1ManRaid Posted October 5, 2020 Share Posted October 5, 2020 6 hours ago, 1ManRaid said: I decided to do a big ol stupid bet at the last minute. Up here you have to pick a team to win by at least 4 or 8, or a "tie" which is a game decided by 3 or less. Chargers tie Buccs Browns tie Cowboys Bills beat Raiders by 8 Eagles tie 49ers Packers beat Falcons by 8 $5 bet pays $950. Chargers were in a position to tie it up at the end of the game then rookie QB threw a rookie INT. Cowboys had first and goal to get back within 3 points when an INT ended that for me too. Bass missing the extra point cost me winning by 8. Shows my picks were good, but just wasn't meant to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwchze Posted October 5, 2020 Author Share Posted October 5, 2020 Tonight., chiefs/packers tease packers cover. Rodgers is even more pissed he is Sharing spotlight tonight. another tidbit: make money again betting against Romeo Crowell.. can’t wait good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 4 minutes ago, cwchze said: Tonight., chiefs/packers tease packers cover. Rodgers is even more pissed he is Sharing spotlight tonight. another tidbit: make money again betting against Romeo Crowell.. can’t wait good luck I did a tease with GB+4 ... GB ov 47 &.. KC -2 $350win $420 lose .. let's start the week right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACTOBILLSFAN Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 (edited) This week was another good one, so I'm just waiting for that hammer to come down. JAX +3 Loss BUF LV o53 - Push, thanks a pant load Bass CAR +3.5 win MIN +4 win NO -151 win CHI +3.5 Big ole Loss and I bought the hook. NO DET o51.5 Win ARI CAR u52.5 NEVER A DOUBT GB -5 I was ready to punch Mason Crosby As far as this week goes, a couple of my buddies that live in desert said they've been hearing Bills -8.5 if the Titans test negative tomorrow and can re-open. Do we know who tested positive for Tennessee because I make that line somewhere in the Bills +1 territory unless Tannehill is one of the positives. Edited October 6, 2020 by SACTOBILLSFAN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GottaRun Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 My gambling account was $0 on Jan 1st. Played poker free rolls for 6 weeks and managed to win $24 in a free roll where I ran hot. Ran that up to $150 before football season started all playing cheap poker Ran that up to $320 after the Bills win Sunday then .... Placed a live bet on the Chiefs when they were up 6-0 and had the ball around the pats 23. All $320 to win $23. No worries it was about to be 13-0 Chiefs.... then they lost the ball and the game was a cliffhanger for too long. Won the bet... I'm never doing that again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 (edited) I've been treading water. I go 2-for-3 most times but the two are low payout bets. So two wins wind up equaling my initial bets. Oddly my best success is bets on the Bills. Points by halftime, individual player props, head-to-head matchups. Those have been working well for me. #DraftKings Last night: Total TD's by both teams by halftime - over 2.5: loss Head-to-head, more passing yards - Mahomes: win TD passes for game - Mahomes over 1.5: win Edited October 6, 2020 by PromoTheRobot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted October 6, 2020 Share Posted October 6, 2020 The lions got me this week. I thought they’d cover +4 with the Saints missing both starting corners, Thomas, Davenport, Peat and Cook. They had a 14-0 lead in the first 5 minutes. Then I got sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwchze Posted October 6, 2020 Author Share Posted October 6, 2020 1 hour ago, PromoTheRobot said: I've been treading water. I go 2-for-3 most times but the two are low payout bets. So two wins wind up equaling my initial bets. Oddly my best success is bets on the Bills. Points by halftime, individual player props, head-to-head matchups. Those have been working well for me. Last night: Total TD's by both teams by halftime - over 2.5: loss Head-to-head, more passing yards - Mahomes: win TD passes for game - Mahomes over 1.5: win I try and stay away from props unless I’m in Vegas and going on a run.. been playing the percentages and on a smart run so far this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACTOBILLSFAN Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 On 10/6/2020 at 11:59 AM, cwchze said: I try and stay away from props unless I’m in Vegas and going on a run.. been playing the percentages and on a smart run so far this season Props are still an immature market and there's value if you have a good model. Mostly totals for me so far today: ARI @ NYJ u47.5 CAR @ ATL o53.5 JAX @ HOU u54.5 LV @ KC u54.5 PHI @ PIT o43.5 PHI @ PIT 1H u22.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turf Toejam 34 Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 Took Carolina and the 2.5 pts over Atlanta then parlayed it with the Rams giving 7.5 to WFC. Feel that Carolina is putting the pieces together, even on the road, and the Rams haven't beat up on someone in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullBuchanan Posted October 11, 2020 Share Posted October 11, 2020 I 6 minutes ago, SACTOBILLSFAN said: Props are still an immature market and there's value if you have a good model. Mostly totals for me so far today: ARI @ NYJ u47.5 CAR @ ATL o53.5 JAX @ HOU u54.5 LV @ KC u54.5 PHI @ PIT o43.5 PHI @ PIT 1H u22.5 I didn't like any of the spreads either, so bought a lotto ticket. 1 parlay of 6 Teams Risk: $20.00 Win: $909.77 Over 43.5-115 Philadelphia Eagles vs Pittsburgh Steelers Under 54-105 Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Over 53-109 Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons Under 54.5-113 Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Over 44-114 Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Over 48.5-114 Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cwchze Posted October 11, 2020 Author Share Posted October 11, 2020 Lost thurs brady and over.. back at it today: 4 team tease rams kc balt dallas 100 to pay 255 and we are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Captain Caveman Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 I ran up 50$ into about 800 so far this week, and my original goal was to let it ride on the Bills tonight, but I'm starting to feel a little uneasy. Where is everyone else at today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Over 29 years of fanhood Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 49 minutes ago, Captain Caveman said: I ran up 50$ into about 800 so far this week, and my original goal was to let it ride on the Bills tonight, but I'm starting to feel a little uneasy. Where is everyone else at today? Titans have had a lot of rest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IDBillzFan Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 1 hour ago, Captain Caveman said: I ran up 50$ into about 800 so far this week, and my original goal was to let it ride on the Bills tonight, but I'm starting to feel a little uneasy. Where is everyone else at today? If I was still a gambler, I'd jump on the Bills to cover tonight, in large part because the Titans haven't really had the opportunity to practice together in any real capacity. But I'm not a gambler anymore because I sucked at it, and the former gambler says to stay away from a game that has a couple of relatively unprecedented variables which few could even hope to understand. Keep your winngs for a more reliable bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wvbillsfan Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 2 hours ago, Captain Caveman said: I ran up 50$ into about 800 so far this week, and my original goal was to let it ride on the Bills tonight, but I'm starting to feel a little uneasy. Where is everyone else at today? I’m going to wager two prop bets tonight Diggs and A.J. brown to have 6 catches each at +455 Also AJ Brown over 55 receiving yards -110. QB has to throw to someone and we can’t cover a a lot guy or at least haven’t all season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER DOT COM Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 2 hours ago, Captain Caveman said: I ran up 50$ into about 800 so far this week, and my original goal was to let it ride on the Bills tonight, but I'm starting to feel a little uneasy. Where is everyone else at today? Wager whatever it'll take to get you to 1K. You'll still be up big from $50 if the Bills somehow lose or don't cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PromoTheRobot Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 I've had a bad run the last few days. I need to adopt the Costanza Method. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DasNootz Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 2 hours ago, wvbillsfan said: I’m going to wager two prop bets tonight Diggs and A.J. brown to have 6 catches each at +455 Also AJ Brown over 55 receiving yards -110. QB has to throw to someone and we can’t cover a a lot guy or at least haven’t all season. AJ Brown over 55 yards seems like a gimme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StHustle Posted October 13, 2020 Share Posted October 13, 2020 Welp I guess the powers to be deleted my $15k bet thread but I just decided I'm going to donate $1k of my winnings to the foundation of today's best Bill. If they don't have one it'll go to Josh's (who will likely be player of the game anyhow) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts