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NFL analyst predicts Buffalo Bills will play New England Patriots in AFC Championship Game

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4 hours ago, thronethinker said:

This whole scenario is likely not even possible. They Very likely playoff seeding will have Buffalo as 5th seed and NE 1st. KC probably 2nd seed. For Buffalo to get through the Wildcard they would have to beat the 4th Seed, toss up between West and South right now. That would make Buffalo the lowest ranking seed to make the second round unless the 6th seed pulls off an upset and wins too. NE by default plays the lowest remaining seed in round 2, which if my scenario plays out would be Buffalo. So AFC Championship would not include Bills and Patriots, Divisional round is much more likely at this point. Even if Buffalo Finished 1st and NE 5th. 

 

Your logic is sound but all of the assumptions are way too early. It’s probably not likely, but it’s definitely possible. 

 

Anyone know when the last time we saw a same-division championship game?

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21 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

 

Your logic is sound but all of the assumptions are way too early. It’s probably not likely, but it’s definitely possible. 

 

Anyone know when the last time we saw a same-division championship game?

 

Bills vs Dolphins in 93 comes to mind. Not sure about after that. 

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1 hour ago, thronethinker said:

 

Bills vs Dolphins in 93 comes to mind. Not sure about after that. 

 

2013 49ers v. Seahawks. Sorry receiver bowl. 

 

2008 Ravens v. Steelers in the AFC.

 

I looked it up myself.

 

 Also, looking up the AFC championship game history is really vomit inducing when seeing the patriots there every single year

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5 hours ago, DC Tom said:

 

In fact, going back 10 years (all I'm willing to do right now) the #3 seed beats the #6 11 out of 20 games.  Not only is it not rare, it's slightly more likely than not.  

 

Flipped your numbers?

#3 beating #6 in 11 out of 20 games would make #6 slightly LESS likely. Though I would call it a statistical toss up and say the 6th seed is not automatically in an underdog position. 

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thank God for the tiebreaker rules!  I forgot that we snuck in because of our better record against AFC opponents, even though the Chargers had obviously beaten us head-to-head.

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I always thought when we finally ended the drought it would be because we had an epic 13-3 season or better. But of course we ended it in an almost complete opposite fashion by falling butt backwards into a wild card. Maybe I was just two years off on that prediction?

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If the Bills can stay in the playoff game late at KC, Andy Reid will crap the bed for the 45th time in a row in a clutch game

 

so there is that solid Law of football 

 

 

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A lot can happen between now and the start of the playoffs. Brady has garbage for an O line compared to what he used to have, let's see if he lasts long enough. Mahomes is good, but KC's lack of a defense could ultimately be their achilles heel. Allen really needs to step up his game and make this offense more of a threat. Getting Singletary back will open things up a bit, some chemistry with Duke and hopefully score more points in the 3rd qtr.

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7 hours ago, whatdrought said:

 

2013 49ers v. Seahawks. Sorry receiver bowl. 

 

2008 Ravens v. Steelers in the AFC.

 

I looked it up myself.

 

 Also, looking up the AFC championship game history is really vomit inducing when seeing the patriots there every single year


And the variety of teams that played in the NFC title game during the Pats Dynasty

 

 

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13 hours ago, thronethinker said:

This whole scenario is likely not even possible. They Very likely playoff seeding will have Buffalo as 5th seed and NE 1st. KC probably 2nd seed. For Buffalo to get through the Wildcard they would have to beat the 4th Seed, toss up between West and South right now. That would make Buffalo the lowest ranking seed to make the second round unless the 6th seed pulls off an upset and wins too. NE by default plays the lowest remaining seed in round 2, which if my scenario plays out would be Buffalo. So AFC Championship would not include Bills and Patriots, Divisional round is much more likely at this point. Even if Buffalo Finished 1st and NE 5th. 

 

I don't have NE as the 1 seed. I think KC will be the 1 seed. 

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1 minute ago, GunnerBill said:

 

I don't have NE as the 1 seed. I think KC will be the 1 seed. 


like last year?

 

have to look up how that one turned out...

 

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Just now, row_33 said:


like last year?

 

have to look up how that one turned out...

 

 

Yea I am not saying the Patriots can't make it back to the Superbowl. I am just saying I think Kansas City will end up as the 1 seed. New England's offensive line would really worry me at the moment if I were a Pats fan. 

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12 hours ago, jabu said:

 

Flipped your numbers?

#3 beating #6 in 11 out of 20 games would make #6 slightly LESS likely. Though I would call it a statistical toss up and say the 6th seed is not automatically in an underdog position. 

 

Actually, the numbers I flipped were the wins/losses.  #6 beats #3 in 11 out of 20.  

 

I did end up taking it back to the reorganization in to 4 divisions...and #6 beats #3 50% of the time.  In the old 3-division format, it's less common.  And if you think about it, that makes sense: the 4-division format allows for weaker division-winning team to get the #4 seed, while at the same time puts a potentially stronger team (the second-best non-division-winning team) at #6.  

 

Of course, now I have to check that against the #5 vs. #4 record - weakest division winner vs. strongest wild card.  Be right back...

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19 hours ago, thronethinker said:

This whole scenario is likely not even possible. They Very likely playoff seeding will have Buffalo as 5th seed and NE 1st. KC probably 2nd seed. For Buffalo to get through the Wildcard they would have to beat the 4th Seed, toss up between West and South right now. That would make Buffalo the lowest ranking seed to make the second round unless the 6th seed pulls off an upset and wins too. NE by default plays the lowest remaining seed in round 2, which if my scenario plays out would be Buffalo. So AFC Championship would not include Bills and Patriots, Divisional round is much more likely at this point. Even if Buffalo Finished 1st and NE 5th. 

 

KC could be number 1, so the Bills would play them in the divisional round and then New England in the AFC Championship Game..

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  My statement applies to more than just this thread but this is probably the best place for it.  People are talking about making player moves for a push and just worry that if Buffalo faces NE that the game will be slanted in NE's favor.  I see the zebras penalizing the Bills for well over 100 yards to have Tom and Bill in another SB.  Let's get another draft and FA period under our belt in 2020 then see what is lacking.  Hopefully, this squad could win the SB this year but really think that they will fall short of making the AFCC game.

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One thing I'm noticing that's interesting is that a lot of the former player analysts are hyping the Bills while the regular media folks are incredulous. I just saw Deion Sanders say that the Bills - over the Chiefs and Texans - were the biggest competition to the Patriots in the AFC. This after DeAngelo Hall and Michael Robinson floated some hype our way as well. I don't watch a ton of the talking head stuff so maybe my sample size isn't big enough, but to me it looks like the analysts who have real football experience think we're onto something and that feels good. 

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Don't these analysts know better than to pick the Bills to do anything good before we're at least over the 6 win mark?

Doesn't matter if we're 5-0, until I see that 6th win while off to a fast start, I'm not convinced.

The Bills defense is great, but with Allen & this offense playing like they have, it'd be a miracle to get to the AFC Championship game.
 

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On 10/12/2019 at 11:08 PM, row_33 said:

If the Bills can stay in the playoff game late at KC, Andy Reid will crap the bed for the 45th time in a row in a clutch game

 

so there is that solid Law of football 

 

 

 

They didn't crap the bed last year though, Reid got them to the AFC Championship game with what was essentially a rookie QB, and when that QB left the field, they were beating the best team in the league 28-24 with 2 minutes left on the clock.

Of course Tom Brady marched them down the field & scored in that 2 mins, but even then the Chiefs didn't just give up, they scored a FG to send it into OT. To get that close with that young a QB, and against the inevitable Super Bowl Champs, HOF Coach & GOAT QB says a lot. Acting like we wouldn't have given anything to be in that position the past 2 decades is just crazy.

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48 minutes ago, BigDingus said:

Don't these analysts know better than to pick the Bills to do anything good before we're at least over the 6 win mark?

Doesn't matter if we're 5-0, until I see that 6th win while off to a fast start, I'm not convinced.

The Bills defense is great, but with Allen & this offense playing like they have, it'd be a miracle to get to the AFC Championship game.
 

 

Thanks Buzz Killington...

 

Just ride it out for a while... this looks like a pretty open year where a lot of things seem possible...

Edited by Aussie Joe

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