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Playoff chances for all 32 NFL teams, plus toughest remaining game, Buffalo mention (not all bad)

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http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/25210432/nfl-playoff-chances-predictions-all-32-teams-week-9

 

1. Some bad teams are going to improve ... if they don't throw in the towel.

 

It's a dangerous game to play when you're talking about a team possibly quarterbacked for multiple starts by Nathan Peterman, but the Bills also should be more competitive over the second half. Their defense has been left in compromising situations defending short fields week after week, but quietly, Sean McDermott's unit ranks second in DVOA. Buffalo has recovered only 40.5 percent of the fumbles in its games, the fifth-lowest rate in the league. The Bills have forced a league-high 23 fumbles but recovered only seven, which is sheer randomness.

 

 If we use standardized score to compare each team's points scored through those nine games to the league average, the 2018 Bills are in 1,430th place. It's almost impossible for an offense to stay that bad, as recent examples such as the 2009 Browns, 2013 Jaguars and 2015 49ers -- each of whom were worse on offense through nine games after normalizing scores than this year's Bills -- were all able to improve over the final seven contests. Josh Allen and Derek Anderson haven't been good, but even they would be a massive upgrade over Peterman.

 

The Bills also were forced to endure the league's toughest schedule through nine weeks per FPI, which seems quite unfair. The good news is they'll face the league's easiest slate going forward, with two games against the Dolphins and Jets, along with tilts against the Jaguars and Lions. The Patriots are the one current playoff team the Bills are set to play over the final seven games.

 

 

 

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Don't be fooled by our so-called "easy games".


We could easily be swept by the Jets and Dolphins.

 

Folks need to remember that in his last complete, healthy game, Allen was f-ing horrible and threw for less than 100 yards.

 

 

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1 minute ago, Fadingpain said:

 

Folks need to remember that in his last complete, healthy game, Allen was f-ing horrible and threw for less than 100 yards.

 

 

 

Yea..but that last pass was like sticking your 7 iron to within 6 feet even though ya shooting 98...ya think you can play with the pros/makes ya think he could play wit the best!

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Honestly, It doesn't matter. This whole rebuild process is geared for 2019 and beyond. At least some of us knew this.

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12 minutes ago, GreggTX said:

Honestly, It doesn't matter. This whole rebuild process is geared for 2019 and beyond. At least some of us knew this.

 

i've know it was rebuild mode since 2000

 

 

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1 hour ago, Fadingpain said:

Don't be fooled by our so-called "easy games".


We could easily be swept by the Jets and Dolphins.

 

Folks need to remember that in his last complete, healthy game, Allen was f-ing horrible and threw for less than 100 yards.

 

 

 

...and for how many years having posting prognosticators forecasted "Jets sweep", "Fins sweep" and "Pats split" which equals an AFCE record of 5-1?.......dyslexia says more realistically 1-5 sadly...........

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9 minutes ago, GreggTX said:

Honestly, It doesn't matter. This whole rebuild process is geared for 2019 and beyond. At least some of us knew this.

Oh I wasn’t in anyway saying there was a chance.  

 

Just some light at the end of the tunnel. 

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2 hours ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/25210432/nfl-playoff-chances-predictions-all-32-teams-week-9

 

1. Some bad teams are going to improve ... if they don't throw in the towel.

 

It's a dangerous game to play when you're talking about a team possibly quarterbacked for multiple starts by Nathan Peterman, but the Bills also should be more competitive over the second half. Their defense has been left in compromising situations defending short fields week after week, but quietly, Sean McDermott's unit ranks second in DVOA. Buffalo has recovered only 40.5 percent of the fumbles in its games, the fifth-lowest rate in the league. The Bills have forced a league-high 23 fumbles but recovered only seven, which is sheer randomness.

 

 If we use standardized score to compare each team's points scored through those nine games to the league average, the 2018 Bills are in 1,430th place. It's almost impossible for an offense to stay that bad, as recent examples such as the 2009 Browns, 2013 Jaguars and 2015 49ers -- each of whom were worse on offense through nine games after normalizing scores than this year's Bills -- were all able to improve over the final seven contests. Josh Allen and Derek Anderson haven't been good, but even they would be a massive upgrade over Peterman.

 

The Bills also were forced to endure the league's toughest schedule through nine weeks per FPI, which seems quite unfair. The good news is they'll face the league's easiest slate going forward, with two games against the Dolphins and Jets, along with tilts against the Jaguars and Lions. The Patriots are the one current playoff team the Bills are set to play over the final seven games.

 

 

 

9-7 Baby!

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2 hours ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/25210432/nfl-playoff-chances-predictions-all-32-teams-week-9

 

1. Some bad teams are going to improve ... if they don't throw in the towel.

 

It's a dangerous game to play when you're talking about a team possibly quarterbacked for multiple starts by Nathan Peterman, but the Bills also should be more competitive over the second half. Their defense has been left in compromising situations defending short fields week after week, but quietly, Sean McDermott's unit ranks second in DVOA. Buffalo has recovered only 40.5 percent of the fumbles in its games, the fifth-lowest rate in the league. The Bills have forced a league-high 23 fumbles but recovered only seven, which is sheer randomness.

 

 If we use standardized score to compare each team's points scored through those nine games to the league average, the 2018 Bills are in 1,430th place. It's almost impossible for an offense to stay that bad, as recent examples such as the 2009 Browns, 2013 Jaguars and 2015 49ers -- each of whom were worse on offense through nine games after normalizing scores than this year's Bills -- were all able to improve over the final seven contests. Josh Allen and Derek Anderson haven't been good, but even they would be a massive upgrade over Peterman.

 

The Bills also were forced to endure the league's toughest schedule through nine weeks per FPI, which seems quite unfair. The good news is they'll face the league's easiest slate going forward, with two games against the Dolphins and Jets, along with tilts against the Jaguars and Lions. The Patriots are the one current playoff team the Bills are set to play over the final seven games.

 

 

 

Speaking for myself, its the only way to watch a game.. always have hope.. unrealistic , but i am not into the "rebuild" mindset. even though it certainly is the reality. game by game until officialy out. and YES,  the early schedule was very tough.. 

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1 minute ago, dwight in philly said:

Speaking for myself, its the only way to watch a game.. always have hope.. unrealistic , but i am not into the "rebuild" mindset. even though it certainly is the reality. game by game until officialy out. and YES,  the early schedule was very tough.. 

I always want a win.  No matter what, no matter whom. 

 

Some games I am resigned to expecting the worst but hoping for the best. 

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2 hours ago, The Real Buffalo Joe said:

SUPERBOWL!

 

 

...perhaps the "Famous Idaho Potato Bowl" is closer to reality........

Fri. Dec 21, 2018 2:00 PM - Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID

.......

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10 hours ago, ShadyBillsFan said:

http://www.espn.com/nfl/insider/story/_/id/25210432/nfl-playoff-chances-predictions-all-32-teams-week-9

 

1. Some bad teams are going to improve ... if they don't throw in the towel.

 

It's a dangerous game to play when you're talking about a team possibly quarterbacked for multiple starts by Nathan Peterman, but the Bills also should be more competitive over the second half. Their defense has been left in compromising situations defending short fields week after week, but quietly, Sean McDermott's unit ranks second in DVOA. Buffalo has recovered only 40.5 percent of the fumbles in its games, the fifth-lowest rate in the league. The Bills have forced a league-high 23 fumbles but recovered only seven, which is sheer randomness.

 

 If we use standardized score to compare each team's points scored through those nine games to the league average, the 2018 Bills are in 1,430th place. It's almost impossible for an offense to stay that bad, as recent examples such as the 2009 Browns, 2013 Jaguars and 2015 49ers -- each of whom were worse on offense through nine games after normalizing scores than this year's Bills -- were all able to improve over the final seven contests. Josh Allen and Derek Anderson haven't been good, but even they would be a massive upgrade over Peterman.

 

The Bills also were forced to endure the league's toughest schedule through nine weeks per FPI, which seems quite unfair. The good news is they'll face the league's easiest slate going forward, with two games against the Dolphins and Jets, along with tilts against the Jaguars and Lions. The Patriots are the one current playoff team the Bills are set to play over the final seven games.

 

 

 

Interceptions are far more important than fumbles.  As is pointed out recovering the ball is random.  If the Bills recover the strip sack caused by Hughes in the Texans game, Bills win and Peterman gets a win and is a fan favorite until at least Halloween.  Fumbles have no positive predictive value on winning.  INT and INT% have high positive and negative predictive values.  

Rush the passer, defend the pass, and don't throw picks.  

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5 hours ago, Dadonkadonk said:

Interceptions are far more important than fumbles.  As is pointed out recovering the ball is random.  If the Bills recover the strip sack caused by Hughes in the Texans game, Bills win and Peterman gets a win and is a fan favorite until at least Halloween.  Fumbles have no positive predictive value on winning.  INT and INT% have high positive and negative predictive values.  

Rush the passer, defend the pass, and don't throw picks.  

I can agree that INT's are more important.   I can also say that INT's do not have a predictive value on winning as well.

 

Its what happens after the INT or fumble recovery that truly matters.  If you don't get points from a turnover then it's no more than forcing a punt. 

 

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18 hours ago, Fadingpain said:

Don't be fooled by our so-called "easy games".


We could easily be swept by the Jets and Dolphins.

 

Folks need to remember that in his last complete, healthy game, Allen was f-ing horrible and threw for less than 100 yards.

 

 

Fadingpain, here is your Friday challenge: give me just one ray of positive sunshine today about the Bills :)  

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as I’ve said before, every game is very, very tough when you have the Bills’ offense.

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4 hours ago, NoHuddleKelly12 said:

Fadingpain, here is your Friday challenge: give me just one ray of positive sunshine today about the Bills :)  

They have a BYE week next Sunday and after that it's got to be 100% the week Josh Allen will return 

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