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Broncos 4th Down Conversion %


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Listening to Sirius NFL this afternoon with Pat Kirwin.  One interesting stat about Broncos this year ... they are # 1 in 4th down conversions with a 75% success rate.   They were discussing going for it on 4th down and generally speaking there is an increase in the number of instances of teams going for it on 4th.  Teams are being more aggressive in this area.  Buffalo is ranked 25 in this dept, with a 33% success rate.   Interestingly ... Dallas and Steelers (future opponents) were ranked 29 and 30 respectively.

 

Watch out for those 4th downs this Sunday ...

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Helped by 4 on the final drive on Sunday when they were trying to come back and win. Not sure how many I have seen them go before other than in obvious end of game scenarios. They have lost 3 games inside the last 60 seconds. They have been driving in obvious 4 down territory a lot. 

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They are 9/12. I don’t know the scenarios but judging from their record, they’re most likely playing from behind, and in 4 down territory like Bill said. Defenses maybe playing a prevent or some kind of sit back defense as to not get beat over the top at the end of the game. Sometimes small stats like these can be misleading w/o knowing the context or scenario 

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1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

Helped by 4 on the final drive on Sunday when they were trying to come back and win. Not sure how many I have seen them go before other than in obvious end of game scenarios. They have lost 3 games inside the last 60 seconds. They have been driving in obvious 4 down territory a lot. 

 

I was going to say the same.  They have been close in the 4th Q a lot.

 

Put the game away early, but 20 points won't do it.  Denver will have a "bone in their teeth" about coming from behind in that sitch.

 

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33 minutes ago, nemhoff said:

 

Denver is not west coast, I live in Portland, OR and that is west coast.  It is a 2.5 hour flight or so directly to Buffalo


more towards ‘or so’

Buffalo, NY—Denver, CO

Nonstop (3 per week)3 h 50 min
Connecting 5 h 15 min+
Edited by Say When...
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All that tells me is despite all their deficiencies the broncos have on the field for the most part they still know what to do on fourth down. Punting is not the way to go in almost all cases. Not sure why old man Vic knows this and cool guy Sean doesn’t

Edited by JoPoy88
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All information for Broncos 4th Down play available  at  https://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/play_finder.cgi?request=1&match=summary_all&year_min=2019&year_max=2019&team_id=den&opp_id=&game_type=R&playoff_round=&game_num_min=0&game_num_max=99&week_num_min=0&week_num_max=99&tr_gtlt=lt&ytg_gtlt=gt&yds_to_go=&yg_gtlt=gt&yards=&is_first_down=-1&fp_gtlt=gt&fp_tm_opp=team&fp_ydline=&type=PASS&type=RUSH&is_turnover=-1&is_scoring=-1&no_play=N&game_day_of_week=&game_result=&order_by=yards&down=4

 

Break up appears as follows:

 

Attempted 4th down:  11

Running play:   4/4    (Completion/Attempt)

Passing Play:   5/6

Sacked:             1    

 

Passing:

Flacco -  3/4     (Total 19 yards)

Allen   -   2/2    (Total 17 yards)

 

Rushing: 

Lindsay -   2/2    (Total 4 yards and 1 TD)

Allen          1/1    (Total  11 yards)

Sutton       1/1   ( Total  1 yard)

 

 

 

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Date Tm Opp Quarter Time Down Yards Location Score Detail Yds EPB EPA Diff
2019-11-17 Broncos Vikings 4 3:27 4 6 MIN 45 27-23 Brandon Allen pass complete short middle to Noah Fant for 11 yards (tackle by Anthony Barr) 11 0.270 3.310 3.04
2019-11-17 Broncos Vikings 4 0:33 4 1 MIN 15 27-23 Brandon Allen right end for 11 yards (tackle by Jayron Kearse) 11 2.590 6.280 3.69
2019-09-15 Broncos Bears 4 2:25 4 10 CHI 43 6-13 Joe Flacco pass complete short right to Courtland Sutton for 10 yards (tackle by Kyle Fuller) 10 0.400 3.380 2.98
2019-11-17 Broncos Vikings 4 1:57 4 6 MIN 30 27-23 Brandon Allen pass complete short middle to Tim Patrick for 6 yards (tackle by Mike Hughes) 6 1.430 3.970 2.54
2019-09-15 Broncos Bears 4 1:02 4 3 CHI 12 6-13 Joe Flacco pass complete short right to Courtland Sutton for 5 yards (tackle by Kyle Fuller) 5 2.730 5.600 2.87
2019-09-15 Broncos Bears 4 8:47 4 2 CHI 45 6-13 Joe Flacco pass complete short left to Phillip Lindsay for 4 yards (tackle by Roquan Smith) 4 0.270 2.850 2.58
2019-10-17 Broncos Chiefs 4 13:44 4 1 DEN 34 6-27 Phillip Lindsay left end for 3 yards (tackle by Tanoh Kpassagnon) 3 -1.110 1.400 2.51
2019-09-22 Broncos Packers 3 6:05 4 1 GNB 1 24-16 Phillip Lindsay left guard for 1 yard, touchdown 1 3.550 7.000 3.45
2019-11-17 Broncos Vikings 2 14:13 4 1 MIN 7 0-10 Courtland Sutton left end for 1 yard (tackle by Andrew Sendejo) 1 3.010 5.830 2.82
2019-09-22 Broncos Packers 4 2:23 4 17 DEN 49 27-16 Joe Flacco sacked by Preston Smith for -6 yards 0 -0.130 -2.720 -2.59
2019-10-17 Broncos Chiefs 4 8:14 4 6 KAN 49 6-27 Joe Flacco pass incomplete short middle intended for DaeSean Hamilton (defended by Rashad Fenton) 0 0.000 -2.190 -2.19
Edited by ganesh
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