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538 showing the Bills some love


CodeMonkey

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14 minutes ago, NoHuddleKelly12 said:

"...a QB carousel that swung between veteran fan favorite Doug Flutie and the younger Rob Johnson."--clearly the author isn't well versed in the dark arts of TBD discussion boards however. :w00t: 

 

 

Thank God we are not still talking about that because the season and division are already lost to the cheats*.

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They're giving us a 46% chance of winning this week - better odds than in some other corners.

 

But their historic ELO rankings don't do Buffalo justice, IMHO.    Buffalo attained its highest ELO of 1705 rating in 1991.  Even the undefeated Buffalo All-Americans and the AFL championship Bills never surpassed an ELO of 1700.  

 

Most NFL teams have a year (or several) where their ELO ranking was higher than the Bill all-time high of 1705.  What the Bills attained under Levy, Kelly, Smith & Company wasn't particularly special according to 538.  A good team - maybe a very good team - but not a great one.

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/complete-history-of-the-nfl/

Edited by hondo in seattle
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3 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

 

They're giving us a 46% chance of winning this week - better odds than in some other corners.

 

But their historic ELO rankings don't do Buffalo justice, IMHO.    Buffalo attained its highest ELO of 1705 rating in 1991.  Even the undefeated Buffalo All-Americans and the AFL championship Bills never surpassed an ELO of 1700.  

 

Most NFL teams have a year (or several) where their ELO ranking was higher than the Bill all-time high of 1705.  What the Bills attained under Levy, Kelly, Smith & Company wasn't particularly special according to 538.  A good team - maybe a very good team - but not a great one.

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/complete-history-of-the-nfl/

and here I thought ELO ratings were only for chess.

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