45.  Jags  CB Asante Samuel

Never can have too many good DB.

 

46.  New England  OG Trey Smith

A possible replacement for Joe Thuney here.

 

47.  Chargers  OT Dillon Radunz

Played LT at NDSU....but the Chargers will have him on the right side.  Chargers continue with mission to build a nice wall in front of Herbert.

 

48.  Raiders  OC  Landon Dickerson

Hot Mess Radiers, having traded away their all pro center because he wanted out of the mess...need to find a new Center...and they get him here.

 

49.  Cardinals  LB  Jabrill Cox

Replacement for the departure of Reddick.  Cards are an up and coming team, but still many holes to fill.

 

50.  Phins CB Ifeatu Melifonwu

Miami just adding more young, cheap talent here.  BPA on their board at this point.

 

51.  WFT  WR Elijah Moore

WFT missed out on the QB's but still adding some high speed weaponry for Fitz and whoever the QB is next year.

 

52.  Bears OT Liam Eichenberg

Bears got their QB....now they try and fix multi hole O line

 

53.  Titans  EDGE Carlos Basham Jr.

Titans had one of the most pathetic pass rushing defenses in the leauge....they give the instinctive high motor Basham a chance to help.

 

54.  Colts  IDL  Levi Onwuzurike

More trench help for the Colts  this is a BPA pick

 

55.  Steelers IOL  Quinn Meinerz

Steelers rolled the dice on CB while watiing to get Oline help...Meinerz is probalby day 1 OC for them.

 

56.  Seahawks  CB Kelvin Joseph

Seattle needs help in the secondary and don't have much draft capital...they are thrilled to get Joseph here...BPA on their board.

 

57.  Rams  LB Baron Browning

Another team with not alot of draft capital....use this BPA pick to shore up a weak spot on the roster.

 

58.  CHIEFS  EDGE Joe Tryon

Edge rusher with only one season of good production. opted out for Covid....a bit small...but explosive player.  KC roster is EDGE deficient...a need pick here.

 

59.  Browns  WR Rondale Moore

Do it all WR that can also return kicks...brings some explosiveness to Browns passing and gadget game.

 

60.  Saints CB Elijah Molden

Saints just filling holes with BPA as best they can due to resetting cap this year

 

61. BILLS  DT Jay Tufele

I don't think this will be a very popular pick with Tyson Campbell still on the board here..(who I have seen is a popular pick among Bills fans)  My reasoning here...you have Star...who is passed his prime, coming back this year.  I suspect he's close to finished...and you have Oliver...who hasn't lived up to his billing thus far.  Tufele covers one or both of these guys being roster liablilities in the near term.  It's a shallow DT draft and this is one of the better ones availble....this draft has a ton of mid round level CB...including Campbell who may last another round here.

 

62.  Packers  WR Dyami Brown

Packers finally get a guy with some downfield playmaking ability for Aaron Rodgers.....breaking KC's heart.

 

63.  CHIEFS  LB  Nick Bolton

KC will run into a situation next off season where they will be parting ways with Anthon Hitchens at LB.  His replaement isn't on the roster and KC will be spending big money on extensions for Honey Badger and Orlando Brown...that means that MLB has to be cheap labor guy....and Bolton is it.

 

64.  BUCCS  QB Kyle Trask

Tom Brady really is going to have to retire someday....The Buccs opt for Trask here to see if they get a diamond in the rough who was a prolific passer at Florida.

 

 

Edited by Zerovoltz
Edited Buffalo and Washington trade to show a "1 and 3" traded, not "1 and 4"
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2 minutes ago, The Governor said:

I’ll throw myself in front of a train if we take ETN with Phillips still on the board. 
 

Didn’t we try to get JJ Watt? Isn’t Phillips a similar type player?

Lol. Why do people get this dramatic before the draft. Don't you think if the Bills thought they could get a JJ Watt type player in the draft that they would? 

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7 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

Lol. Why do people get this dramatic before the draft. Don't you think if the Bills thought they could get a JJ Watt type player in the draft that they would? 

In this mock they don’t!!! LMAO. I do like the Bengals taking Pitts tho. 

Edited by The Governor
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Common theme of all the  Zerovoltz drafts this year..

 

"I dont imagine this will be too popular with the Bills fans..."


Trolling, trolling, trolling..

 

Id be happy to stay and take Jenkins at 30...

 

Edited by Aussie Joe
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30 minutes ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

You're calling him a JJ Watt type. The Bills won't pass on anyone they feel is a JJ Watt like prospect. 

I guess I was assuming that any trade up for ETN would mean 7 out of 10 guys on our board were already gone and he was #8. Now I’m getting really nervous. There’s no way he could be that high on their board right? Lol.

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6 minutes ago, The Governor said:

I guess I was assuming that any trade up for ETN would mean 7 out of 10 guys on our board were already gone and he was #8. Now I’m getting really nervous. There’s no way he could be that high on their board right? Lol.

There have been rumors about the Bills wanting top RB'S it seems the last few drafts but they've yet to make a splash. Maybe this is the team they feel is ready for it. But so far they've been reluctant to trade up for a RB or pull the trigger on a RB in the 1st or 2nd round. 

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Appreciate this Zerovoltz, well done. I agree that the Bills will make a trade, although backwards, and not for Etienne at all.

 

Are you a WFT fan, btw? WFT BTW? They seem to make out pretty well in this draft

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Two things I guarantee won't happen.  Lions taking Mac Jones.  Bills trading up for a running back.  Other than that, every other pick is plausible.  Bears would be more likely to trade with Chargers at 13 to jump Pats if Fields is somehow still there.

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7 minutes ago, Doc Brown said:

Two things I guarantee won't happen.  Lions taking Mac Jones.  Bills trading up for a running back.  Other than that, every other pick is plausible.  Bears would be more likely to trade with Chargers at 13 to jump Pats if Fields is somehow still there.

Doc, not sure if saw the first MOCK I posted in Gunners thread...but in that one I did have the Bills trading BACK to 40 and taking a RB (Not Ettienne) ....that didn't go over that well.

 

It would be unusual in these analyitcal times, for a team to move up, in round 1 for a RB...but as I said....this is a weird type draft...and in my opinion...the Bills would benefit alot IF they had a star RB.  I don't know if Etienne is that guy....but if you believe he is...then I can understand it THIS YEAR.  

 

If I were a Bills fan..I'd like the scenario I presented originally much better....

 

Something else to think about here.....The Panthers did spend a HIGH draft choice on McCaffrey...I don't think it's beyond their process to rule out a RB high if you think he's special.

1 minute ago, The Governor said:

So the Giants really need a RT. You have them taking one in the 3rd or later? 
 

Every mock I’ve seen has them taking a WR in the first. It seems pretty split between the fans. 

 

I think Gettleman badly wants to prove he was right about Daniel Jones.  I think he will take a top WR to help his QB look better.  I do beleive Gettleman is a "trenches" kind of guy, but he also drafted Saquon.  It's deep draft and you certainly get a guy to play RT for sure, deep into this draft.

27 minutes ago, Nelius said:

Appreciate this Zerovoltz, well done. I agree that the Bills will make a trade, although backwards, and not for Etienne at all.

 

Are you a WFT fan, btw? WFT BTW? They seem to make out pretty well in this draft

...lol...I am a Chiefs fan....I don't like how I have the Broncos doing in this thing either.

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11 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said:

Doc, not sure if saw the first MOCK I posted in Gunners thread...but in that one I did have the Bills trading BACK to 40 and taking a RB (Not Ettienne) ....that didn't go over that well.

 

It would be unusual in these analyitcal times, for a team to move up, in round 1 for a RB...but as I said....this is a weird type draft...and in my opinion...the Bills would benefit alot IF they had a star RB.  I don't know if Etienne is that guy....but if you believe he is...then I can understand it THIS YEAR.  

 

If I were a Bills fan..I'd like the scenario I presented originally much better....

 

Something else to think about here.....The Panthers did spend a HIGH draft choice on McCaffrey...I don't think it's beyond their process to rule out a RB high if you think he's special.

McCaffrey was more of a dual threat prospect compared to Etienne.  Plus, the Panthers haven't won jack with him and just gave him that big money second contract and may already be regretting it. 

 

I get the thinking that Beane might feel more inclined to give away picks this draft given the impact Covid's had on scouting but he's about the last GM that would waste precious draft capital to jump up for a RB (a significantly devalued position) in the first round.  He needs to hit on players in round 2 and 3 this year with all these big contracts he's already dished out (Milano, Williams, Dawkins, White) and is going to have to dish in the next couple of years (Allen, Edmunds (maybe), Diggs).  We're too thin at CB, DE, and DT to do something crazy like trading up for a RB.

39 minutes ago, Zerovoltz said:

...lol...I am a Chiefs fan....I don't like how I have the Broncos doing in this thing either.

Oh, that's why Tryon dropped to the end of the 2nd :) 

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So most fans here prefer some combination of DE, CB and WR in first three rounds and Chiefs fans comes here to mock us RB after trade up and DT, who is projected to be on board when Bills pick in 3rd round. Yeah makes total sense.

 

3 hours ago, Zerovoltz said:

61. BILLS  DT Jay Tufele

I don't think this will be a very popular pick with Tyson Campbell still on the board here..(who I have seen is a popular pick among Bills fans)  My reasoning here...you have Star...who is passed his prime, coming back this year.  I suspect he's close to finished...and you have Oliver...who hasn't lived up to his billing thus far.  Tufele covers one or both of these guys being roster liablilities in the near term.  It's a shallow DT draft and this is one of the better ones availble....this draft has a ton of mid round level CB...including Campbell who may last another round here.

 

That is amazing news unfortunately you just traded our 3rd round pick, so not sure how is that relevant.

Edited by No_Matter_What
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1 minute ago, No_Matter_What said:

So most fans here prefer some combination of DE, CB and WR in first three rounds and Chiefs fans comes here to mock us RB after trade up and DT, who is projeceted to be on board when Bills pick in 3rd round. Yeah makes total sense.

 

 

That is amazing news unfortunately you just traded our 3rd round pick, so not sure how is that relevant.

Hmmmm.....good thing I only did a 2 round mock.  

 

....that said...I'm not nearly has high on Campbell as many here are...I think he's just another guy that fits in with a big grouping of CB that are mocked all over the palce from rounds 2 to 5.  There are some gems to be found much later.  .....agian, I wouldn't make the move up for the RB....i'm rolling with the rumor of the day...(I think it makes some sense if they like Etienne that much....and since this draft is a huge crapshoot due to Covid...later picks aren't that valuable this year...or as valuable as usual)

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Honestly Zero, it’s just a mock and btw, you have way too much time on you’re hands to put this much into a thread 😇🏈, but in you’re first round trade, it’s not likely.  You didn’t give enough ammo to get to 19.  19th is worth 875 pts. In most charts.  Our 1st and 3rd only equals (620+128) 748 pts.  That only gets you to between 23rd and 24th so the Jets or Steelers.  I can see the Steelers willing to make the trade as they need linemen badly, but the Jets would tell us to pound salt and take Ettiene anyway.

 

I don’t see it.  Washington may need more picks, but they would demand both 5’s along with the 3rd to get that high.  That would still only place us around 794 pts.  That charts aren’t set in stone, but they are a good guide for around where teams will accept trades and do they really need more picks.

 

Whats more likely is we stay at 30, and when it is more palatable to move up we may move up some slots in the 2nd or 3rd rounds, or both.

 

I appreciate you’re efforts though.  Not bad for a Chiefs fan.  😷

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2 minutes ago, machine gun kelly said:

Honestly Zero, it’s just a mock and btw, you have way too much time on you’re hands to put this much into a thread 😇🏈, but in you’re first round trade, it’s not likely.  You didn’t give enough ammo to get to 19.  19th is worth 875 pts. In most charts.  Our 1st and 3rd only equals (620+128) 748 pts.  That only gets you to between 23rd and 24th so the Jets or Steelers.  I can see the Steelers willing to make the trade as they need linemen badly, but the Jets would tell us to pound salt and take Ettiene anyway.

 

I don’t see it.  Washington may need more picks, but they would demand both 5’s along with the 3rd to get that high.  That would still only place us around 794 pts.  That charts aren’t set in stone, but they are a good guide for around where teams will accept trades and do they really need more picks.

 

Whats more likely is we stay at 30, and when it is more palatable to move up we may move up some slots in the 2nd or 3rd rounds, or both.

 

I appreciate you’re efforts though.  Not bad for a Chiefs fan.  😷

Truly...I am in the camp that believe 1st round RB is too high, and trading up for anything that isn't a QB is problaby a bad idea.  Not, the whole Mock...wich is almost entirely my own analysis and thought....but in the Bills trade IS a product of the trade up rumors from today...I wanted to Mock it and see what it might look like.  I do realize that 1 and 3 to go from 30 to 19 is bit on the cheap side...but I don't think later round pick in ***This*** draft are worth quite as much since it's covid mania.  I could be totally wrong.  as you say...it's just a mock.  If I were running the Bills myself...I'd try and trade out of 30 and pick up a RB with the extra pick(s)  I am not sold that Ettienne is an elite/special type back...though I do like him....just not as much as this mock would indicate.  

 

I would only add that given the difficulty evaluating players this year....including getting good medical information on them...Etienne is more of sure thing than most.  You'd be paying for a bit of certainty by trading up for him...and you keep him off the Jets.  I'd not be entirely shocked if it happend....normallly, I'd be VERY shocked anyone would make such a trade.  It will be a wild year...I am sure this Mock will be blown to bits by pick 3.

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