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Man, Great weekend for some Money Line Plays


plenzmd1

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5 minutes ago, D. L. Hot-Flamethrower said:

Line is down to -1 Bills, late money on Giants?

Jersey i think is taking as much action as Vegas these days..can see the Giamts always being overbet now.

 

OKay i did 1 unit on each of the Seahawks, Jaguars, and Colts and 1/3 unit on them in a 3 team parlay at 25-1.

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4 hours ago, plenzmd1 said:

Jersey i think is taking as much action as Vegas these days..can see the Giamts always being overbet now.

 

OKay i did 1 unit on each of the Seahawks, Jaguars, and Colts and 1/3 unit on them in a 3 team parlay at 25-1.

oh my freaking God..Marrone goes for two to win the game vs the Jaga cost mea pretty freaking penny today..Fornette gets to the 1/2 inch line. Worth the shot!

 

BTW, i liked the call to call fro two..should have known i was doomed when i agree with that knucklehead!

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1 minute ago, plenzmd1 said:

oh my freaking God..Marrone goes for two to win the game vs the Jaga cost mea pretty freaking penny today..Fornette gets to the 1/2 inch line. Worth the shot!

 

BTW, i liked the call to call fro two..should have known i was doomed when i agree with that knucklehead!

 

As I said earlier in the thread, the underdogs on the money lines are tough.  If you didn't go for the big ones, you would have came out on top.

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40 minutes ago, Mark80 said:

 

As I said earlier in the thread, the underdogs on the money lines are tough.  If you didn't go for the big ones, you would have came out on top.

i still won the day, but had the Jags won, massive payday! I am okay swinging for the fences on the moneyline. I usually have decent years, only need to win like 35% of them to come out on top. Today i hit 66% on straight bets, and saw an opp to hit a massive 25-1 shot for a 1/3 of my normal bet.And it was an inch from winning!

 

 

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On 9/13/2019 at 9:30 AM, BillsQuebec said:

My pick of the week goes to the Bears -2 at the Broncos.

 

 

I took that as one of my six regular picks. Was looking possible until Flacco just threw a pick at the goaline. I'll be 5 out of 6 on my individual wagers if I miss on this one.

 

It was a good week to say the least. Just wish i was placing more than $5 wagers on everything listed below. I'll probably up everything to $20 wagers next week with the larger bank roll.

 

Hits: 

Colts +3

Lions +1.5

Cowboys -5

49ers  -1

Jags +8

 

Six team parlay $5 to win $230

Cowboys -5

49ers -1

Buffalo -2.5

Chiefs -7 (calling this one early chiefs up 28-10 in 4th quarter right now)

Lions +1.5

Colts +4 (bought a point on the parlay)

 

Misses:

Broncos +2 (currently down a TD in 4th quarter)

 

Six team teaser

Saints +8.5

 

 

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Profitable week close to 2k. Really did well with Austin Ekeler prop bet. Originally listed 40.5 receiving yards at -114. Put $250 down. Then a little later it dropped to 38.5 yds so put down another $250. Within few minutes he had catch for 35 yds in the 1st qtr and finished with 4 catches and 62 yds in low scoring game.

 

Most painful loss was My 8 leg parlay which was in tact until the Bears game. I had put 75 bet early in the week. All I needed was a Bears win today giving -2.5 points and a Cleveland money line win tomorrow to win over 1k.

 

Last drive with the broncos driving I hedged and threw 50 bucks on Denver at +600. Denver drives and scores which ended up screwing me since they went for 2. So Bears get late FG and I lose both plays as the Bears won only by 2 points. 

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23 hours ago, iinii said:

- No team in the Super Bowl era has ever been more than an 18-point favorite on the road before the end of September. The largest home underdog in that span was 18 points, done twice (1969 and 1970). Both of those underdogs were shut out and did not cover.

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/27608395/week-2-nfl-betting-nuggets-know

The Bears looked like a smart pick before you convinced me. 

 

 

I know the stats, issue is except for maybe the Colts with Suck for Luck, there was NEVER a team that I can recall that purposely tanked so all the historical data as far as I am concerned is irrelevant when talking about the Dolphins.  You had a historic moment, arguably the best team going against a team that is setting itself up for failure, 44 points later we have the answer.

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40 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:

 

 

I know the stats, issue is except for maybe the Colts with Suck for Luck, there was NEVER a team that I can recall that purposely tanked so all the historical data as far as I am concerned is irrelevant when talking about the Dolphins.  You had a historic moment, arguably the best team going against a team that is setting itself up for failure, 44 points later we have the answer.

This is why the hardcore gamblers get screwed and the people picking games based on colors or mascots or logos end up occasionally winning big. The hardcore guys will look at the stats and history and use it to make their bets, talking themselves out of decisions because of info like this. The more casual fan looks at the game and knows the Pats are really good and the Dolphins look really bad and make their bet that way. 

 

The Dolphins are historically bad so far this season, most teams they play this season will beat them by double digits.

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Most likely did not tell his wife about it...

 

https://buffalonews.com/2019/09/16/bettor-wins-nearly-100000-on-bills-wager/

One bettor who was confident of a Buffalo Bills victory Sunday against the New York Giants walked away with a nice profit of nearly $100,000.

PointsBet Sportsbook confirmed it accepted a $130,000 bet on the Bills money line at minus-131. That means you had to bet $131 to win $100 on the Bills.

So, betting $130,000 would give you approximately a $100,000 profit. For the math sticklers, the bettor cashes a ticket for $229,190 so if you subtract the original $130,000, the bettor nets $99,190.

The Bills have opened as a six-point favorite for next Sunday's home opener against the Cincinnati Bengals at New Era Field.

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11 minutes ago, ricojes said:

Most likely did not tell his wife about it...

 

https://buffalonews.com/2019/09/16/bettor-wins-nearly-100000-on-bills-wager/

One bettor who was confident of a Buffalo Bills victory Sunday against the New York Giants walked away with a nice profit of nearly $100,000.

PointsBet Sportsbook confirmed it accepted a $130,000 bet on the Bills money line at minus-131. That means you had to bet $131 to win $100 on the Bills.

So, betting $130,000 would give you approximately a $100,000 profit. For the math sticklers, the bettor cashes a ticket for $229,190 so if you subtract the original $130,000, the bettor nets $99,190.

The Bills have opened as a six-point favorite for next Sunday's home opener against the Cincinnati Bengals at New Era Field.

Next week is tough, are the Bengals this year the team from week 1 or week 2? Are the 49ers really as good as they looked yesterday? The Bills have been up and down against 2 teams that may not be that great. 6 points is tough next week

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1 hour ago, RoyBatty is alive said:

 

 

I know the stats, issue is except for maybe the Colts with Suck for Luck, there was NEVER a team that I can recall that purposely tanked so all the historical data as far as I am concerned is irrelevant when talking about the Dolphins.  You had a historic moment, arguably the best team going against a team that is setting itself up for failure, 44 points later we have the answer.

That is why it was the no brainer. History and reality working in tandem.

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