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Interesting find from the off-season: Kollman on SF Run Game


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Their run numbers are NOT good this year by advanced metrics...in fact the Bills have been better than they have across the board, they just do it more...

 

They average under 8 yards per game more in rushing yards than the Bills do with only slightly more than 112 yards a game.

 

In Adjusted Line Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.44(Bills 23rd at 3.92)

In RB Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.51(Bills are surprisingly 2nd at 4.68 only to TB's 4.86)

In Power Success Rate, the 49ers are 14th at 67%(Bills are 10th at 71%---much better than 30th last year)

In Open Field Yards(Yards the RB gets past 10 yards divided by # of RB carries), the 49ers are 26th at 0.57(Bills are 2nd at 1.18 only to TB 1.40)

In 2nd Level Yards(Yards the RB gets between 5-10 yards divided b y # of RB Carries), the 49ers are 22nd at 1.05(Bills are 2nd at 1.28 only to ATL 1.33)

In Stuff Rate, the 49ers are 31st at 25.7% and only percentage points better than CLE who is dead last with the same percentage(Bills 17th at 21.0%)

 

So basically, their RBs have not been very good breaking long runs in general and they get stuffed more than 1 out of every 4 carries in the backfield. Their offensive line also basically has not been good at run blocking and opening holes apparently either.

 

Schemes can only make up for lack of talent on the OLine so much....

Edited by matter2003
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20 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

This popped up whilst I was watching Kollman’s Film Room “What Wentz Wrong?” piece on Carson Wentz

 

Kyle Shanahan’s run schemes are a matchup nightmare

 

The cast has changed somewhat but still good stuff here on how Shanahan approaches the run game

Lets hope Frasier and company are onto these schemes.

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38 minutes ago, matter2003 said:

So basically, their RBs have not been very good breaking long runs in general and they get stuffed more than 1 out of every 4 carries in the backfield. Their offensive line also basically has not been good at run blocking and opening holes apparently either.

Mostert being back may change this

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7 hours ago, matter2003 said:

Their run numbers are NOT good this year by advanced metrics...in fact the Bills have been better than they have across the board, they just do it more...

 

They average under 8 yards per game more in rushing yards than the Bills do with only slightly more than 112 yards a game.

 

In Adjusted Line Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.44(Bills 23rd at 3.92)

In RB Yards, the 49ers rank dead last at 3.51(Bills are surprisingly 2nd at 4.68 only to TB's 4.86)

In Power Success Rate, the 49ers are 14th at 67%(Bills are 10th at 71%---much better than 30th last year)

In Open Field Yards(Yards the RB gets past 10 yards divided by # of RB carries), the 49ers are 26th at 0.57(Bills are 2nd at 1.18 only to TB 1.40)

In 2nd Level Yards(Yards the RB gets between 5-10 yards divided b y # of RB Carries), the 49ers are 22nd at 1.05(Bills are 2nd at 1.28 only to ATL 1.33)

In Stuff Rate, the 49ers are 31st at 25.7% and only percentage points better than CLE who is dead last with the same percentage(Bills 17th at 21.0%)

 

So basically, their RBs have not been very good breaking long runs in general and they get stuffed more than 1 out of every 4 carries in the backfield. Their offensive line also basically has not been good at run blocking and opening holes apparently either.

 

Schemes can only make up for lack of talent on the OLine so much....


If they can’t get the run game going or are inconsistent getting positive yards they are going to struggle against us. 3 and long could lead to a huge turnover game for us. 

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