Gugny Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 On 9/8/2018 at 7:02 PM, Commonsense said: Bills line is now +8, as I said it would be. Easy money. Bills probably lose by 3-6, they won’t lose my more than 7. I said this in a random thread the other night. I expect the spread to go up another half a point and then get hammered down by sharps and probably end up back at 8 by kickoff. You might want to look into Gambling 000 before trying 101. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kirby Jackson Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 I made one bet yesterday. Bills - Colts Unser 44. I thought that it was easy money the whole game. That ended quite scary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CommonCents Posted October 22, 2018 Author Share Posted October 22, 2018 21 minutes ago, Gugny said: You might want to look into Gambling 000 before trying 101. I’m having a good season. Thanks for the tip though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Call_Of_Ktulu Posted October 22, 2018 Share Posted October 22, 2018 On 9/8/2018 at 6:43 PM, stuvian said: that's just too huge a line for a game played in the rain. The deflated footballs will help the Patriots not fumble. Rain is not a concern if your prepared for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 26, 2018 Share Posted October 26, 2018 On 10/21/2018 at 2:51 PM, ChattanoogaBills said: My parlay today was miami +3... New England -2.... Indy -7.... Carolina +5. Of course the fish screwed me on that... But my teaser hit i had miami +15 ... New England+10.... Indy +5 ...Carolina+17... Easy money I'm new to football betting. Placed my first bet last weekend. Just missed my 5 team parlay that would have paid out $600. Had Houston +4, Pats -2, Vikings -3.5, Bills/Colts Under 43 (sweated that out) and Cowboys -1.5 screwed me in the late game. I'm curious about your teaser. Those spreads are unreal. Can't imagine you win much at all when those hit. Is it like bet $100 to win $20? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hue5711 Posted October 27, 2018 Share Posted October 27, 2018 I'm an amateur better who had and ich. I finished this dashboard, which I'll maintain for the season. I have more data to use, and know the tool will evolve. Please share different ways you like to do your analysis. https://public.tableau.com/profile/jesse.huey#!/vizhome/NFL2018WK8AnalysisDashbard/Dashboard1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 29, 2018 Share Posted October 29, 2018 (edited) On 10/26/2018 at 11:50 AM, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I'm new to football betting. Placed my first bet last weekend. Just missed my 5 team parlay that would have paid out $600. Had Houston +4, Pats -2, Vikings -3.5, Bills/Colts Under 43 (sweated that out) and Cowboys -1.5 screwed me in the late game. I'm curious about your teaser. Those spreads are unreal. Can't imagine you win much at all when those hit. Is it like bet $100 to win $20? No its a 4 team teaser i bet 120 to win 100. My bookie is the only guy i know that does 4 team teaser each team gets 12 extra points... I used to not like doing the 4 teams until another gambler schooled me to take the under dogs instead of the favorites and i have much better results. Also i have a cousin that goes to Vegas quite often and he was looking to bet a 4 team teaser (like we do here)while in vegas and was laughed out of every casino. That sold me on the 4 team 12 point teaser here. P.s. my 4 team teaser sunday was cinncy +8... Carolina+14... Wash+11 and Seattle+15... $120 to win $100... My parlay was wack wash -1... Chicago over 42- seatlle +3 and cleveland +8- On 10/21/2018 at 5:33 PM, plenzmd1 said: you are an expert betting the Bills..especially after the game is over!? I am a freaking hundred millionare if i get to bet games after they are finished! Have some stones and post before the game..not after Ok im going new England to cover straight up -14 ..$165 to win a $150 I was going to tease it but im not sure on under 50 or over 38 so we will see but im scared peterman (i know ot sounds silly) will play late and put up some points to kill my cover. I dont fear derek anderson doing anything this week Edited October 30, 2018 by ChattanoogaBills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSHMEAB Posted October 29, 2018 Share Posted October 29, 2018 The Bills are clearly the "sharp" side, but I'm staying far, far away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 28 minutes ago, LSHMEAB said: The Bills are clearly the "sharp" side, but I'm staying far, far away. They must not be very sharp if they take buffalo this week imo but we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 On 10/21/2018 at 5:33 PM, plenzmd1 said: you are an expert betting the Bills..especially after the game is over!? I am a freaking hundred millionare if i get to bet games after they are finished! Have some stones and post before the game..not after Yeah im an expert on betting bills games ...as a diehard bills fan i've learned to separate my heart from betting. That was easy money tonight... Idk why anyone would expect derek anderson to cover 14 points vs brady and belicheat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 25 minutes ago, ChattanoogaBills said: That was easy money tonight... Idk why anyone would expect derek anderson to cover 14 points vs brady and belicheat... I wouldn't say easy money as the game played out but it was the smart play. I had it as part of my four team parlay this week that hit. I had Eagles -4, Colts -3, Packers +9.5 and Pats -13.5 I've started a red hot 7 out of 8 for my gambling career. Beginners luck I am sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I wouldn't say easy money as the game played out but it was the smart play. I had it as part of my four team parlay this week that hit. I had Eagles -4, Colts -3, Packers +9.5 and Pats -13.5 I've started a red hot 7 out of 8 for my gambling career. Beginners luck I am sure. Sorry i dont believe in beginners luck sounds like you have a good eye for pro football lines. Do you watch alot of teams besides buffalo it sounds like you do. I was saying to my cousin (the one that goes to vegas yearly) buffalo will build you up like they are going to win then bam a fumble or pick 6. Next thing you know mccourty pick 6. So i was never really worried. I do wish i hit a parlay one of these days. I might need some picks from you this week. Edited October 30, 2018 by ChattanoogaBills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 Just now, ChattanoogaBills said: Sorry i dont believe in beginners luck sounds like you have a good eye for pro football lines. Do you watch alot of teams besides buffalo it sounds like you do. I actually don't watch much football at all outside of the Bills. Don't have the time anymore. I've always been better than average at just picking straight up winners in pick em leagues. I know that is not the same as picking spreads but I think it helps in some instances. Especially if you have a feel on an underdog pulling an upset. I'm also realizing the most important trait is knowing what NOT to wager on. Those games you just want to say pass on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSHMEAB Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 Without the pick 6, it could have easily landed on 12, but a win is a win. The public was all over NE which is usually a reason to stay away, but I'm sure they all parlayed it with the over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChattanoogaBills Posted October 30, 2018 Share Posted October 30, 2018 1 minute ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I actually don't watch much football at all outside of the Bills. Don't have the time anymore. I've always been better than average at just picking straight up winners in pick em leagues. I know that is not the same as picking spreads but I think it helps in some instances. Especially if you have a feel on an underdog pulling an upset. I'm also realizing the most important trait is knowing what NOT to wager on. Those games you just want to say pass on. I agree in that i always seem to pick the one game that was a dog fight that screws my parlay and i get 3 out of 4 games right. Lol i might just do teasers this week hard to lose with 12 extra points a team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest K-GunJimKelly12 Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 Yesterday I put a 100 on the Packers to win it all at 40/1. It just seems to me they played the Rams really hard last week and I think Rodgers would have won it for them without the Montgomery fumble. The Packers are a team I could see winning out. Even if they make it to the divisional round there should be an opportunity to hedge that. I think that is just a really juicy line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plenzmd1 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 k, i have not posted for a couple weeks but did not like anything last week..only played my small Bills Moneyline bet. I am not 100% sure why, but I really like the Bills in this spot tomorrow. Mack and Robinson being out will help, but even with them, i think the Bills are okay. Bills totally shut out Mack last year, maybe they can scheme him out again. I also think the Bears offensive numbers and DVOA are a tad misleading..Money Mitch puts up yardage but still make some Nate P type throws at times, and he may also put it on the ground with his penchant for running.I am hoping our D takes advantage for some key turnovers and maybe even a score. YPP does not look good on either side for the Bills..but again I think that is a result of many factors, and I am going to trust that Nate has a better game abd plays relaxed ball as he truly has zero pressure on him. If he gets his mind right, I think he will be successful I may split my bet a bit here and actually rake a taste of the points , but most likely will just go straight moneyline again Also, like the Bucs and Fitz @+225, and the Titans Monday night @ +195. Might bet a favorite this week too..I kinda like the Skins in this spot. Anyway, size of the bet tomorrows greatly affected by the four-legged critters running today in the Breeders Cup! Best day of the year for horse racing..love I can watch abd bet on myu phone while drinking a Jack and Coke @ the Richmond game! BTW, smidgeon on the Terps today too @ 145 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 The Bills missed the last 2 against the spread. Sounds like a week to take the 10. (And this is why I don’t gamble) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSHMEAB Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 (edited) On 10/31/2018 at 5:06 AM, K-GunJimKelly12 said: Yesterday I put a 100 on the Packers to win it all at 40/1. It just seems to me they played the Rams really hard last week and I think Rodgers would have won it for them without the Montgomery fumble. The Packers are a team I could see winning out. Even if they make it to the divisional round there should be an opportunity to hedge that. I think that is just a really juicy line. You're guaranteed to make money if they win one playoff game and with Rodgers, I doubt they're gonna be HUGE dogs to anyone. That makes the hedge more advantageous obviously. Edited November 4, 2018 by LSHMEAB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CommonCents Posted November 4, 2018 Author Share Posted November 4, 2018 10 teamer Pitt+115 Vikes -5 Bills+10 Falcons +105 panthers -6.5 KC -9 Fins -3 Hawks-110 Broncos -115 Rams -2 On 10/31/2018 at 8:06 AM, K-GunJimKelly12 said: Yesterday I put a 100 on the Packers to win it all at 40/1. It just seems to me they played the Rams really hard last week and I think Rodgers would have won it for them without the Montgomery fumble. The Packers are a team I could see winning out. Even if they make it to the divisional round there should be an opportunity to hedge that. I think that is just a really juicy line. 8-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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