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Let's have a way too early Win Projection


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Definitely too early to tell but I think (hope) they improve. I think they can. McDermott has gotten quite a bit out of not-so-great rosters but hopefully with a better OL and some better weapons for Allen, they'll take the next step. At best, I'll say 10, *maybe* 11 wins, if the defense can play just as well as last year and if the offense can put up at least 20-24 points a game, I can see 10-11 wins. At worst, 7-9. 

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4 minutes ago, foreboding said:

So all the new players and an easier schedule only gets the team one more win?

 

I don't really view it as an easier schedule. We're swapping out:

 

Jaguars - bad

Colts - good

Texans - meh

Packers - meh

Vikings - meh

Bears - good

Lions - bad

Chargers - good

 

for

 

Cowboys - good

Eagles - good

Giants - bad

Redskins - bad

Browns - good

Steelers - good

Bengals - bad

Broncos - meh

 

And I think the Jets improvement and Dolphins decline are roughly a wash.

 

Also figure McCoy's decline likely continues, and while the Bills have upgraded pretty significantly offensively, it's still probably among the worst group of weapons in the league and a roughly average OLine with solid depth.

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Good on all you having so much optimism.

 

The offense has gotten better, but only in the sense that we'll have actual NFL starters at most every position.  I think it's hard to argue there's a single blue chip player on the entire unit, we are asking a 2nd year still raw QB to put on a super hero cape against teams that have a full year of film on him now.

 

Still feels like a 6-8 win team.

 

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1 hour ago, DCOrange said:

Home:

Dolphins - win

Patriots - loss

Jets - win

Ravens - loss

Bengals - win

Eagles - loss

Redskins - win

Broncos - loss

4-4

 

Away:

Dolphins - loss

Patriots - loss

Jets - loss

Steelers - win

Browns - loss

Giants - win

Cowboys - loss

Titans - win

3-5

 

7-9 overall record

 

Anything can happen, of course, but losing at home to Denver?  Why?

 

The Ravens are going to take a huge fall this year too...

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16 minutes ago, BobChalmers said:

 

Anything can happen, of course, but losing at home to Denver?  Why?

 

The Ravens are going to take a huge fall this year too...

 

There's almost always a surprise loss and a surprise win. For me, the surprise win is Pittsburgh, surprise loss is Miami on the road. I think Baltimore is likely better than Buffalo and view Denver as being roughly the same tier (unless Allen makes a big leap in Year 2 which can't be ruled out).

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Yikes.  This  is hard...  so many unknowns.

 

*  How much will Allen progress from Year 1 to Year 2?

 

*  How will all the new starters on offense gel?

 

*  How much will Daboll improve in his second year?

 

*  Who are we going to draft?

 

*  What other FAs will we sign?

 

9-7.

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11-5.

 

This is a much improved team - and we still have a draft.

 

I know every team basically improves at this time of year, but this has been such a smart offseason so far.  Big focus on o line and depth, and we finally have some real receivers.

 

And we’re programmed to concede 2 games and the division to the Pats, but things are changing.  They lost so much talent, and Brady will be 42.  BB is the best, but he can’t work miracles.

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3 hours ago, BritBill said:

A couple of very bold calls expecting us to win in Pittsburgh. They'll be back a top of their division next season.

 

Pittsburgh is not far away.  Let's all go to the game (I live here, so not hard for me). 

 

That said, I think we will be able to shut down their passing game with our secondary and get an INT or 2--the key will be stopping the run.   On offense, I see us being able to score on the overrated PIT D. 

 

 

Edited by RyanC883
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Home:  Baltimore (W); Bengals (W); Eagles (L); Washington (W); Denver (W); Miami (W); Jets (W); Pats (L)

 

Away: Browns (L); Pittsburgh (W); Dallas (L); Giants (W); Tennessee Twitter and Forward Lateral Cheaters :) (W); Miami (W); Pats (L); Jets (W). 

 

I get 11-5.

 

I see a realistic swing of up to 2 games either way. 

 

Edited by RyanC883
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