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SlimShady'sGhost

2019 Playoff Scenarios. Buffalo #5 Seed, 95% to make it, 1 more win will clinch. AFCE Crown is still in play.

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The path hasnt really changed, if you beat Denver, Pittsburgh, NYJ and Miami and you're in.   If you lose to any one of those teams there is a very good chance you're out.   10-6 gets you there, 9-7 probably doesnt.

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2 hours ago, Gordio said:

 

 

I am not counting Baltimore or Dallas a loss quite yet.  Those games are winnable.  We got to get these next two though.  A loss to the phins Sunday would be devastating.  

 

1 hour ago, Metal Man said:

 

Dallas has been a mystery so it isn't too crazy of a thought though I'd feel better about it if it wasn't on turkey day.

 

The only thing I know for certain is how I have all of the games predicted in the playoff machine right now will NOT be how it looks after week 17.

 

Hopefully all the surprises work in Buffalo's favor though. :thumbsup:

 

I'd LOVE for the Bills to CRUSH the Ravens to make up for the game I attended opening week last year.  Not a LJ fan, but they are winning so I can't say too much against him. 

 

The Steelers have Rudolph and he's not a LOCK to win a game either. 

 

Week 17 ... Will the JETS players care?  Is Gase that much of a motivator?   

 

 

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I see the Bills finishing 9-7 at best. Their offense is not good enough to win against good defenses. I see Allen regressing a lot in th second half of the season. If they lose to Miami, I am having doubts the playoffs are going to happen. I think it's going to be Pittsburgh and either Jacksonville or Oakland in that last spot. 

 

 

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1 hour ago, Jrb1979 said:

I see the Bills finishing 9-7 at best. Their offense is not good enough to win against good defenses. I see Allen regressing a lot in th second half of the season. If they lose to Miami, I am having doubts the playoffs are going to happen. I think it's going to be Pittsburgh and either Jacksonville or Oakland in that last spot. 

 

 

 

what should we do if we miss the playoffs after starting 6-2? surely some changes have to be made to the staff. monumental collapse with one of the easiest remaining schedules in franchise history. 

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2 hours ago, uticaclub said:

Isn't Coughlin calling all the shot anyway?

I think you are correct about personnel but I think that Marrone is the coach truly, at least during game day. 

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Oakland and Pittsburg have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way I see scenarios where the Bills and Pitt both finish at 10-6 with Pitt winning based on the head to head game.  Oakland it's hard to find losses besides the Chiefs game definitely in play for one of the wildcard spots imo

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3 hours ago, ILBillsfan said:

Oakland and Pittsburg have a very favorable schedule the rest of the way I see scenarios where the Bills and Pitt both finish at 10-6 with Pitt winning based on the head to head game.  Oakland it's hard to find losses besides the Chiefs game definitely in play for one of the wildcard spots imo


I’m not sure what to think of Pittsburgh and I think the Raiders will lose to the Chargers keeping them a game behind Buffalo 

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13 hours ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:


I’m not sure what to think of Pittsburgh and I think the Raiders will lose to the Chargers keeping them a game behind Buffalo 

Loss by pitt tonight certainly helps and if connor is done (shoulder may be an issue for awhile) then that helps even more.  As for oakland lets hope the good Rivers shows up for that one because that end schedule looks very favoring for the Raiders

Edited by ILBillsfan
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The Steelers chances just dropped significantly with the loss.  
 

 

49%
 

To make it easier for my lazy butt

 

NFL

http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture

 

ESPN page will be activated (post) week 10 also known as week 11 

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

ESPN standings 

https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff

 

NYT 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html

 

CBS 

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

For reference Bills at 56%. Lets see how high or low it changes after Sunday’s game 

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The next 4 in the chase 

Oakland 5-4
WEEK 11 CINCINNATI
   
Colts 5-4
WEEK 11

JACKSONVILLE

 

Tenny has a bye week. 

Edited by SlimShady'sGhost

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54 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

The next 4 in the chase 

Oakland 5-4
WEEK 11 CINCINNATI
   
Colts 5-4
WEEK 11

JACKSONVILLE

 

Tenny has a bye week. 

Maybe Cinci will help the bills out and beat the Raiders...HAHAHAHA I wish but any given Sunday

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Losing 16 games isn’t easy. 
 

only twice before in NFL history 

 

23 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said:

Maybe Cinci will help the bills out and beat the Raiders...HAHAHAHA I wish but any given Sunday

 

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1 hour ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:

The next 4 in the chase 

Oakland 5-4
WEEK 11 CINCINNATI
   
Colts 5-4
WEEK 11

JACKSONVILLE

 

Tenny has a bye week. 


Jags can beat the Colts, especially with Foles back.  
 

Cinci without Dalton has basically given up. 

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just spent waaaaaay too much time cranking numbers on that ESPN machine...

 

As long as we win our favored games, and beat the Steelers... we are in

 

my $$ says we end up facing off first round against the Chiefs or Chargers

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39 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

just spent waaaaaay too much time cranking numbers on that ESPN machine...

 

As long as we win our favored games, and beat the Steelers... we are in

 

my $$ says we end up facing off first round against the Chiefs or Chargers


you had me up to Chargers.  
 

8 percent.  Not 80 

Save the $$$$.  
Unless you like giving it away. 

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45 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

just spent waaaaaay too much time cranking numbers on that ESPN machine...

 

As long as we win our favored games, and beat the Steelers... we are in

 

my $$ says we end up facing off first round against the Chiefs or Chargers

Chargers????  Rotflcopter!!!!!!

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Worst case and realistic scenario:

 

Bills - Finish 10-6 with losses to NE, DAL and BAL and winning other 4 games.

 

Raiders and Indy go 11-5.

Raiders - Wins vs CIN, NYJ, TEN, JAC, LAC, DEN and a loss to KC

Indy - Wins vs JAC, TEN, TB, JAC and two of 3 vs CAR, NO, HOU

 

or 

CLE wins  out or 5 of 6 vs MIA, PIT, CIN, AZ, BAL, PIT (and Bills lose PIT game too)

or PIT beats Bills and wins 4 of 5 vs. CIN, CLE, AZ, NYJ, BAL

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On 11/15/2019 at 7:55 AM, SlimShady'sGhost said:

For reference Bills at 56%. Lets see how high or low it changes after Sunday’s game 


With the WIN 7 - 3 

 

68% to make the playoffs !!!!

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36 minutes ago, unclepete said:

9-7 might do it this year. Lots of even teams 


might.   10 and 6 or better will secure it most definitely 

 

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7 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:


might.   10 and 6 or better will secure it most definitely 

 


I would agree. Idk with the tie breaker with Colts or Raiders would be, but Steelers SHOULD be head to head. 
 

keep winning and it won’t matter. 7-3 for the first time in what feels like my entire adult life and I like it. 

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22 minutes ago, EmotionallyUnstable said:


I would agree. Idk with the tie breaker with Colts or Raiders would be, but Steelers SHOULD be head to head. 
 

keep winning and it won’t matter. 7-3 for the first time in what feels like my entire adult life and I like it. 


this is from last Tuesday but with the Steelers Loss I’d say the Raiders have that edge 

 

AFC tiebreakers:

  • Pittsburgh and Oakland are ahead of Indianapolis based on head-to-head sweep (2-0).
  • Pittsburgh is ahead of Oakland based on conference record (4-2 to the Raiders' 3-2).
  • Denver is ahead of Cleveland based on head to head (1-0).
  • Miami is ahead of the N.Y. Jets based on head to head (1-0).


One of the links above has the details of you click the tabs 

 

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