Jump to content

Post Draft Vegas Season Win Over / Under Bills at 6.5


Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, BuffaloBillies said:

The best (for betting) is if your sitting on 6 wins come the last week of the season and the Bills are favored (ideally heavily favored).

Then you have the OPTION to hedge... can bet the same amount on the Jets getting points (let's say 7 points).

Try to "double-dip"... worst case break even.

 

Example:

  • Bet $1,000 on Bills Over 6.5 wins
  • Won 6 games going into final week vs Jets
  • Bills favored by 7 (at home) against the lowly Jets.
  • Bet $1,000 on Jets (+7)
  • Bills Win by more than 7 = PUSH on Season bets (Net $0)
  • Jets Win the game outright = PUSH on Season bets (Net $0)
  • Bills win by between 1 and 7 points = Win Both Ends ($2,000)

Would take the stress out of the last game with only upside possibility.

 

I'd probably hedge $500 in that case instead of the full grand because I'd have to have a guaranteed payout to make up for the fact that I'd be vomiting for a little while after I placed the Jets bet.

 

Speaking of the Jets.  They're starting to worry me a little.    They have the best middle of the field on defense in the entire league.   Adams at safety (elite), CJ Mosley at MLB (elite) and now Quinnen Williams and Leonard Williams in the middle, both of them monsters.    I'm far less concerned with LeVeon than the way this defense is shaping up for them.  

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

54 minutes ago, TC in St. Louis said:

 

I think you hit it on the head here.  Vegas doesn't care about the Bills.  They care about the line, and the money.  The general population of this country neither knows nor cares about the Bills.  They'll bet the under because we are irrelevant right now.

 

However, when we come out of the gate 4-0 or 5-1, suddenly we'll be the media darlings.  Happens every so often.  For example the year that Captain Checkdown was jackhammered by the Arizona LB and ruined our team for the year.  Who was that QB?  Stanford guy.  Bill Walsh loved him.  We were 4-0 till we went to Arizona.  Trent Edwards.  It was a Tony Conigliaro type hit.

 

I disagree slightly.  If the general population doesn't know or care about the Bills - they're likely not to bet.  The people that will bet are the professionals that see a winner (either way) or the fans of that said team.    In the end - Vegas does care about the Bills and put the line where it is for a reason.  They know the norms of the bettor and who bets.  

 

My guess is they set it at 6.5 - know the majority of Bills bets will come from fans of the team and that they'll bet the over.  Again, my guess is, they see us winning less than 7 games. 

 

 

 

Edited by White Linen
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, McBean said:

Everything you have on Browns under and Bills over

 

By Kaelen Jones

April 29, 2019

Coming off an encouraging 2018 season and an eventful offseason, the Cleveland Browns have emerged for many as a chic playoff pick in 2019. However, one Las Vegas sportsbook is suggesting to slow down the hype.

 

The Westgate's SuperBook released odds for all 32 NFL teams to reach the postseason. The Browns are not favored to make the playoffs, according to ESPN. In fact, they were given -120 odds to miss the postseason for a 17th straight season.

Cleveland has not made the playoffs since 2002. Last year, the Browns posted a 7–8–1, which marked their highest win total since 2014.

  • Like (+1) 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

So you’re not that confident?  And I will never bet on the Bills unless they make the SB.  Then, I bet on the other team so it’s a win win. 

 

I think the Browns hype train is overrated.

 

So I’ll be putting a large wager on the titans +5.5 week 1.

 

Whenever I go to book to place it, I’ll send it to you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...