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The Madden Predicticator says...


GreggTX

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 I use my own, more realistic sliders and let computer vs computer play out. Mind you, I don't claim that this is anything remotely reliable for predicting actual outcomes, but it's fun, so let's get to it.

 

To begin, Petermann's OVRL rating is a disgraceful 68. I feared the worst, but was pleasantly surprised as the Bills converted a BAL red zone fumble to halt the Ravens 2nd drive and then marched 64 yards to open the scoring at 7-0 BUF. The Bills went on to mount a 20-3 halftime lead behind solid defense. The secondary played exceptionally well in the 1st half.

 

In the 2nd half, the Ravens caught fire and tied the game in the 4Q at 23-23. It looked like the Bills were going to let this one get away, but in the final minute, as BAL was driving for the game winning score, Matt Milano stepped in front of BAL RB Dixon and ran 59 yards for the game winning TD with 0:12 left on the clock, sending the BAL fans to the parking lot frustrated again by these Bills.

 

M Milano was the defensive player of the game with 11 TKL, 1 TFL & the game winning pick 6.

C Clay was the offensive player of the game with a 110 yd. performance and a TD.

 

Key Stats:

 

Flacco - 30/51, 381 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT

Petermann - 20/33, 309 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT

 

C. Clay 7 REC, 110 YDS, 1 TD

 

L McCoy 20 ATT, 83 YDS

Collins (BAL) 19 ATT, 36 YDS

 

Others worth mentioning:

 

- M Hyde also had a blocked punt that lead to a 12 YD N Petermann - C Clay TD pass.

- S Hauschka went 3/4, missing his longest attempt of 54 YDS, but later nailed a 52  yarder.

- K Benjamin hauled in a 52 YD N Petermann pass for the Bills 2nd TD.

- Ivory had a 12 YD TD run.

- The rookie MLB was largely invisible, netting only a single solo stop and 3 assists and a PDEF.

- The Bills offense was anything but conservative as Petermann's numbers suggest.

- The dominant 1st half defense got really leaky in the 2nd half, but came through in the end to seal a very impressive road win against a tough opponent.

- Petermann had a handful of really ugly plays, but was consistent and made a lot of key 3rd down completions. He was not spectacular, but came through time and time again in the clutch despite his awful ratings in the Madden game.

- Kyle, T Murphy and J Hughes each had a sack. BAL had 4 sacks on Petermann.

Edited by GreggTX
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23 minutes ago, GreggTX said:

I'm sure I'd get different results if I played this one out again, but these games never come out the same as the last.

 

Maybe if you do a few thousand games we can get a decent sample size. Then we can watch the real game and see how it pans out?  ?

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So...the final score was 30-23 Bills? I'm assuming that's how it was, didn't really see it anywhere specifically mentioned.

And the Bills have only scored 20 or more points twice against the Ravens. Once in 2010 when we lost 34 to 37 in OT, and another in 2013 when we won 23 to 20. I have a feeling if we could break 20 against this Ravens defense, we'd have a pretty great shot at winning.

On the flip side, if Flacco throws for 381 yards & 3 TD's, I highly doubt we could overcome that. I can't see the game playing out anything like this, but I'd be happy with the result.

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35 minutes ago, whatdrought said:

Couple thoughts: 

 

How is 68 disgraceful given the sample size of NFL game?

 

Can Kelvin Benjamin even run 52 yards without stopping?

 

Seems spot on to me.

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1 hour ago, whatdrought said:

Couple thoughts: 

 

How is 68 disgraceful given the sample size of NFL game?

 

Can Kelvin Benjamin even run 52 yards without stopping?

 

Jordan Mills is a 68 also I think man!

 

if Peterman is that bad we are In trouble ?

 

(they gave him a 71 to start last year I believe)

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56 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:

 

Jordan Mills is a 68 also I think man!

 

if Peterman is that bad we are In trouble ?

 

(they gave him a 71 to start last year I believe)

Mills is 72 and you are correct about Petermann.

6 hours ago, JinxedBill1 said:

EA ruined madden.  I used to love madden.  

 

Anyway, that was at least a nice write up. 

I'd be curious to hear more about that, but maybe in a non-Bills thread.

6 hours ago, BigDingus said:

So...the final score was 30-23 Bills? I'm assuming that's how it was, didn't really see it anywhere specifically mentioned.

And the Bills have only scored 20 or more points twice against the Ravens. Once in 2010 when we lost 34 to 37 in OT, and another in 2013 when we won 23 to 20. I have a feeling if we could break 20 against this Ravens defense, we'd have a pretty great shot at winning.

On the flip side, if Flacco throws for 381 yards & 3 TD's, I highly doubt we could overcome that. I can't see the game playing out anything like this, but I'd be happy with the result.

Maybe if we just played the Ravens this year 16 times lol.

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