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Things that will be hard to repeat in 2020


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There’s a few thing you might be overlooking.

 

I think the biggest is on defense.  While the defense was very good, they also didn’t generate that many turnovers and scored 0 defensive TD’s.  
 

One offense the Bills moves the ball quite a bit but drives got stuffed between midfield and the red zone - largely because of penalties or Josh Alen taking bad sacks 

 

But let’s not kid ourselves - 2020 is a huge year and it’s all on Allen’s shoulders.  He makes the playoffs and shows he’s an improved QB and this team in excellent shape moving forward:

 

- Allen negotiates a second contract

- Beane/McDermott receive extensions

- Brian Daboll is a legit HC candidate 

- Multiple members of the Bills front office are legit GM Candidates


If this doesn’t happen:

- Look for the Bills to finally bring in a veteran QB (like an Andy Dalton) to push Allen or possibly to take over.

- Beane and/or McDermott go in a “make or break” Year 5.  

- Brian Daboll might not be OC

 

Its a HUGE 2020

 

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The Bills 2020 schedule will go against the AFCW and NFCW.  The worst part of that for the Bills is all the travel to West Coast or at least distant cities -- the Bills have never traveled well consistently.  

 

It's hard to see which teams will improve or degrade from year to year.  I don't worry so much about playing powerhouses -- it's the teams that get better all of a sudden are the problem.

 

Finally, the Bills aren't the only AFCE team playing the two western divisions.  All the AFCE teams play the two western divisions.  That stuff evens out.  It might be hard for the AFCE to have a Wild Card team next year, so the obvious solution is to win the division.  9-7 will probably do it.  With Miami developing a culture of performance this year -- incredible job by their HC -- and Darnold not getting mono next year, both the Jets and Dolphins will be tough foes. I think the Bills go 4-2 in the division (sweeping NE) and 5-5 outside.  

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One thing about McD led Bills is they play well on the road for the most part.  In the first season, they beat Minnesota and Atlanta.  They were big underdogs in those.  This year 6 - 2 on road.  Too many things will change before season starts.  Not even thinking about next season yet.

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9 hours ago, zow2 said:

The bad news:  Jets & Miami should be improved...overall schedule is definitely looking harder.

 

The good news: Maybe New England finally drops off a bit and wins 10 games instead of 12-13.  It would be nice to have a realistic chance to win the division and not have to scratch and claw with the rest of the AFC for a wild card slot.  No one is scared of NE anymore...except Buffalo. 

Miami will still be bad, probably even worse unless they stick with Fitz for another year. But if they start a rookie they'll really suck. They still have a couple years of building ahead of them.

 

Not sure about the Jets. They could be better, or they could implode. We'll see.

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8 hours ago, JMF2006 said:

Some good teams will slip and this team will be better.

 

I think 10 wins is a very good possibility.

BTW if they win 5 in our division 5 of 11  should be easy.

I get what you're saying, but if we get 5 wins in our division we would need 5 of the remaining 10 games, not 11.

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The schedule will be more difficult just from probability.  If you randomly pick any team, any season in the last 20 years there is probably about a 95% chance their schedule was harder than the Bills.

 

Otoh, they have 90M on cap space, a full complement of draft choices, and one more year of experience should help Allen and Edwards so the Bills should also be better so they don't have to rely on luck as much.

Edited by Billy Claude
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