4merper4mer Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Backintheday544 said: It could depend on the split of the NE and ME votes. GA to Biden changes everything. Hard to tell if NYT is accurate. They had Trumps chances at 3.1 as the highest I saw, so to be plus on Biden now is interesting. I was assuming Ga/NC to Trump there. I also think the Az comp,aiming is silly. If all of the above are true I think two out of three MI/PA/WI does it either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, 4merper4mer said: I was assuming Ga/NC to Trump there. I also think the Az comp,aiming is silly. If all of the above are true I think two out of three MI/PA/WI does it either way. I didn’t think GA would go Biden early in the night but NYT has Biden at the advantage with a lot of vote in. AP calls MN for Biden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4merper4mer Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Backintheday544 said: I didn’t think GA would go Biden early in the night but NYT has Biden at the advantage with a lot of vote in. AP calls MN for Biden. I'm calling Montana and Alaska for Trump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Gene1973 said: Actually I read that PA ballots that come in after today are void, the postmark thing was shot down in court, iirc. But I'm tired and maybe that was a different state. Bedtime... Supreme Court ruled yesterday that they can count the postmarked ones. 3 minutes ago, 4merper4mer said: I'm calling Montana and Alaska for Trump I agree! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 How significant is it if ga goes to biden? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Process said: How significant is it if ga goes to biden? Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Process said: How significant is it if ga goes to biden? 16 votes. Now that Biden has MN, changes the calculus on WI, PA. AZ and GA gets Biden to a guaranteed 260. Biden would just need 1 of WI, MI, PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Process Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Backintheday544 said: 16 votes. Now that Biden has MN, changes the calculus on WI, PA. AZ and GA gets Biden to a guaranteed 260. Biden would just need 1 of WI, MI, PA. Twitter making it seem like GA is actually in play for Biden but fox news basically just called it for trump and made it seem like it will be official shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Process said: Twitter making it seem like GA is actually in play for Biden but fox news basically just called it for trump and made it seem like it will be official shortly Here’s the NYT needle: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html They were one of the first to give Trump the best odds 4 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Gene1973 said: I'm not understanding that one, been watching GA and Trump has been slowly adding to his lead from like 75% reporting to 82% now... NYT map still shows it red, def not leaning blue. There’s a ton of the cities not in. Falcons stadium had a water main break that delayed a ton of votes too. Bovada down to -150. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo_Stampede Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump is going to win. We need to let democracy win and move on with our lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
formerlyofCtown Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 On 9/1/2020 at 9:09 AM, thenorthremembers said: You'd think after 2016 Dems would stop looking at polls. On 9/1/2016 polls had Clinton at 302 electoral votes, she ended with 227. She was also twice the candidate Biden is. They create the poles in order to try and away voters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump gets Iowa and Florida per ABC. Expected after the results we have so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
formerlyofCtown Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: There’s a ton of the cities not in. Falcons stadium had a water main break that delayed a ton of votes too. Bovada down to -150. The Left needed some way to destroy those ballots and replace them. How convenient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsFan20 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: There’s a ton of the cities not in. Falcons stadium had a water main break that delayed a ton of votes too. Bovada down to -150. Atlanta did a really great job opening up the Hawks arena for voting. I bet they got a lot more turnout than you would expect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, formerlyofCtown said: The Left needed some way to destroy those ballots and replace them. How convenient. those ballots in Atlanta were going Dem. plus officials said home were destroyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkreed Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 10 minutes ago, Backintheday544 said: There’s a ton of the cities not in. Falcons stadium had a water main break that delayed a ton of votes too. Bovada down to -150. This is 100% right. According to NYT, DeKalb county is only 1/3 in. Biden is up by 80k votes there (suburb of Atlanta). I believe that NYT is expecting that the remaining votes are mail in, therefore likely larger for Biden. That makes up ~160,000 votes in that county ALONE. Then more of the Atlanta vote is still missing, also presumed the mail in. Also they have this note: "So far, Biden appears to have flipped Mitchell County. According to turnout estimates, around 690,000 votes remain in counties won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump 2016 counties have around 110,000 votes left to report. 3m ago" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backintheday544 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, nkreed said: This is 100% right. According to NYT, DeKalb county is only 1/3 in. Biden is up by 80k votes there (suburb of Atlanta). I believe that NYT is expecting that the remaining votes are mail in, therefore likely larger for Biden. That makes up ~160,000 votes in that county ALONE. Then more of the Atlanta vote is still missing, also presumed the mail in. Also they have this note: "So far, Biden appears to have flipped Mitchell County. According to turnout estimates, around 690,000 votes remain in counties won by Hillary Clinton in 2016. Trump 2016 counties have around 110,000 votes left to report. 3m ago" IF GA goes Biden, I think it’s over. We will probably see a GA- WI and then no one cares about P.A. being the slow poke. We need national election reform. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkreed Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I expect GA will not be called in the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dma0034 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I think Trump's play is going to be to say that all the votes in Altanta and Pittsburgh shouldn't count Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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